Winnipeg Jets vs. Toronto Maple LeafsJan 19, 2023

FinalThursday, Jan 19, 2023· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
WPG	0	0	1	1		WPG	16	10	12	38
TOR	0	3	1	4		TOR	6	10	11	27

: WPG 73TOR 42
: WPG 4.89TOR 2.73
PP goals: WPG 1TOR 0
Hits: WPG 26TOR 24
Blocks: WPG 5TOR 16
PIM: WPG 2TOR 6
: WPG 59%TOR 41%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Winnipeg Jets 4–1

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Winnipeg Jets 4–1 at home. Auston Matthews (TOR) led the scoring with 2G 0A. WPG's first power-play unit (Scheifele, Morrissey, Ehlers, Connor and Dubois) scored 1 power-play goal on 13 attempts in 4:06 together.

Points
Auston Matthews had two goals (2 points) on 7 shots in 17:10.Matthews
Points
Michael Bunting had 2 assists (2 points) in 13:33.Bunting
PP1
WPG's first power-play unit (Scheifele, Morrissey, Ehlers, Connor and Dubois) scored 1 power-play goal on 13 attempts in 4:06 together.Scheifele Morrissey Ehlers Connor Dubois
New line
New look for WPG: Wheeler–Connor–Dubois skated 13:03 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (61.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Wheeler Connor Dubois
Luck
WPG scored 1 goal on 4.89 expected goals (73 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for WPG: Scheifele–Ehlers–Barron skated 8:18 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (60% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Scheifele Ehlers Barron
Goalie
Ilya Samsonov (TOR) faced 38 shots and stopped 37 (.974), +10 against a season average of 28.2; the win.Samsonov
New line
New look for WPG: Lowry–Maenalanen–Perfetti skated 5:50 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (42.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Lowry Maenalanen Perfetti

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← WPG attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
WPG
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 115 of 115 attempts · TOR 42 · WPG 73

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
WPG
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
WPG pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: WPG 35% of the game, TOR 20%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

WPG

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	WPG	TOR
	68	44
	3.11	2.50
	2.99	2.34
	13	11
	7	7
	16	20
	+0.137	−0.136
	35%	20%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Winnipeg Jets

L1Wheeler – Connor – Dubois
13:0362% CF
L2Scheifele – Ehlers – Barron
8:1860% CF
L3Lowry – Maenalanen – Perfetti
5:5043% CF
L4Gagner – Stenlund – Jonsson-Fjallby
4:5480% CF
D1DeMelo – Morrissey
12:4178% CF
D2Dillon – Pionk
11:5258% CF
D3Schmidt – Heinola
6:2740% CF

PP1Scheifele – Morrissey – Ehlers – Connor – Dubois
4:0687% CF
PP2Wheeler – Lowry – Schmidt – Pionk – Perfetti
2:13100% CF
PK1FMaenalanen – Stenlund
0:55
PK2FJonsson-Fjallby – Barron
0:32
PK1DDillon – DeMelo
1:27
PK2DSchmidt – Pionk
0:32

Current WPG line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Jarnkrok – Marner
12:3240% CF
L2Nylander – Bunting – Matthews
11:0732% CF
L3Engvall – Kampf – McMann
9:1253% CF
L4Kerfoot – Hunt – Aston-Reese
4:2533% CF
D1Giordano – Holl
14:2135% CF
D2Benn – Sandin
12:3933% CF
D3Rielly – Liljegren
11:4548% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
1:3067% CF
PP2Jarnkrok – Bunting – Engvall – Liljegren – Sandin
0:26
PK1FMarner – Kampf
1:41
PK2FJarnkrok – Kerfoot
1:27
PK1DGiordano – Holl
3:18
PK2DBenn – Liljegren
0:40

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

0:08
TORAuston Matthews (Michael Bunting, Morgan Rielly)wrist0.02 xG
WPG: Dillon, Scheifele, Ehlers, Pionk, BarronTOR: Rielly, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews, Liljegren
WPG 0 – 1 TOR
3:47
TORAuston Matthews (Michael Bunting, William Nylander)wrist0.16 xG
WPG: Wheeler, Morrissey, Connor, Dubois, HeinolaTOR: Benn, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews, Sandin
WPG 0 – 2 TOR
13:49
TORMitch MarnerSHwrist0.09 xG
WPG: Scheifele, Morrissey, Ehlers, Connor, DuboisTOR: Giordano, Holl, Marner, Kampf
WPG 0 – 3 TOR

3rd period

4:00
WPGKyle ConnorPP (Josh Morrissey, Mark Scheifele)slap0.21 xG
WPG: Scheifele, Morrissey, Ehlers, Connor, DuboisTOR: Benn, Holl, Kampf
WPG 1 – 3 TOR
17:33
TORMark GiordanoEN (Pierre Engvall, Alexander Kerfoot)wrist0.45 xG
WPG: Wheeler, Scheifele, Morrissey, Ehlers, Connor, DuboisTOR: Giordano, Rielly, Kerfoot, Engvall, Kampf
WPG 1 – 4 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Winnipeg Jets

WPG skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Pierre-Luc Dubois C	L1	0	0	0	-3	5	1.88	3	0	2	21:07	—	—	63	63
Kyle Connor L	L1	1	0	1	-3	6	0.83	1	0	0	21:00	—	—	67	68
Blake Wheeler R	L1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.18	0	0	0	17:37	—	—	62	62
Mark Scheifele C	L2	0	1	1	-3	4	0.47	1	0	0	20:12	—	—	65	56
Nikolaj Ehlers L	L2	0	0	0	-3	4	0.80	3	0	0	17:37	—	—	66	68
Morgan Barron C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.13	2	0	0	14:06	—	—	61	57
Adam Lowry C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	0	14:45	—	—	27	24
Cole Perfetti C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	1	0	0	14:06	—	—	31	14
Saku Maenalanen R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	10:16	—	—	33	16
Sam Gagner C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	0	0	12:53	—	—	67	43
Kevin Stenlund C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	0	0	11:22	—	—	72	61
Axel Jonsson-Fjallby L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	1	0	0	8:40	—	—	69	44
Josh Morrissey D	D1	0	1	1	-3	5	0.12	0	2	0	25:51	—	—	65	47
Dylan DeMelo D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	0	0	0	19:55	—	—	74	80
Neal Pionk D	D2	0	0	0	-1	6	0.17	2	0	0	21:37	—	—	60	52
Brenden Dillon D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.08	3	1	0	18:55	—	—	63	72
Nate Schmidt D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	18:39	—	—	38	54
Ville Heinola D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	10:00	—	—	36	30

WPG goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Connor Hellebuyck(start)	L	26	23	3	.885	2.29	59:22

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	1	0	1	+1	1	0.09	0	0	0	19:32	—	—	46	54
Calle Jarnkrok C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	1	0	0	16:41	—	—	46	66
John Tavares C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	1	1	0	16:23	—	—	43	45
Auston Matthews C	L2	2	0	2	+2	7	1.15	2	4	0	17:10	—	—	33	45
William Nylander R	L2	0	1	1	+2	2	0.13	0	0	0	16:41	—	—	35	51
Michael Bunting L	L2	0	2	2	+2	0	0.03	0	0	0	13:33	—	—	33	31
David Kampf C	L3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.01	1	0	0	19:04	—	—	52	48
Pierre Engvall L	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.22	0	0	0	15:19	—	—	41	34
Bobby McMann C	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.22	2	0	0	12:16	—	—	48	37
Alexander Kerfoot C	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	3	1	0	11:47	—	—	33	34
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	2	0	0	8:14	—	—	43	62
Dryden Hunt L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.12	3	0	0	6:32	—	—	29	33
Justin Holl D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	3	0	24:44	—	—	42	60
Mark Giordano D	D1	1	0	1	+2	3	0.49	1	3	2	20:58	—	—	39	56
Rasmus Sandin D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	1	2	19:20	—	—	38	57
Jordie Benn D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	1	0	18:28	—	—	28	27
Morgan Rielly D	D3	0	1	1	+2	3	0.05	1	0	0	20:11	—	—	39	22
Timothy Liljegren D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	2	2	15:47	—	—	46	31

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Samsonov(start)	W	38	37	1	.974	4.89	59:32

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.