Winnipeg Jets vs. Toronto Maple LeafsMar 9, 2021

FinalTuesday, Mar 9, 2021· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
WPG	1	2	1	4		WPG	6	11	6	23
TOR	2	0	1	3		TOR	8	18	13	39

: WPG 41TOR 69
: WPG 2.35TOR 4.99
PP goals: WPG 1TOR 1
Hits: WPG 28TOR 15
Blocks: WPG 15TOR 4
PIM: WPG 4TOR 4
: WPG 41%TOR 59%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Winnipeg Jets edge Toronto Maple Leafs 4–3

Winnipeg Jets beat Toronto Maple Leafs 4–3 at TOR. Neal Pionk (WPG) led the scoring with 0G 3A. Nathan Beaulieu (WPG) played 4:15, −13:00 down on his 17:15 season average over 24 games.

Points
Neal Pionk had 3 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 22:49.Pionk
Points
Auston Matthews had two goals (2 points) on 6 shots in 22:36.Matthews
Points
Andrew Copp had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 16:54.Copp
Points
Nikolaj Ehlers had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 16:36.Ehlers
Usage
Nathan Beaulieu (WPG) played 4:15, −13:00 down on his 17:15 season average over 24 games.Beaulieu
Goalie
Connor Hellebuyck (WPG) faced 39 shots and stopped 36 (.923), +9 against a season average of 29.7; the win.Hellebuyck
Usage
Josh Morrissey (WPG) played 29:00, +5:33 up on his 23:27 season average over 55 games.Morrissey
Luck
TOR scored 3 goals on 4.99 expected goals (69 attempts), well short of its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← WPG attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
WPG
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 110 of 110 attempts · TOR 69 · WPG 41

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
WPG
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
WPG pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: WPG 19% of the game, TOR 54%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

WPG

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	WPG	TOR
	40	64
	2.04	4.58
	1.96	4.20
	6	19
	6	2
	17	17
	−0.049	+0.049
	19%	54%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Winnipeg Jets

L1Wheeler – Stastny – Scheifele
13:5830% CF
L2Ehlers – Connor – Dubois
12:2336% CF
L3Lowry – Copp – Appleton
9:0940% CF
L4Thompson – Lewis – Perreault
4:5636% CF
D1Poolman – Morrissey
12:3839% CF
D2Forbort – Pionk
12:3741% CF
D3DeMelo – Beaulieu
3:4033% CF

PP1Wheeler – Stastny – Scheifele – Morrissey – Connor
2:01100% CF
PP2Perreault – Copp – Ehlers – Dubois – Pionk
1:43100% CF
PK1FLowry – Copp
1:46
PK2FLewis – Appleton
1:14
PK1DForbort – DeMelo
1:46
PK2DPoolman – Morrissey
0:51

Current WPG line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Thornton – Marner – Matthews
10:1682% CF
L2Tavares – Kerfoot – Nylander
10:1386% CF
L3Hyman – Engvall – Mikheyev
9:3955% CF
L4Spezza – Boyd – Vesey
4:1550% CF
D1Brodie – Rielly
16:2460% CF
D2Muzzin – Holl
11:5068% CF
D3Bogosian – Dermott
5:4529% CF

PP1Thornton – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
2:17100% CF
PP2Spezza – Brodie – Tavares – Hyman – Boyd
0:27100% CF
PK1FHyman – Marner
1:48
PK2FKerfoot – Mikheyev
1:21
PK1DMuzzin – Holl
1:01
PK2DBogosian – Dermott
0:49

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Winnipeg Jets

WPG skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mark Scheifele C	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.13	1	1	0	20:22	—	—	33	23
Paul Stastny C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	0	1	0	19:38	—	—	31	21
Blake Wheeler R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.37	3	0	0	18:25	—	—	35	25
Kyle Connor L	L2	1	0	1	0	4	0.25	0	0	0	17:32	—	—	43	45
Pierre-Luc Dubois C	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.31	1	0	0	17:02	—	—	42	52
Nikolaj Ehlers L	L2	0	2	2	0	2	0.49	1	0	0	16:36	—	—	35	39
Andrew Copp C	L3	1	1	2	+1	1	0.20	2	1	0	16:54	—	—	43	36
Adam Lowry C	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.03	4	0	0	15:58	—	—	42	29
Mason Appleton C	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.13	0	2	0	14:36	—	—	47	38
Nate Thompson C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	2	8:30	—	—	39	11
Trevor Lewis C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	8:09	—	—	42	8
Mathieu Perreault C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	2	0	0	7:13	—	—	36	7
Josh Morrissey D	D1	1	0	1	+2	2	0.16	0	1	0	29:00	—	—	38	20
Tucker Poolman D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	2	1	0	20:47	—	—	35	19
Neal Pionk D	D2	0	3	3	+2	3	0.03	3	0	2	22:49	—	—	48	47
Derek Forbort D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.09	5	5	0	21:25	—	—	32	27
Dylan DeMelo D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	2	0	17:51	—	—	41	43
Nathan Beaulieu D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	0	1	0	4:15	—	—	25	6

WPG goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Connor Hellebuyck(start)	W	39	36	3	.923	4.99	59:58

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	1	1	-1	5	0.77	0	0	0	24:10	—	—	69	80
Auston Matthews C	L1	2	0	2	-1	6	1.08	2	0	0	22:36	—	—	75	82
Joe Thornton C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	0	0	0	13:27	—	—	78	80
William Nylander R	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.25	0	0	0	19:35	—	—	75	84
John Tavares C	L2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.50	2	0	0	18:21	—	—	70	72
Alexander Kerfoot C	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.60	2	0	0	14:15	—	—	75	75
Zach Hyman L	L3	1	0	1	0	2	0.19	2	0	0	23:18	—	—	58	73
Ilya Mikheyev R	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.28	0	0	0	14:07	—	—	43	39
Pierre Engvall L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	1	1	0	13:34	—	—	46	49
Jimmy Vesey L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.25	0	0	0	8:39	—	—	33	39
Jason Spezza C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	7:21	—	—	44	54
Travis Boyd C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	0	0	6:44	—	—	50	80
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.21	1	0	0	25:46	—	—	63	69
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.14	0	2	0	20:58	—	—	58	57
Jake Muzzin D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.40	1	0	2	20:34	—	—	74	79
Justin Holl D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	2	0	0	18:47	—	—	58	69
Zach Bogosian D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	1	0	2	14:02	—	—	64	72
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	12:53	—	—	33	63

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	L	23	19	4	.826	2.35	56:33

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Winnipeg Jets vs. Toronto Maple LeafsMar 9, 2021

Fantasy takeaways

Winnipeg Jets edge Toronto Maple Leafs 4–3

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Winnipeg Jets

Toronto Maple Leafs

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Winnipeg Jets

Toronto Maple Leafs