New York Islanders vs. Toronto Maple LeafsSep 30, 2026

FinalWednesday, Sep 30, 2026· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NYI	0	0	1	1		NYI	11	8	8	27
TOR	2	0	0	2		TOR	10	12	4	26

: NYI 68TOR 48
: NYI 2.57TOR 2.63
PP goals: NYI 0TOR 1
Hits: NYI 24TOR 19
Blocks: NYI 11TOR 21
PIM: NYI 8TOR 8
: NYI 40%TOR 60%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge New York Islanders 2–1

Toronto Maple Leafs beat New York Islanders 2–1 at home. Easton Cowan (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 1A. New look for TOR: Blueger–Duhaime–Groulx skated 6:35 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (23.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Easton Cowan had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 13:23.Cowan
New line
New look for TOR: Blueger–Duhaime–Groulx skated 6:35 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (23.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Blueger Duhaime Groulx
Luck
NYI scored 1 goal on 2.57 expected goals (68 attempts), well short of its chances.
PP1
NYI's PP1 (Palmieri, Schenn, Horvat, Maccelli and Schaefer) went scoreless in 5:08 of 5v4 time with 10 attempts.Palmieri Schenn Horvat Maccelli Schaefer
PP1
TOR's PP1 (Tavares, Nylander, Raddysh, Matthews and Marchenko) went scoreless in 4:26 of 5v4 time with 6 attempts.Tavares Nylander Raddysh Matthews Marchenko
Cats
Jake McCabe (TOR) blocked 5 shots in 20:19.McCabe

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NYI attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
NYI
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 116 of 116 attempts · TOR 48 · NYI 68

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
NYI
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
NYI pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NYI 33% of the game, TOR 37%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

NYI

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Head-to-head matchups

TOR skaters (rows) against NYI skaters (columns) at 5v5. Square size is time together; colour is xGF% from the TOR side.

Matchup matrix

TOR xGF% 4060square size = TOI together · blank = under 1:00

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NYI	TOR
	56	40
	2.01	1.38
	1.81	1.33
	11	10
	7	2
	19	12
	−0.095	+0.095
	33%	37%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

New York Islanders

L1Palmieri – Horvat – Holmstrom
7:1668% CF
L2Pageau – Heineman – Eklund
4:5038% CF
L3Schenn – Maccelli – Ritchie
4:4080% CF
L4Cizikas – Palat – Duclair
4:4070% CF
D1Pelech – Schaefer
9:5676% CF
D2Pulock – Romanov
9:4122% CF
D3DeAngelo – Stanley
5:2638% CF

PP1Palmieri – Schenn – Horvat – Maccelli – Schaefer
5:08100% CF
PP2Duclair – Holmstrom – Ritchie – Schaefer – Eklund
1:12
PK1FPageau – Holmstrom
3:19
PK2FHorvat – Heineman
2:46
PK1DPelech – Pulock
4:14
PK2DStanley – Romanov
3:29

Current NYI line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Roslovic – Matthews – Marchenko
9:1677% CF
L2Tavares – Nylander – McKenna
9:1014% CF
L3Blueger – Duhaime – Groulx
6:3523% CF
L4Sissons – Paul – Cowan
5:5463% CF
D1Rielly – Raddysh
13:0544% CF
D2Tanev – McCabe
12:0828% CF
D3Ekman-Larsson – Stecher
8:3163% CF

PP1Tavares – Nylander – Raddysh – Matthews – Marchenko
4:2675% CF
PP2Rielly – Paul – Roslovic – Cowan – McKenna
3:01100% CF
PK1FBlueger – Paul
2:13
PK2FSissons – Duhaime
2:06
PK1DTanev – McCabe
3:06
PK2DEkman-Larsson – Stecher
1:24

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

7:14
TORColton Sissons (Nick Paul, Easton Cowan)tip-in0.08 xG
NYI: Pageau, DeAngelo, Stanley, Heineman, EklundTOR: Ekman-Larsson, Sissons, Paul, Stecher, Cowan
NYI 0 – 1 TOR
11:55
TOREaston CowanPP (Jack Roslovic, Morgan Rielly)wrist0.32 xG
NYI: Cizikas, Palat, Pelech, PulockTOR: Rielly, Paul, Roslovic, Cowan, McKenna
NYI 0 – 2 TOR

3rd period

14:09
NYIEmil HeinemanSH (Bo Horvat)snap0.17 xG
NYI: Horvat, Stanley, Romanov, HeinemanTOR: Tavares, Nylander, Raddysh, Matthews, Marchenko
NYI 1 – 2 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

New York Islanders

NYI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Bo Horvat C	L1	0	1	1	+1	4	0.25	1	0	0	22:31	—	—	63	47
Simon Holmstrom R	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.17	0	0	0	20:17	—	—	61	54
Kyle Palmieri C	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.36	1	1	0	18:35	—	—	65	48
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	2	0	0	13:50	—	—	41	40
Emil Heineman L	L2	1	0	1	0	1	0.26	3	0	0	13:26	—	—	59	59
Victor Eklund R	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.32	1	0	2	11:58	—	—	53	63
Matias Maccelli L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	0	2	17:39	—	—	67	57
Calum Ritchie C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	2	1	0	16:03	—	—	67	82
Brayden Schenn C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	3	0	2	14:27	—	—	46	39
Anthony Duclair L	L4	0	0	0	0	4	0.42	0	1	0	12:17	—	—	59	87
Ondrej Palat L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	1	0	0	10:06	—	—	59	71
Casey Cizikas C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	9:29	—	—	63	76
Matthew Schaefer D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.12	0	1	2	27:45	—	—	79	71
Adam Pelech D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	1	1	0	19:51	—	—	76	70
Alexander Romanov D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.09	2	2	0	17:09	—	—	37	57
Ryan Pulock D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.13	1	2	0	16:27	—	—	29	59
Tony DeAngelo D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.08	0	1	0	17:14	—	—	62	50
Logan Stanley D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	3	1	0	15:06	—	—	56	48

NYI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Sorokin(start)	L	26	24	2	.923	2.29	57:56

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.36	1	1	0	20:04	—	—	61	75
Kirill Marchenko R	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.32	4	0	2	18:16	—	—	52	65
Jack Roslovic C	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.28	1	1	0	14:53	—	—	71	78
William Nylander R	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.18	0	1	0	17:29	—	—	16	10
John Tavares C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.12	0	1	2	16:58	—	—	24	12
Gavin McKenna L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	0	0	15:32	—	—	27	26
Brandon Duhaime L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	1	3	0	14:39	—	—	20	27
Teddy Blueger C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.08	2	1	0	12:32	—	—	21	54
Bo Groulx C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	3	0	0	9:49	—	—	41	70
Nick Paul L	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.06	1	0	2	15:43	—	—	65	55
Easton Cowan R	L4	1	1	2	+1	3	0.37	2	0	0	13:23	—	—	59	50
Colton Sissons C	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.23	2	2	0	11:22	—	—	56	53
Darren Raddysh D	D1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.18	0	1	0	20:36	—	—	45	30
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	1	1	0	1	0.15	0	1	0	19:49	—	—	45	43
Chris Tanev D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	3	0	20:39	—	—	24	20
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	5	2	20:19	—	—	30	27
Troy Stecher D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	16:05	—	—	53	64
Oliver Ekman-Larsson D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.12	1	1	0	15:30	—	—	56	63

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anthony Stolarz(start)	W	27	26	1	.963	2.57	58:22

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Colton Sissons (TOR) 1st 7:14 · assists Nick Paul, Easton Cowan · Deflection · 18.4 mph shot.

Colton Sissons · 1st 7:14 · TOR

Play: deflection
Passes: 1 (royal road)
Shot: 18.4 mph
Distance: 9 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Easton Cowan · 1st 11:55 · TOR PP

Play: rebound
Passes: 2
Shot: 34.8 mph
Distance: 3 ft
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Emil Heineman · 3rd 14:09 · NYI SH

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 2-on-1
Passes: 0
Shot: 31.1 mph
Distance: 13 ft
Entry to goal: 2.3 s
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.