Winnipeg Jets vs. Toronto Maple LeafsMar 11, 2021

Final / OTThursday, Mar 11, 2021· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
WPG	1	1	1	0	3		WPG	8	8	10	1	27
TOR	0	1	2	1	4		TOR	10	14	13	1	38

: WPG 42TOR 73
: WPG 2.33TOR 4.24
PP goals: WPG 0TOR 0
Hits: WPG 30TOR 18
Blocks: WPG 18TOR 6
PIM: WPG 2TOR 4
: WPG 44%TOR 56%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Winnipeg Jets 4–3 (OT)

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Winnipeg Jets 4–3 in overtime at home. Nikolaj Ehlers (WPG) led the scoring with 2G 1A. New look for TOR: Thornton–Tavares–Nylander skated 7:26 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (62.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Nikolaj Ehlers had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 2 shots in 17:14.Ehlers
Points
Auston Matthews had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 24:58.Matthews
Points
Mitch Marner had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 24:27.Marner
Points
Morgan Rielly had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 24:54.Rielly
New line
New look for TOR: Thornton–Tavares–Nylander skated 7:26 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (62.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Thornton Tavares Nylander
Goalie
Connor Hellebuyck (WPG) faced 38 shots and stopped 34 (.895), +8 against a season average of 29.7; the overtime loss.Hellebuyck
Usage
Jimmy Vesey (TOR) played 4:41, −8:11 down on his 12:52 season average over 49 games.Vesey
New line
New look for TOR: Kerfoot–Engvall–Mikheyev skated 5:36 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (62.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Kerfoot Engvall Mikheyev

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← WPG attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
WPG
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 115 of 115 attempts · TOR 73 · WPG 42

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
WPG
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
WPG pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: WPG 20% of the game, TOR 50%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

WPG

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	WPG	TOR
	44	78
	2.02	4.15
	1.99	4.00
	5	22
	4	8
	23	14
	−0.064	+0.064
	20%	50%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Winnipeg Jets

L1Wheeler – Stastny – Scheifele
16:5935% CF
L2Ehlers – Connor – Dubois
13:1648% CF
L3Lowry – Copp – Appleton
9:4643% CF
L4Thompson – Lewis – Perreault
5:5410% CF
D1Poolman – Morrissey
19:4226% CF
D2Forbort – Pionk
18:1947% CF
D3DeMelo – Stanley
10:3050% CF

PP1Wheeler – Stastny – Scheifele – Morrissey – Connor
1:5260% CF
PP2Perreault – Copp – Ehlers – Dubois – Pionk
0:550% CF
PK1FThompson – Appleton
0:49
PK1DForbort – DeMelo
1:07

Current WPG line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Hyman – Marner – Matthews
14:1363% CF
L2Thornton – Tavares – Nylander
7:2663% CF
L3Kerfoot – Engvall – Mikheyev
5:3663% CF
L4Spezza – Agostino – Vesey
3:0967% CF
D1Brodie – Rielly
20:2664% CF
D2Muzzin – Holl
19:4369% CF
D3Bogosian – Dermott
9:4957% CF

PP1Thornton – Tavares – Rielly – Marner – Matthews
1:01100% CF
PK1FSpezza – Hyman
0:58
PK2FKerfoot – Engvall
0:23
PK1DMuzzin – Holl
1:21
PK2DBogosian – Brodie
0:32

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Winnipeg Jets

WPG skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mark Scheifele C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	1	1	0	22:56	—	—	41	27
Paul Stastny C	L1	1	0	1	0	4	0.54	0	1	0	21:07	—	—	37	24
Blake Wheeler R	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.10	0	0	0	20:54	—	—	35	24
Kyle Connor L	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.09	0	1	0	17:48	—	—	52	44
Nikolaj Ehlers L	L2	2	1	3	-1	2	0.28	0	0	0	17:14	—	—	53	44
Pierre-Luc Dubois C	L2	0	1	1	-1	3	0.26	1	1	0	15:42	—	—	45	38
Andrew Copp C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	1	1	2	15:21	—	—	33	37
Adam Lowry C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.33	5	0	0	15:01	—	—	29	32
Mason Appleton C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	13:08	—	—	38	47
Mathieu Perreault C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	8:42	—	—	7	9
Trevor Lewis C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	8:19	—	—	8	20
Nate Thompson C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	2	0	0	8:19	—	—	13	33
Josh Morrissey D	D1	0	0	0	+1	5	0.28	3	3	0	25:57	—	—	25	19
Tucker Poolman D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	4	0	21:51	—	—	24	16
Neal Pionk D	D2	0	1	1	-1	2	0.06	9	2	0	22:14	—	—	49	43
Derek Forbort D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.07	0	3	0	20:59	—	—	47	44
Dylan DeMelo D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	2	0	0	14:30	—	—	39	47
Logan Stanley D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	0	0	0	11:01	—	—	47	56

WPG goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Connor Hellebuyck(start)	O	38	34	4	.895	4.24	60:53

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	1	2	-1	5	0.73	3	1	0	24:58	—	—	62	66
Mitch Marner R	L1	1	1	2	-1	5	0.54	0	0	0	24:27	—	—	62	66
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	0	0	0	5	0.77	0	1	0	21:31	—	—	66	77
John Tavares C	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.27	1	0	0	16:47	—	—	69	71
William Nylander R	L2	1	0	1	+1	6	0.76	0	1	0	16:04	—	—	62	69
Joe Thornton C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.21	0	0	0	15:32	—	—	71	60
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.16	2	0	0	15:52	—	—	59	61
Pierre Engvall L	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.21	0	0	0	14:38	—	—	60	65
Ilya Mikheyev R	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.19	2	1	2	13:21	—	—	63	72
Jason Spezza C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	6:59	—	—	71	52
Jimmy Vesey L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	0	0	0	4:41	—	—	50	24
Kenny Agostino L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	4:08	—	—	75	52
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	1	1	+2	1	0.11	0	0	0	25:00	—	—	60	75
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	2	2	+3	2	0.15	2	1	0	24:54	—	—	67	80
Jake Muzzin D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	3	0	0	24:50	—	—	64	68
Justin Holl D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	1	0	22:23	—	—	67	71
Zach Bogosian D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	1	0	2	11:43	—	—	50	29
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	1	0	0	11:09	—	—	68	45

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	27	24	3	.889	2.33	60:59

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Winnipeg Jets vs. Toronto Maple LeafsMar 11, 2021

Fantasy takeaways

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Winnipeg Jets 4–3 (OT)

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Winnipeg Jets

Toronto Maple Leafs

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

OT period

Box score

Winnipeg Jets

Toronto Maple Leafs