Tampa Bay Lightning at Montreal CanadiensMar 18, 2027

Time TBDThursday, Mar 18, 2027

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

at

home

Montreal CanadiensMTL

Preview

Probable goalies, start odds, schedule edge and each team's lines from its last game.

Schedule Edge

Edge: MTL +9.3 pts

TBLaway−9.3 pts

Back-to-back · 504 km travel

B2B vs rested MTL −9.3 pts

MTLhome+9.3 pts

1 day rest

TBL on a B2B +9.3 pts

MTL has the schedule edge (+9.3 pts net win probability): tbl on a b2b, b2b vs rested mtl.

· Every game this week →

Tampa Bay Lightning

Goalie: Starter not announced
Start probability: Andrei Vasilevskiy59%
Dennis Hildeby41%
Schedule: Second of a back-to-back
Last game: L 1–5 at NYR · Oct 1

L1Guentzel – Cirelli – Hagel
8:05
L2Kucherov – Point – Mikheyev
6:58
L3Harkins – Goncalves – Geekie
5:04
L4Girgensons – Viel – Holmberg
4:59
D1McDonagh – Cernak
11:26
D2Hedman – D'Astous
11:01
D3Carlson – Moser
9:29
PP1Carlson – Kucherov – Guentzel – Point – Hagel
7:18

Projected TBL lines →·TBL goalies →·Goalie start planner →

Montreal Canadiens

Goalie: Starter not announced
Start probability: Jakub Dobes75%
Samuel Montembeault13%
Jacob Fowler12%
Schedule: Rested
Last game: W 3–2 at TOR · Sep 29

L1Kreider – Suzuki – Caufield
10:28
L2Newhook – Slafkovský – Demidov
9:55
L3Danault – Texier – Dach
9:22
L4Anderson – Evans – Bolduc
7:09
D1Carrier – Hutson
14:10
D2Matheson – Dobson
13:14
D3Struble – Xhekaj
8:26
PP1Suzuki – Caufield – Hutson – Slafkovský – Demidov
2:21

Projected MTL lines →·MTL goalies →·Goalie start planner →

Game day: all games on Mar 18.

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Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.