Winnipeg Jets vs. Toronto Maple LeafsJan 18, 2021

FinalMonday, Jan 18, 2021· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
WPG	0	1	0	1		WPG	10	6	12	28
TOR	0	2	1	3		TOR	10	22	6	38

: WPG 48TOR 65
: WPG 1.94TOR 4.47
PP goals: WPG 0TOR 1
Hits: WPG 31TOR 25
Blocks: WPG 11TOR 10
PIM: WPG 4TOR 10
: WPG 35%TOR 65%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Winnipeg Jets 3–1

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Winnipeg Jets 3–1 at home. Mitch Marner (TOR) led the scoring with 2G 0A. New look for WPG: Wheeler–Scheifele–Copp skated 5:46 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (53.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Mitch Marner had two goals (2 points) on 3 shots in 24:38.Marner
Points
Justin Holl had 2 assists (2 points) in 20:56.Holl
New line
New look for WPG: Wheeler–Scheifele–Copp skated 5:46 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (53.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Wheeler Scheifele Copp
New line
New look for WPG: Stastny–Ehlers–Connor skated 5:08 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (37.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Stastny Ehlers Connor
Usage
Mikko Lehtonen (TOR) played 6:41, −9:34 down on his 16:15 season average over 25 games.Lehtonen
Goalie
Connor Hellebuyck (WPG) faced 37 shots and stopped 35 (.946), +7 against a season average of 29.7; the loss.Hellebuyck
Usage
Mark Scheifele (WPG) played 26:17, +5:25 up on his 20:52 season average over 55 games.Scheifele
Usage
Blake Wheeler (WPG) played 23:03, +4:48 up on his 18:15 season average over 49 games.Wheeler

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← WPG attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
WPG
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 113 of 113 attempts · TOR 65 · WPG 48

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
WPG
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
WPG pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: WPG 22% of the game, TOR 38%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

WPG

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	WPG	TOR
	38	59
	1.27	2.47
	1.24	2.29
	4	12
	4	2
	18	23
	−0.116	+0.116
	22%	38%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Winnipeg Jets

L1Wheeler – Scheifele – Copp
5:4654% CF
L2Stastny – Ehlers – Connor
5:0838% CF
L3Lowry – Harkins – Appleton
3:59100% CF
L4Thompson – Lewis – Perreault
2:3014% CF
D1Forbort – Pionk
15:4348% CF
D2Morrissey – Niku
11:5130% CF
D3Beaulieu – Stanley
9:2550% CF

PP1Wheeler – Stastny – Scheifele – Morrissey – Connor
5:23100% CF
PP2Perreault – Lowry – Copp – Ehlers – Pionk
1:29
PK1FLowry – Copp
1:08
PK2FThompson – Lewis
0:40
PK1DForbort – Pionk
1:22
PK2DBeaulieu – Morrissey
0:33

Current WPG line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Thornton – Marner – Matthews
8:2771% CF
L2Tavares – Vesey – Nylander
8:2593% CF
L3Hyman – Kerfoot – Mikheyev
6:4938% CF
D1Brodie – Rielly
15:3070% CF
D2Muzzin – Holl
11:4264% CF
D3Bogosian – Dermott
4:3950% CF

PP1Thornton – Simmonds – Rielly – Marner – Matthews
1:15100% CF
PP2Spezza – Tavares – Hyman – Nylander – Lehtonen
0:33100% CF
PK1FHyman – Marner
2:05
PK2FKerfoot – Mikheyev
1:06
PK1DBogosian – Brodie
4:16
PK2DMuzzin – Holl
3:31

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

5:28
TORJohn TavaresPP (William Nylander, Jake Muzzin)wrist0.16 xG
WPG: Wheeler, Forbort, Scheifele, PionkTOR: Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Vesey, Nylander
WPG 0 – 1 TOR
18:39
TORMitch Marner (Justin Holl, Auston Matthews)wrist0.05 xG
WPG: Wheeler, Scheifele, Copp, Morrissey, NikuTOR: Holl, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, Matthews
WPG 0 – 2 TOR
19:13
WPGKyle Connor (Derek Forbort, Neal Pionk)wrist0.09 xG
WPG: Stastny, Forbort, Ehlers, Connor, PionkTOR: Muzzin, Simmonds, Holl, Kerfoot, Mikheyev
WPG 1 – 2 TOR

3rd period

19:37
TORMitch MarnerEN (Alexander Kerfoot, Justin Holl)snap0.77 xG
WPG: Perreault, Lowry, Scheifele, Copp, Connor, PionkTOR: Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Kerfoot, Marner
WPG 1 – 3 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Winnipeg Jets

WPG skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mark Scheifele C	L1	0	0	0	-2	5	0.36	1	0	0	26:17	—	—	42	39
Blake Wheeler R	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.23	3	0	0	23:03	—	—	43	44
Andrew Copp C	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.06	2	1	0	16:21	—	—	41	26
Kyle Connor L	L2	1	0	1	0	1	0.23	1	0	2	21:35	—	—	48	37
Paul Stastny C	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.21	2	0	0	19:43	—	—	50	41
Nikolaj Ehlers L	L2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.18	1	0	0	16:58	—	—	36	36
Adam Lowry C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.15	4	0	0	13:54	—	—	44	28
Jansen Harkins C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	1	0	0	10:35	—	—	54	45
Mason Appleton C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	3	0	0	10:16	—	—	38	25
Mathieu Perreault C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.15	0	1	0	11:53	—	—	28	28
Trevor Lewis C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	2	0	8:28	—	—	23	20
Nate Thompson C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:24	—	—	17	20
Neal Pionk D	D1	0	1	1	0	1	0.03	3	1	0	23:44	—	—	46	42
Derek Forbort D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.03	2	2	0	19:16	—	—	48	46
Josh Morrissey D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.12	4	2	0	25:08	—	—	30	23
Sami Niku D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	2	2	14:22	—	—	27	20
Nathan Beaulieu D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	0	0	16:29	—	—	37	27
Logan Stanley D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.03	1	0	0	11:19	—	—	48	49

WPG goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Connor Hellebuyck(start)	L	37	35	2	.946	3.70	58:20

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	2	0	2	+2	3	0.86	1	0	0	24:38	—	—	68	67
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	1	1	+1	5	0.73	3	1	0	22:47	—	—	71	75
Joe Thornton C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	0	0	0	14:15	—	—	65	72
William Nylander R	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.27	0	1	0	16:08	—	—	75	84
John Tavares C	L2	1	0	1	+1	4	0.47	2	0	0	16:05	—	—	76	84
Jimmy Vesey L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	0	0	0	13:24	—	—	93	86
Zach Hyman L	L3	0	0	0	+1	10	1.07	3	0	2	17:28	—	—	53	65
Ilya Mikheyev R	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.22	0	0	0	13:29	—	—	35	41
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.21	1	1	0	13:24	—	—	32	43
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	1	1	0	23:35	—	—	68	67
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.11	2	0	2	23:33	—	—	63	67
Justin Holl D	D2	0	2	2	+1	0	0.00	3	2	2	20:56	—	—	64	84
Jake Muzzin D	D2	0	1	1	0	2	0.06	3	0	2	20:08	—	—	61	78
Zach Bogosian D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	1	0	14:15	—	—	47	31
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	0	2	2	10:31	—	—	43	41
Jason Spezza C	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	9:33	—	—	67	40
Wayne Simmonds R	—	0	0	0	-1	2	0.19	3	1	0	9:23	—	—	29	6
Mikko Lehtonen D	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	6:41	—	—	43	42

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	28	27	1	.964	1.94	59:58

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.