Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Washington CapitalsMar 1, 2025

FinalSaturday, Mar 1, 2025· Capital One Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	1	0	2	3		TBL	10	6	3	19
WSH	0	0	1	1		WSH	5	8	8	21

: TBL 32WSH 61
: TBL 3.01WSH 2.32
PP goals: TBL 1WSH 0
Hits: TBL 11WSH 14
Blocks: TBL 19WSH 7
PIM: TBL 8WSH 8
: TBL 38%WSH 62%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Washington Capitals 3–1

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Washington Capitals 3–1 at WSH. Brandon Hagel (TBL) led the scoring with 1G 0A. Nick Perbix (TBL) played 7:49, −6:58 down on his 14:47 season average over 73 games.

Usage
Nick Perbix (TBL) played 7:49, −6:58 down on his 14:47 season average over 73 games.Perbix
Usage
Darren Raddysh (TBL) played 12:56, −4:26 down on his 17:22 season average over 72 games.Raddysh
Usage
Emil Lilleberg (TBL) played 11:43, −3:37 down on his 15:20 season average over 75 games.Lilleberg
Usage
Nic Dowd (WSH) played 11:54, −3:19 down on his 15:13 season average over 81 games.Dowd
Usage
Rasmus Sandin (WSH) played 15:41, −3:33 down on his 19:14 season average over 81 games.Sandin
Usage
Pierre-Luc Dubois (WSH) played 20:24, +3:08 up on his 17:16 season average over 81 games.Dubois
Cats
Ryan McDonagh (TBL) blocked 5 shots in 21:44.McDonagh

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)WSH attacks right (top on phones) →

WSH
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 93 of 93 attempts · WSH 61 · TBL 32

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WSH
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WSH pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 31% of the game, WSH 40%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WSH

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	WSH
	26	60
	1.34	2.41
	1.31	2.34
	7	8
	2	7
	18	14
	−0.028	+0.028
	31%	40%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Kucherov – Guentzel – Point
10:4914% CF
L2Paul – Chaffee – Goncalves
7:3562% CF
L3Girgensons – Cirelli – Hagel
6:5829% CF
D1McDonagh – Cernak
13:4230% CF
D2Hedman – Moser
11:2925% CF
D3Perbix – Lilleberg
5:3575% CF

PP1Hedman – Kucherov – Guentzel – Point – Hagel
2:2975% CF
PP2Paul – Raddysh – Cirelli – Chaffee – Goncalves
1:18100% CF
PK1FCirelli – Hagel
2:31
PK2FGlendening – Girgensons
0:44
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
2:57
PK2DHedman – Moser
0:44

Current TBL line combinations →

Washington Capitals

L1Wilson – Dubois – McMichael
10:1967% CF
L2Ovechkin – Strome – Protas
8:2772% CF
L3Eller – Mangiapane – Frank
7:4886% CF
L4Dowd – Raddysh – Duhaime
7:0980% CF
D1Roy – Fehérváry
11:3747% CF
D2Carlson – Chychrun
8:3389% CF
D3van Riemsdyk – Sandin
5:0250% CF

PP1Ovechkin – Carlson – Wilson – Strome – Dubois
2:43100% CF
PP2Ovechkin – Carlson – Mangiapane – McMichael – Frank
1:00
PK1FDowd – Duhaime
2:00
PK2FWilson – Protas
0:43
PK1DCarlson – Fehérváry
2:45
PK2Dvan Riemsdyk – Roy
1:21

Current WSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

17:11
TBLMitchell ChaffeePP (Brayden Point, Nikita Kucherov)snap0.50 xG
TBL: Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, ChaffeeWSH: Carlson, Dowd, Duhaime, Fehérváry
TBL 1 – 0 WSH

3rd period

6:08
TBLGage Goncalves (Nick Paul)snap0.05 xG
TBL: Paul, Raddysh, Chaffee, Goncalves, LillebergWSH: Dowd, van Riemsdyk, Chychrun, Raddysh, Duhaime
TBL 2 – 0 WSH
16:01
WSHAlex Ovechkin (Matt Roy)snap0.20 xG
TBL: McDonagh, Girgensons, Cernak, Cirelli, HagelWSH: Ovechkin, Strome, Roy, Fehérváry, Protas
TBL 2 – 1 WSH
19:01
TBLBrandon HagelENsnap0.75 xG
TBL: Hedman, Guentzel, Point, Cernak, HagelWSH: Ovechkin, Carlson, Wilson, Strome, Chychrun, Dubois
TBL 3 – 1 WSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	1	1	0	0	0.15	1	0	0	20:55	—	—	22	28
Jake Guentzel C	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.24	0	1	2	20:05	—	—	25	22
Brayden Point C	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.29	0	0	0	18:03	—	—	17	5
Nick Paul L	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	16:44	—	—	42	21
Gage Goncalves C	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.14	2	0	0	15:16	—	—	48	36
Mitchell Chaffee R	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.81	1	1	0	14:02	—	—	48	51
Brandon Hagel L	L3	1	0	1	0	4	1.10	0	1	0	22:25	—	—	28	38
Anthony Cirelli C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.14	0	1	0	19:59	—	—	35	47
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	1	0	11:54	—	—	23	38
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	5	0	21:44	—	—	27	45
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	4	0	20:52	—	—	31	44
Victor Hedman D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.08	0	1	0	21:35	—	—	30	33
J.J. Moser D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	1	0	19:50	—	—	22	29
Emil Lilleberg D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	2	11:43	—	—	47	28
Nick Perbix D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	0	0	2	7:49	—	—	64	35
Darren Raddysh D	—	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	2	0	12:56	—	—	13	13
Luke Glendening C	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	2	9:40	—	—	15	57
Michael Eyssimont C	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	8:33	—	—	18	52

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	21	20	1	.952	2.32	59:35

Washington Capitals

WSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Tom Wilson R	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	2	0	2	20:59	—	—	63	68
Pierre-Luc Dubois C	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.39	1	1	2	20:24	—	—	70	70
Connor McMichael L	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.28	1	0	2	16:45	—	—	52	57
Dylan Strome C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	0	1	0	18:44	—	—	67	50
Alex Ovechkin L	L2	1	0	1	0	3	0.57	2	0	2	18:38	—	—	73	64
Aliaksei Protas L	L2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.34	0	0	0	17:41	—	—	67	65
Lars Eller C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	12:09	—	—	67	96
Andrew Mangiapane L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	10:25	—	—	80	100
Ethen Frank R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	0	0	0	9:57	—	—	78	100
Nic Dowd C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	11:54	—	—	79	72
Brandon Duhaime L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	3	1	0	10:38	—	—	82	42
Taylor Raddysh R	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.08	2	0	0	9:58	—	—	80	38
Matt Roy D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.12	0	0	0	20:32	—	—	58	48
Martin Fehérváry D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	20:27	—	—	56	74
John Carlson D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.26	0	0	0	22:13	—	—	89	82
Jakob Chychrun D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.03	2	1	0	21:15	—	—	82	66
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	0	0	0	16:15	—	—	50	35
Rasmus Sandin D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	0	1	0	15:41	—	—	71	56

WSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Logan Thompson(start)	L	18	16	2	.889	2.26	58:57

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Mitchell Chaffee (TBL PP) 1st 17:11 · assists Brayden Point, Nikita Kucherov · Rebound · 46.1 mph shot.

Mitchell Chaffee · 1st 17:11 · TBL PP

Play: rebound
Passes: 0
Shot: 46.1 mph
Distance: 17 ft
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Gage Goncalves · 3rd 6:08 · TBL

Play: rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 42.5 mph
Distance: 37 ft
Entry to goal: 5.2 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 16:01 · WSH

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 59.8 mph
Distance: 26 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Brandon Hagel · 3rd 19:01 · TBL EN

Play: rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 62.5 mph
Distance: 43 ft
Entry to goal: 1.7 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.