Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Carolina HurricanesMar 5, 2023

FinalSunday, Mar 5, 2023· PNC Arena

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

0

@

home

Carolina HurricanesCAR

6

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	0	0	0	0		TBL	4	0	10	14
CAR	2	2	2	6		CAR	12	11	15	38

: TBL 37CAR 59
: TBL 1.39CAR 3.53
PP goals: TBL 0CAR 4
Hits: TBL 18CAR 12
Blocks: TBL 12CAR 10
PIM: TBL 20CAR 16
: TBL 46%CAR 54%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes rout Tampa Bay Lightning 6–0

Carolina Hurricanes beat Tampa Bay Lightning 6–0 at home. Jesperi Kotkaniemi (CAR) led the scoring with 1G 4A. Victor Hedman (TBL) played 7:17, −16:39 down on his 23:56 season average over 75 games.

Points
Jesperi Kotkaniemi had a goal and 4 assists (5 points) on 1 shot in 17:26.Kotkaniemi
Points
Teuvo Teravainen had a hat trick (3 points) on 8 shots in 14:45.Teravainen
Points
Shayne Gostisbehere had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 17:06.Gostisbehere
Points
Martin Necas had 3 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 15:46.Necas
Usage
Victor Hedman (TBL) played 7:17, −16:39 down on his 23:56 season average over 75 games.Hedman
New line
New look for TBL: Perry–Bellemare–Colton skated 4:44 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (40% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Perry Bellemare Colton
Goalie
Andrei Vasilevskiy (TBL) faced 38 shots and stopped 32 (.842), +7 against a season average of 31.3; the loss.Vasilevskiy
Luck
CAR scored 6 goals on 3.53 expected goals (59 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)CAR attacks right (top on phones) →

CAR
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 96 of 96 attempts · CAR 59 · TBL 37

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CAR
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CAR pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 17% of the game, CAR 60%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CAR

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	CAR
	36	44
	1.09	2.20
	0.99	2.15
	4	13
	1	6
	24	30
	−0.045	+0.046
	17%	60%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Kucherov – Point
9:0038% CF
L2Perry – Bellemare – Colton
4:4440% CF
L3Killorn – Paul – Hagel
3:170% CF
L4Cirelli – Eyssimont – Jeannot
2:560% CF
D1Cole – Perbix
6:2560% CF
D2Bogosian – Fleury
5:3860% CF
D3Hedman – Sergachev
2:13100% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Kucherov – Point – Sergachev
2:2060% CF
PP2Perry – Hedman – Kucherov – Paul – Hagel
0:38100% CF
PK1FCirelli – Hagel
2:03
PK2FKillorn – Bellemare
1:36
PK1DCole – Sergachev
2:02
PK2DHedman – Fleury
0:43

Current TBL line combinations →

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Aho – Svechnikov – Jarvis
12:1559% CF
L2Teravainen – Necas – Kotkaniemi
10:0573% CF
L3Staal – Fast – Martinook
9:5362% CF
L4Stastny – Stepan – Noesen
8:5725% CF
D1Skjei – Pesce
16:1455% CF
D2Burns – Slavin
14:2362% CF
D3Gostisbehere – Chatfield
11:1562% CF

PP1Burns – Noesen – Aho – Necas – Svechnikov
3:40100% CF
PP2Stastny – Teravainen – Gostisbehere – Kotkaniemi – Jarvis
2:42100% CF
PK1FTeravainen – Aho
1:18
PK2FStaal – Fast
0:56
PK1DSkjei – Pesce
1:57
PK2DBurns – Slavin
1:55

Current CAR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

6:30
CARAndrei Svechnikovwrist0.08 xG
TBL: Cole, Bogosian, Cirelli, Eyssimont, JeannotCAR: Gostisbehere, Chatfield, Kotkaniemi, Svechnikov, Jarvis
TBL 0 – 1 CAR
17:13
CARTeuvo TeravainenPP (Jesperi Kotkaniemi, Shayne Gostisbehere)wrist0.11 xG
TBL: Killorn, Hedman, Bellemare, FleuryCAR: Stastny, Teravainen, Gostisbehere, Kotkaniemi, Jarvis
TBL 0 – 2 CAR

2nd period

11:57
CARTeuvo Teravainen (Martin Necas, Jesperi Kotkaniemi)wrist0.27 xG
TBL: Killorn, Fleury, Cirelli, Hagel, PerbixCAR: Skjei, Teravainen, Pesce, Necas, Kotkaniemi
TBL 0 – 3 CAR
15:50
CARShayne GostisbeherePP (Martin Necas, Jesperi Kotkaniemi)slap0.06 xG
TBL: Killorn, Bellemare, Fleury, PerbixCAR: Noesen, Gostisbehere, Aho, Necas, Kotkaniemi
TBL 0 – 4 CAR

3rd period

11:03
CARTeuvo TeravainenPP (Shayne Gostisbehere, Jesperi Kotkaniemi)wrist0.05 xG
TBL: Cole, Stamkos, Bogosian, PaulCAR: Stastny, Teravainen, Gostisbehere, Kotkaniemi, Jarvis
TBL 0 – 5 CAR
16:34
CARJesperi KotkaniemiPP (Brent Burns, Martin Necas)tip-in0.15 xG
TBL: Cole, Bellemare, FleuryCAR: Burns, Aho, Necas, Kotkaniemi, Svechnikov
TBL 0 – 6 CAR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brayden Point C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.18	0	0	0	18:40	—	—	42	35
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.40	1	0	2	17:38	—	—	42	46
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	5	0	0	17:25	—	—	38	18
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:20	—	—	75	88
Corey Perry R	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	1	0	0	11:20	—	—	67	38
Ross Colton C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.20	1	0	0	10:27	—	—	64	85
Brandon Hagel L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.16	1	1	0	16:52	—	—	27	22
Nick Paul L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	2	0	0	15:32	—	—	53	23
Alex Killorn L	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.14	0	2	2	15:09	—	—	33	4
Anthony Cirelli C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	0	0	15:14	—	—	13	2
Tanner Jeannot L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	2	14:24	—	—	47	27
Michael Eyssimont C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.10	2	1	0	11:24	—	—	53	45
Ian Cole D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	1	2	0	24:24	—	—	50	53
Nick Perbix D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	20:58	—	—	33	8
Zach Bogosian D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	2	2	14	20:22	—	—	55	53
Haydn Fleury D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	0	1	0	19:23	—	—	44	34
Mikhail Sergachev D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.08	1	1	0	23:43	—	—	41	33
Victor Hedman D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	2	0	7:17	—	—	33	26

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	L	38	32	6	.842	3.53	59:29

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sebastian Aho C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.25	0	0	0	19:38	—	—	64	65
Andrei Svechnikov R	L1	1	0	1	+1	6	0.52	2	0	2	17:37	—	—	62	63
Seth Jarvis R	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.47	1	1	2	17:08	—	—	60	61
Jesperi Kotkaniemi C	L2	1	4	5	+2	1	0.16	0	0	0	17:26	—	—	59	81
Martin Necas C	L2	0	3	3	+1	2	0.05	0	0	0	15:46	—	—	75	89
Teuvo Teravainen C	L2	3	0	3	+1	8	1.06	0	0	0	14:45	—	—	73	87
Jordan Martinook L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	0	1	2	14:34	—	—	59	87
Jordan Staal C	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.31	1	1	0	13:36	—	—	62	90
Jesper Fast R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	1	1	0	13:26	—	—	67	93
Stefan Noesen R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	2	0	0	14:42	—	—	23	13
Paul Stastny C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:21	—	—	23	11
Derek Stepan C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	10:41	—	—	21	13
Brady Skjei D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	20:15	—	—	52	71
Brett Pesce D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	1	2	10	20:11	—	—	57	83
Jaccob Slavin D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	1	2	0	20:51	—	—	53	55
Brent Burns D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.02	0	0	0	20:35	—	—	62	57
Shayne Gostisbehere D	D3	1	2	3	+1	2	0.20	0	0	0	17:06	—	—	47	54
Jalen Chatfield D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.15	2	1	0	14:22	—	—	60	85

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	14	14	0	.1000	1.39	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.