New York Islanders vs. Toronto Maple LeafsJan 4, 2020

FinalSaturday, Jan 4, 2020· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NYI	0	0	0	0		NYI	7	16	10	33
TOR	0	2	1	3		TOR	6	7	10	23

: NYI 48TOR 48
: NYI 2.07TOR 3.14
PP goals: NYI 0TOR 0
Hits: NYI 25TOR 17
Blocks: NYI 13TOR 9
PIM: NYI 0TOR 2
: NYI 44%TOR 56%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat New York Islanders 3–0

Toronto Maple Leafs beat New York Islanders 3–0 at home. Auston Matthews (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 1A. New look for NYI: Bailey–Barzal–Beauvillier skated 15:22 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (45.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Auston Matthews had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 21:46.Matthews
Points
Mitch Marner had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 20:44.Marner
New line
New look for NYI: Bailey–Barzal–Beauvillier skated 15:22 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (45.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Bailey Barzal Beauvillier
New line
New look for NYI: Eberle–Lee–Nelson skated 12:54 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (56.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Eberle Lee Nelson
New line
New look for NYI: Brassard–Kuhnhackl–Dal Colle skated 9:09 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (58.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Brassard Kuhnhackl Dal Colle
New line
New look for TOR: Gauthier–Timashov–Marchment skated 7:17 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (16.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Gauthier Timashov Marchment
Luck
NYI scored 0 goals on 2.07 expected goals (48 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Martin Marincin (TOR) played 19:07, +4:05 up on his 15:02 season average over 25 games.Marincin

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NYI attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
NYI
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 96 of 96 attempts · TOR 48 · NYI 48

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
NYI
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
NYI pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NYI 32% of the game, TOR 29%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

NYI

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NYI	TOR
	55	54
	2.31	2.42
	2.26	2.34
	8	13
	4	2
	29	30
	−0.049	+0.049
	32%	29%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

New York Islanders

L1Bailey – Barzal – Beauvillier
15:2246% CF
L2Eberle – Lee – Nelson
12:5457% CF
L3Komarov – Martin – Cizikas
10:1956% CF
L4Brassard – Kuhnhackl – Dal Colle
9:0959% CF
D1Mayfield – Toews
12:5929% CF
D2Leddy – Pulock
10:5365% CF
D3Boychuk – Dobson
3:37100% CF

PP1Brassard – Eberle – Leddy – Nelson – Pulock
1:11100% CF
PP2Bailey – Lee – Toews – Barzal – Beauvillier
0:490% CF

Current NYI line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Hyman – Marner – Matthews
15:3461% CF
L2Tavares – Kerfoot – Nylander
11:3676% CF
L3Spezza – Kapanen – Engvall
10:4643% CF
L4Gauthier – Timashov – Marchment
7:1717% CF
D1Barrie – Rielly
18:2265% CF
D2Ceci – Dermott
16:3525% CF
D3Marincin – Holl
15:1750% CF

PK1FHyman – Marner
0:31
PK2FKerfoot – Engvall
0:27
PK1DHoll – Rielly
1:11

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

13:25
TORPierre Engvall (Kasperi Kapanen)wrist0.16 xG
NYI: Bailey, Toews, Barzal, Beauvillier, DobsonTOR: Spezza, Marincin, Holl, Kapanen, Engvall
NYI 0 – 1 TOR
16:07
TORAuston Matthews (Mitch Marner, Justin Holl)tip-in0.09 xG
NYI: Boychuk, Bailey, Toews, Barzal, BeauvillierTOR: Marincin, Holl, Hyman, Marner, Matthews
NYI 0 – 2 TOR

3rd period

17:52
TORZach HymanEN (Mitch Marner, Auston Matthews)wrist0.96 xG
NYI: Bailey, Eberle, Lee, Toews, Barzal, DobsonTOR: Marincin, Holl, Hyman, Marner, Matthews
NYI 0 – 3 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

New York Islanders

NYI skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk		PP	SH
Mathew Barzal C	L1	-3	2	0.21	0	1	20:07	—	—	52	54
Anthony Beauvillier R	L1	-2	0	0.00	1	1	18:55	—	—	46	46
Josh Bailey R	L1	-3	4	0.38	2	0	17:56	—	—	44	46
Jordan Eberle R	L2	-1	6	0.27	1	1	17:52	—	—	59	70
Brock Nelson C	L2	0	2	0.07	1	0	17:38	—	—	44	47
Anders Lee L	L2	-1	1	0.26	1	2	16:51	—	—	52	58
Leo Komarov R	L3	0	3	0.26	4	0	12:58	—	—	39	35
Matt Martin L	L3	0	0	0.00	2	1	12:42	—	—	46	48
Casey Cizikas C	L3	0	0	0.00	2	2	11:54	—	—	55	62
Derick Brassard C	L4	0	1	0.06	2	0	12:22	—	—	58	43
Michael Dal Colle L	L4	0	2	0.16	2	0	11:13	—	—	55	37
Tom Kuhnhackl R	L4	0	1	0.07	0	0	10:50	—	—	61	39
Devon Toews D	D1	-3	2	0.03	0	2	23:41	—	—	44	33
Scott Mayfield D	D1	0	1	0.00	2	2	20:14	—	—	30	40
Nick Leddy D	D2	0	1	0.04	1	1	23:34	—	—	49	57
Ryan Pulock D	D2	0	4	0.13	1	0	23:00	—	—	63	68
Johnny Boychuk D	D3	-1	0	0.07	3	0	17:48	—	—	54	37
Noah Dobson D	D3	-2	3	0.07	0	0	10:54	—	—	69	47

NYI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Semyon Varlamov(start)	L	22	20	2	.909	2.18	59:31

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	1	2	+2	4	0.27	2	0	0	21:46	—	—	54	45
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	2	2	+2	3	0.29	0	0	0	20:44	—	—	59	53
Zach Hyman L	L1	1	0	1	+2	3	1.22	1	0	0	20:33	—	—	53	46
John Tavares C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.49	0	0	0	16:57	—	—	72	65
Alexander Kerfoot C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	3	1	0	16:33	—	—	63	66
William Nylander R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	0	0	0	15:35	—	—	64	70
Pierre Engvall L	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.28	1	0	0	13:35	—	—	41	61
Kasperi Kapanen R	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:29	—	—	35	58
Jason Spezza C	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.09	0	0	0	12:58	—	—	37	58
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:05	—	—	25	24
Dmytro Timashov L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	8:22	—	—	23	14
Mason Marchment L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	0	0	8:21	—	—	21	13
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	3	2	0	23:50	—	—	64	55
Tyson Barrie D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.18	0	0	0	19:19	—	—	63	53
Cody Ceci D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	2	20:17	—	—	29	39
Travis Dermott D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	3	0	17:56	—	—	28	45
Justin Holl D	D3	0	1	1	+3	0	0.00	0	0	0	19:33	—	—	44	45
Martin Marincin D	D3	0	0	0	+3	0	0.01	2	1	0	19:07	—	—	50	60

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Michael Hutchinson(start)	W	33	33	0	.1000	2.07	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.