Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue JacketsNov 12, 2026

Time TBDThursday, Nov 12, 2026

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

at

home

Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ

Preview

Probable goalies, start odds, schedule edge and each team's lines from its last game.

Schedule Edge

Edge: CBJ +12.5 pts

TBLaway−12.4 pts

Back-to-back · 472 km travel

B2B vs rested CBJ −9.3 pts
Backup likely (75%) −3.1 pts

CBJhome+12.5 pts

1 day rest

TBL on a B2B +9.3 pts
TBL backup likely (75%) +3.2 pts

CBJ has the schedule edge (+12.5 pts net win probability): tbl on a b2b, tbl backup likely (75%), b2b vs rested cbj, backup likely (75%).

· Every game this week →

Tampa Bay Lightning

Goalie: Starter not announced
Start probability: Dennis Hildeby75%
Andrei Vasilevskiy25%
Schedule: Second of a back-to-back
Last game: L 1–5 at NYR · Oct 1

L1Guentzel – Cirelli – Hagel
8:05
L2Kucherov – Point – Mikheyev
6:58
L3Harkins – Goncalves – Geekie
5:04
L4Girgensons – Viel – Holmberg
4:59
D1McDonagh – Cernak
11:26
D2Hedman – D'Astous
11:01
D3Carlson – Moser
9:29
PP1Carlson – Kucherov – Guentzel – Point – Hagel
7:18

Projected TBL lines →·TBL goalies →·Goalie start planner →

Columbus Blue Jackets

Goalie: Starter not announced
Start probability: Jet Greaves82%
Cam Talbot18%
Schedule: Rested
Last game: W 6–3 vs BUF · Oct 1

L1Coyle – Olivier – Sillinger
10:18
L2Johnson – Knies – Fantilli
10:17
L3Heinen – Garland – Lomberg
6:28
L4Monahan – Nichushkin – Voronkov
6:19
D1Werenski – Mateychuk
15:16
D2Soucy – Andrae
8:50
D3Gudbranson – Christiansen
5:17
PP1Coyle – Werenski – Johnson – Knies – Fantilli
2:18

Projected CBJ lines →·CBJ goalies →·Goalie start planner →

Game day: all games on Nov 12.

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.