Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Colorado AvalancheNov 27, 2023

FinalMonday, Nov 27, 2023· Ball Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	0	1	0	1		TBL	14	13	12	39
COL	1	2	1	4		COL	8	8	7	23

: TBL 76COL 54
: TBL 4.00COL 4.32
PP goals: TBL 0COL 1
Hits: TBL 14COL 21
Blocks: TBL 12COL 18
PIM: TBL 40COL 26
: TBL 48%COL 52%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche beat Tampa Bay Lightning 4–1

Colorado Avalanche beat Tampa Bay Lightning 4–1 at home. Ryan Johansen (COL) led the scoring with 2G 0A. COL's first power-play unit (MacKinnon, Drouin, Nichushkin, Rantanen and Makar) scored 1 power-play goal on 12 attempts in 7:18 together.

Points
Ryan Johansen had two goals (2 points) on 3 shots in 10:58.Johansen
Points
Cale Makar had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 26:28.Makar
Points
Nathan MacKinnon had 2 assists (2 points) in 21:45.MacKinnon
PP1
COL's first power-play unit (MacKinnon, Drouin, Nichushkin, Rantanen and Makar) scored 1 power-play goal on 12 attempts in 7:18 together.MacKinnon Drouin Nichushkin Rantanen Makar
Luck
TBL scored 1 goal on 4.00 expected goals (76 attempts), well short of its chances.
Goalie
Alexandar Georgiev (COL) faced 39 shots and stopped 38 (.974), +11 against a season average of 28.1; the win.Georgiev
New line
New look for TBL: Paul–Jeannot–Koepke skated 5:16 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (64.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Paul Jeannot Koepke
New line
New look for TBL: Watson–Glendening–Motte skated 4:17 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (63.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Watson Glendening Motte

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)COL attacks right (top on phones) →

COL
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 130 of 130 attempts · COL 54 · TBL 76

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

COL
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

COL pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 27% of the game, COL 34%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

COL

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	COL
	65	44
	2.50	2.39
	2.32	2.22
	10	12
	2	12
	12	12
	−0.004	+0.005
	27%	34%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Kucherov – Point – Hagel
10:0657% CF
L2Stamkos – Cirelli – Eyssimont
8:4054% CF
L3Paul – Jeannot – Koepke
5:1665% CF
L4Watson – Glendening – Motte
4:1764% CF
D1Hedman – Perbix
13:0840% CF
D2Cernak – Sergachev
11:1871% CF
D3de Haan – Raddysh
9:1855% CF

PP1Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Paul – Point
3:5888% CF
PP2Cirelli – Sergachev – Hagel – Eyssimont – Jeannot
1:33100% CF
PK1FGlendening – Motte
2:28
PK2FPaul – Cirelli
1:43
PK1DCernak – Sergachev
4:28
PK2DHedman – de Haan
2:53

Current TBL line combinations →

Colorado Avalanche

L1MacKinnon – Nichushkin – Rantanen
11:4850% CF
L2Wood – Colton – O'Connor
9:3937% CF
L3Cogliano – Olofsson – Kiviranta
7:1971% CF
L4Tatar – Johansen – Drouin
6:2532% CF
D1Toews – Makar
12:3228% CF
D2Manson – Byram
10:2257% CF
D3Johnson – Jones
6:4533% CF

PP1MacKinnon – Drouin – Nichushkin – Rantanen – Makar
7:1863% CF
PP2Tatar – Johansen – Toews – Colton – Byram
1:19100% CF
PK1FOlofsson – Kiviranta
2:17
PK2FCogliano – O'Connor
1:13
PK1DJohnson – Manson
1:41
PK2DToews – Makar
1:36

Current COL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	1	1	-1	6	0.89	0	0	0	19:41	—	—	61	46
Brayden Point C	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.40	0	1	0	19:35	—	—	62	47
Brandon Hagel L	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.19	0	0	12	18:57	—	—	55	36
Anthony Cirelli C	L2	1	0	1	+1	4	0.50	0	1	0	19:36	—	—	56	57
Steven Stamkos C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.21	0	0	0	15:57	—	—	60	35
Michael Eyssimont C	L2	0	0	0	0	6	0.29	0	0	12	14:06	—	—	50	28
Nick Paul L	L3	0	0	0	-2	6	0.38	0	1	0	19:12	—	—	67	71
Tanner Jeannot L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	2	2	10	11:58	—	—	60	69
Cole Koepke L	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.64	2	1	0	9:30	—	—	61	77
Tyler Motte C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.12	1	0	4	12:39	—	—	65	41
Luke Glendening C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	1	0	0	11:39	—	—	59	55
Austin Watson L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	6:12	—	—	54	28
Victor Hedman D	D1	0	1	1	-1	3	0.26	0	1	0	24:11	—	—	50	49
Nick Perbix D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	16:01	—	—	56	65
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	2	1	0	22:11	—	—	70	25
Erik Cernak D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	2	2	0	20:42	—	—	67	50
Calvin de Haan D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	2	2	15:02	—	—	58	67
Darren Raddysh D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	0	0	0	14:51	—	—	60	40

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	L	22	19	3	.864	2.98	58:32

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Valeri Nichushkin R	L1	1	0	1	+1	1	1.10	4	0	0	23:58	—	—	45	57
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	22:20	—	—	45	57
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	0	2	2	+1	0	0.25	1	0	0	21:45	—	—	46	59
Ross Colton C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.19	2	1	0	13:36	—	—	41	57
Logan O'Connor R	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	13:25	—	—	33	55
Miles Wood L	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.40	0	0	10	12:37	—	—	41	61
Joel Kiviranta L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.26	1	1	0	12:36	—	—	63	53
Fredrik Olofsson L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.77	1	1	0	12:32	—	—	70	74
Andrew Cogliano C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	0	0	10:10	—	—	71	74
Jonathan Drouin L	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.17	0	1	0	15:52	—	—	30	42
Tomas Tatar L	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.13	0	2	0	11:32	—	—	34	41
Ryan Johansen C	L4	2	0	2	+1	3	0.63	1	0	0	10:58	—	—	30	42
Cale Makar D	D1	1	1	2	+2	3	0.17	1	1	2	26:28	—	—	36	76
Devon Toews D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.12	0	1	0	22:17	—	—	33	54
Bowen Byram D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	1	4	19:40	—	—	43	30
Josh Manson D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	4	4	0	18:47	—	—	49	43
Jack Johnson D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	3	3	10	14:34	—	—	37	27
Caleb Jones D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.04	0	1	0	10:58	—	—	41	70

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Alexandar Georgiev(start)	W	39	38	1	.974	4.00	59:55

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Ryan Johansen (COL) 1st 7:12 · unassisted · Odd-man rush · carried in · 2-on-1 at the blue line · 47.7 mph shot · 2.3 s from entry to goal.

Ryan Johansen · 1st 7:12 · COL

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 2-on-1
Passes: 0
Shot: 47.7 mph
Distance: 18 ft
Entry to goal: 2.3 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 16:46 · COL EN

Play: point-shot
Passes: 1
Shot: 45.8 mph
Distance: 71 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Ryan Johansen · 2nd 1:48 · COL

Play: rebound
Entry: carry
Odd man: 2-on-1
Passes: 0
Shot: 72.6 mph
Distance: 19 ft
Entry to goal: 3.4 s
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Cale Makar · 2nd 3:35 · COL PP

Play: deflection
Passes: 3
Shot: 36.7 mph
Distance: 9 ft
Type: deflection

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 19:29 · TBL

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: loose
Odd man: 2-on-1
Passes: 2
Shot: 48.8 mph
Distance: 12 ft
Entry to goal: 2.0 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Colorado AvalancheNov 27, 2023

Fantasy takeaways

Colorado Avalanche beat Tampa Bay Lightning 4–1

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Tampa Bay Lightning

Colorado Avalanche

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Tampa Bay Lightning

Colorado Avalanche

Goal anatomy

Ryan Johansen · 1st 7:12 · COL

Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 16:46 · COL EN

Ryan Johansen · 2nd 1:48 · COL

Cale Makar · 2nd 3:35 · COL PP

Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 19:29 · TBL