New York Islanders vs. Washington CapitalsDec 31, 2019

FinalTuesday, Dec 31, 2019· Capital One Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NYI	2	2	0	4		NYI	7	11	4	22
WSH	2	1	0	3		WSH	11	10	18	39

: NYI 44WSH 87
: NYI 2.31WSH 3.24
PP goals: NYI 0WSH 0
Hits: NYI 24WSH 21
Blocks: NYI 29WSH 14
PIM: NYI 6WSH 6
: NYI 42%WSH 58%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

New York Islanders edge Washington Capitals 4–3

New York Islanders beat Washington Capitals 4–3 at WSH. Casey Cizikas (NYI) led the scoring with 2G 0A. Semyon Varlamov (NYI) faced 39 shots and stopped 36 (.923), +10 against a season average of 29.0; the win.

Points
Casey Cizikas had two goals (2 points) on 3 shots in 16:29.Cizikas
Points
Evgeny Kuznetsov had two goals (2 points) on 3 shots in 18:38.Kuznetsov
Goalie
Semyon Varlamov (NYI) faced 39 shots and stopped 36 (.923), +10 against a season average of 29.0; the win.Varlamov
Usage
Jordan Eberle (NYI) played 10:26, −7:30 down on his 17:56 season average over 57 games.Eberle
Usage
Matt Martin (NYI) played 15:10, +4:50 up on his 10:20 season average over 54 games.Martin
New line
New look for WSH: Boyd–Leipsic–Hathaway skated 6:29 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (60% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Boyd Leipsic Hathaway
Luck
NYI scored 4 goals on 2.31 expected goals (44 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Mathew Barzal (NYI) played 16:36, −3:30 down on his 20:06 season average over 67 games.Barzal

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NYI attacks left (bottom on phones)WSH attacks right (top on phones) →

WSH
NYI
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 131 of 131 attempts · WSH 87 · NYI 44

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WSH
NYI
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WSH pressure
NYI pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NYI 26% of the game, WSH 32%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WSH

NYI

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NYI	WSH
	47	86
	2.66	3.20
	2.57	3.03
	11	14
	4	6
	36	26
	−0.077	+0.077
	26%	32%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

New York Islanders

L1Brassard – Nelson – Beauvillier
11:3217% CF
L2Komarov – Martin – Cizikas
11:3157% CF
L3Lee – Kuhnhackl – Barzal
9:2433% CF
L4Bailey – Eberle – Johnston
3:5763% CF
D1Pelech – Pulock
15:5529% CF
D2Mayfield – Toews
10:2828% CF
D3Boychuk – Leddy
9:1239% CF

PP1Bailey – Lee – Toews – Barzal – Beauvillier
2:0733% CF
PP2Brassard – Eberle – Leddy – Nelson – Pulock
1:45100% CF
PK1FBailey – Nelson
1:07
PK2FKomarov – Kuhnhackl
0:43
PK1DMayfield – Pelech
1:25
PK2DBoychuk – Pulock
0:35

Current NYI line combinations →

Washington Capitals

L1Ovechkin – Backstrom – Wilson
11:5883% CF
L2Oshie – Kuznetsov – Vrana
10:5165% CF
L3Hagelin – Eller – Panik
9:2672% CF
L4Boyd – Leipsic – Hathaway
6:2960% CF
D1Orlov – Jensen
14:5273% CF
D2Carlson – Siegenthaler
12:3263% CF
D3Gudas – Kempny
8:5153% CF

PP1Ovechkin – Oshie – Backstrom – Carlson – Kuznetsov
1:38100% CF
PP2Ovechkin – Eller – Orlov – Wilson – Vrana
0:22100% CF
PK1FHagelin – Eller
1:21
PK2FPanik – Hathaway
0:55
PK1DGudas – Siegenthaler
2:09
PK2DCarlson – Jensen
0:41

Current WSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

7:13
NYICasey Cizikas (Scott Mayfield, Leo Komarov)tip-in0.06 xG
NYI: Komarov, Martin, Cizikas, Mayfield, PelechWSH: Ovechkin, Backstrom, Carlson, Wilson, Kempny
NYI 1 – 0 WSH
10:39
NYIBrock Nelson (Nick Leddy, Anthony Beauvillier)wrist0.03 xG
NYI: Eberle, Leddy, Nelson, Mayfield, JohnstonWSH: Ovechkin, Oshie, Carlson, Orlov, Kuznetsov
NYI 2 – 0 WSH
10:53
WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov (Dmitry Orlov)wrist0.11 xG
NYI: Boychuk, Bailey, Eberle, Johnston, ToewsWSH: Oshie, Orlov, Jensen, Kuznetsov, Vrana
NYI 2 – 1 WSH
14:17
WSHTom Wilson (Nicklas Backstrom, Alex Ovechkin)tip-in0.08 xG
NYI: Leddy, Lee, Kuhnhackl, Pulock, BarzalWSH: Ovechkin, Backstrom, Orlov, Jensen, Wilson
NYI 2 – 2 WSH

2nd period

0:44
WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov (T.J. Oshie)snap0.22 xG
NYI: Brassard, Nelson, Pelech, Pulock, BeauvillierWSH: Oshie, Orlov, Jensen, Kuznetsov, Vrana
NYI 2 – 3 WSH
4:27
NYICasey Cizikas (Matt Martin)wrist0.12 xG
NYI: Komarov, Martin, Cizikas, Pelech, PulockWSH: Oshie, Carlson, Gudas, Kuznetsov, Vrana
NYI 3 – 3 WSH
12:34
NYITom Kuhnhackl (Mathew Barzal, Anders Lee)wrist0.10 xG
NYI: Lee, Kuhnhackl, Mayfield, Toews, BarzalWSH: Oshie, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Vrana, Siegenthaler
NYI 4 – 3 WSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

New York Islanders

NYI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brock Nelson C	L1	1	0	1	0	4	0.38	1	2	0	21:01	—	—	21	28
Anthony Beauvillier R	L1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.09	2	0	0	17:35	—	—	12	17
Derick Brassard C	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	16:25	—	—	18	31
Casey Cizikas C	L2	2	0	2	+2	3	0.36	2	0	4	16:29	—	—	57	80
Leo Komarov R	L2	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	3	2	0	15:35	—	—	46	73
Matt Martin L	L2	0	1	1	+2	2	0.26	7	1	0	15:10	—	—	57	78
Mathew Barzal C	L3	0	1	1	0	4	0.37	1	1	0	16:36	—	—	35	46
Anders Lee L	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.04	0	2	0	16:16	—	—	32	39
Tom Kuhnhackl R	L3	1	0	1	0	2	0.29	0	2	0	12:22	—	—	31	39
Josh Bailey R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.26	0	1	0	13:01	—	—	38	56
Jordan Eberle R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	0	0	0	10:26	—	—	53	60
Ross Johnston L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	2	1	0	6:16	—	—	50	56
Ryan Pulock D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.05	1	4	0	23:24	—	—	27	39
Adam Pelech D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	3	2	0	22:09	—	—	33	49
Scott Mayfield D	D2	0	1	1	+3	0	0.00	1	5	2	20:30	—	—	31	52
Devon Toews D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	0	1	0	18:01	—	—	39	58
Nick Leddy D	D3	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	19:21	—	—	38	39
Johnny Boychuk D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	0	3	0	14:23	—	—	44	48

NYI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Semyon Varlamov(start)	W	39	36	3	.923	3.24	60:00

Washington Capitals

WSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Ovechkin L	L1	0	1	1	-1	3	0.39	1	0	0	18:58	—	—	71	57
Nicklas Backstrom C	L1	0	1	1	0	4	0.57	3	0	0	18:49	—	—	72	59
Tom Wilson R	L1	1	0	1	0	4	0.42	2	0	0	17:45	—	—	80	65
Evgeny Kuznetsov C	L2	2	0	2	-1	3	0.34	0	0	0	18:38	—	—	54	50
T.J. Oshie R	L2	0	1	1	-1	1	0.35	1	0	0	16:42	—	—	61	55
Jakub Vrana L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	0	0	0	15:52	—	—	67	59
Lars Eller C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.29	0	1	2	15:35	—	—	69	61
Richard Panik R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	0	1	0	14:46	—	—	60	41
Carl Hagelin L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	14:20	—	—	63	42
Garnet Hathaway R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	2	0	2	10:50	—	—	47	41
Brendan Leipsic L	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.11	1	2	0	8:58	—	—	53	50
Travis Boyd C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	8:40	—	—	54	35
Dmitry Orlov D	D1	0	1	1	+2	4	0.12	3	3	2	23:58	—	—	78	80
Nick Jensen D	D1	0	0	0	+3	1	0.06	1	0	0	19:31	—	—	68	66
John Carlson D	D2	0	0	0	-4	6	0.17	1	1	0	23:38	—	—	69	51
Jonas Siegenthaler D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	1	4	0	18:31	—	—	58	24
Radko Gudas D	D3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.08	2	0	0	17:13	—	—	55	43
Michal Kempny D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	0	0	12:59	—	—	48	28

WSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Braden Holtby(start)	L	22	18	4	.818	2.31	58:17

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.