Winnipeg Jets vs. Buffalo SabresJan 12, 2023

FinalThursday, Jan 12, 2023· KeyBank Center

away

home

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
WPG	1	1	2	4		WPG	9	9	9	27
BUF	0	1	1	2		BUF	10	16	15	41

: WPG 41BUF 77
: WPG 4.03BUF 4.07
PP goals: WPG 0BUF 0
Hits: WPG 19BUF 9
Blocks: WPG 23BUF 9
PIM: WPG 10BUF 6
: WPG 52%BUF 48%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Winnipeg Jets beat Buffalo Sabres 4–2

Winnipeg Jets beat Buffalo Sabres 4–2 at BUF. Victor Olofsson (BUF) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Connor Hellebuyck (WPG) faced 41 shots and stopped 39 (.951), +10 against a season average of 30.7; the win.

Points
Kyle Connor had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 20:09.Connor
Points
Victor Olofsson had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 6 shots in 13:08.Olofsson
Points
Nikolaj Ehlers had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 15:09.Ehlers
Goalie
Connor Hellebuyck (WPG) faced 41 shots and stopped 39 (.951), +10 against a season average of 30.7; the win.Hellebuyck
Luck
BUF scored 2 goals on 4.07 expected goals (77 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for WPG: Lowry–Maenalanen–Kuhlman skated 6:47 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Lowry Maenalanen Kuhlman
Usage
Dylan Samberg (WPG) played 18:45, +3:53 up on his 14:52 season average over 62 games.Samberg
Usage
Cole Perfetti (WPG) played 9:37, −5:28 down on his 15:05 season average over 50 games.Perfetti

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← WPG attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
WPG
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 118 of 118 attempts · BUF 77 · WPG 41

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
WPG
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
WPG pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: WPG 23% of the game, BUF 51%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

WPG

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	WPG	BUF
	43	60
	2.75	3.87
	2.14	3.59
	12	12
	4	0
	10	12
	+0.051	−0.051
	23%	51%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Winnipeg Jets

L1Ehlers – Connor – Dubois
10:4650% CF
L2Wheeler – Scheifele – Perfetti
7:2853% CF
L3Lowry – Maenalanen – Kuhlman
6:4750% CF
L4Gagner – Stenlund – Jonsson-Fjallby
5:5750% CF
D1DeMelo – Morrissey
12:4043% CF
D2Schmidt – Samberg
8:1073% CF
D3Dillon – Pionk
6:5763% CF

PP1Scheifele – Morrissey – Ehlers – Connor – Dubois
2:5250% CF
PP2Wheeler – Lowry – Schmidt – Pionk – Perfetti
0:56
PK1FLowry – Kuhlman
1:40
PK2FMaenalanen – Jonsson-Fjallby
0:53
PK1DDillon – DeMelo
3:23
PK2DSamberg – Pionk
2:53

Current WPG line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson
11:4365% CF
L2Okposo – Girgensons – Krebs
9:2170% CF
L3Olofsson – Jost – Mittelstadt
8:0780% CF
L4Hinostroza – Asplund – Cozens
6:5325% CF
D1Jokiharju – Power
13:2643% CF
D2Samuelsson – Dahlin
10:2369% CF
D3Bryson – Lyubushkin
6:0586% CF

PP1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Dahlin – Cozens
5:13100% CF
PP2Okposo – Olofsson – Mittelstadt – Krebs – Power
1:0667% CF
PK1FJost – Cozens
2:02
PK2FGirgensons – Krebs
1:08
PK1DJokiharju – Samuelsson
1:18
PK2DDahlin – Lyubushkin
1:08

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Winnipeg Jets

WPG skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kyle Connor L	L1	1	1	2	+2	3	0.35	0	0	0	20:09	—	—	37	49
Pierre-Luc Dubois C	L1	0	0	0	+2	3	0.52	0	1	0	16:45	—	—	43	56
Nikolaj Ehlers L	L1	0	2	2	+1	1	0.28	2	1	0	15:09	—	—	41	56
Mark Scheifele C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.83	0	2	0	16:52	—	—	33	25
Blake Wheeler R	L2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.31	0	1	4	15:50	—	—	41	26
Cole Perfetti C	L2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.17	0	0	0	9:37	—	—	61	36
Adam Lowry C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	5	1	2	17:29	—	—	43	47
Karson Kuhlman C	L3	1	0	1	+2	2	1.02	1	0	0	14:42	—	—	48	63
Saku Maenalanen R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	2	12:43	—	—	33	43
Kevin Stenlund C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	0	3	0	12:38	—	—	43	31
Axel Jonsson-Fjallby L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.11	1	1	0	12:09	—	—	40	28
Sam Gagner C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	0	0	8:00	—	—	39	21
Josh Morrissey D	D1	1	0	1	+1	4	0.28	0	1	2	22:56	—	—	43	36
Dylan DeMelo D	D1	0	1	1	0	1	0.02	2	1	0	22:00	—	—	38	31
Dylan Samberg D	D2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.02	3	4	0	18:45	—	—	56	74
Nate Schmidt D	D2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	15:50	—	—	46	43
Neal Pionk D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	1	4	0	20:28	—	—	24	21
Brenden Dillon D	D3	0	1	1	0	1	0.03	4	1	0	17:58	—	—	44	40

WPG goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Connor Hellebuyck(start)	W	41	39	2	.951	4.07	60:00

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Tage Thompson C	L1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.33	0	0	0	23:32	—	—	61	64
Jeff Skinner L	L1	0	0	0	-2	5	0.31	0	0	0	21:56	—	—	63	67
Alex Tuch R	L1	0	0	0	-2	5	0.97	2	1	4	21:32	—	—	67	70
Peyton Krebs C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	2	0	0	13:55	—	—	73	69
Kyle Okposo R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	1	0	2	13:07	—	—	73	69
Zemgus Girgensons C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	11:30	—	—	75	73
Tyson Jost C	L3	1	0	1	0	4	0.61	0	0	0	14:23	—	—	77	83
Casey Mittelstadt C	L3	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:02	—	—	79	82
Victor Olofsson L	L3	1	1	2	-1	6	0.62	0	0	0	13:08	—	—	83	85
Dylan Cozens C	L4	0	0	0	-1	5	0.41	0	0	0	17:34	—	—	25	18
Vinnie Hinostroza C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.17	0	2	0	10:39	—	—	32	23
Rasmus Asplund C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	9:11	—	—	26	20
Owen Power D	D1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.21	0	1	0	21:58	—	—	51	46
Henri Jokiharju D	D1	0	1	1	-2	1	0.04	1	2	0	19:36	—	—	41	34
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	0	1	1	-1	3	0.11	0	0	0	26:25	—	—	69	65
Mattias Samuelsson D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	0	2	0	18:47	—	—	58	74
Jacob Bryson D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:00	—	—	75	97
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	11:54	—	—	70	81

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen(start)	L	26	23	3	.885	2.33	58:35

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Winnipeg Jets vs. Buffalo SabresJan 12, 2023

Fantasy takeaways

Winnipeg Jets beat Buffalo Sabres 4–2

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Winnipeg Jets

Buffalo Sabres

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Winnipeg Jets

Buffalo Sabres