Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Carolina HurricanesMar 11, 2025

FinalTuesday, Mar 11, 2025· Lenovo Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	0	0	1	1		TBL	10	6	8	24
CAR	1	2	1	4		CAR	8	15	8	31

: TBL 61CAR 61
: TBL 2.82CAR 3.70
PP goals: TBL 0CAR 0
Hits: TBL 25CAR 16
Blocks: TBL 17CAR 16
PIM: TBL 10CAR 4
: TBL 58%CAR 42%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes beat Tampa Bay Lightning 4–1

Carolina Hurricanes beat Tampa Bay Lightning 4–1 at home. Seth Jarvis (CAR) led the scoring with 1G 0A. New look for CAR: Aho–Jarvis–Blake skated 11:18 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (70.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

New line
New look for CAR: Aho–Jarvis–Blake skated 11:18 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (70.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Aho Jarvis Blake
Usage
Brandon Hagel (TBL) played 14:52, −5:57 down on his 20:49 season average over 81 games.Hagel
New line
New look for CAR: Hall–Jost–Kotkaniemi skated 8:15 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Hall Jost Kotkaniemi
New line
New look for CAR: Staal–Martinook–Stankoven skated 7:03 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (40% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Staal Martinook Stankoven
Usage
Jordan Martinook (CAR) played 10:54, −4:27 down on his 15:21 season average over 78 games.Martinook
Luck
TBL scored 1 goal on 2.82 expected goals (61 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Jack Roslovic (CAR) played 17:51, +4:05 up on his 13:46 season average over 80 games.Roslovic
Usage
Jordan Staal (CAR) played 11:24, −4:06 down on his 15:30 season average over 74 games.Staal

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)CAR attacks right (top on phones) →

CAR
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 122 of 122 attempts · CAR 61 · TBL 61

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CAR
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CAR pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 34% of the game, CAR 42%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CAR

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	CAR
	59	60
	2.79	3.68
	2.54	3.28
	10	14
	4	2
	23	14
	+0.044	−0.044
	34%	42%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Kucherov – Guentzel – Point
9:1163% CF
L2Paul – Cirelli – Hagel
6:0868% CF
L3Gourde – Bjorkstrand – Goncalves
5:0467% CF
D1McDonagh – Cernak
9:3433% CF
D2Perbix – Lilleberg
7:2650% CF
D3Hedman – Raddysh
7:1756% CF

PP1Hedman – Kucherov – Guentzel – Bjorkstrand – Point
1:44100% CF
PP2McDonagh – Kucherov – Guentzel – Point – Raddysh
0:140% CF
PK1FCirelli – Hagel
3:01
PK2FGlendening – Girgensons
2:07
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
4:04
PK2DHedman – Moser
2:22

Current TBL line combinations →

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Aho – Jarvis – Blake
11:1870% CF
L2Jankowski – Roslovic – Robinson
9:1429% CF
L3Hall – Jost – Kotkaniemi
8:1550% CF
L4Staal – Martinook – Stankoven
7:0340% CF
D1Burns – Slavin
14:1050% CF
D2Chatfield – Walker
9:5548% CF
D3Gostisbehere – Morrow
8:2147% CF

PP1Hall – Gostisbehere – Aho – Jarvis – Stankoven
4:4440% CF
PP2Burns – Roslovic – Walker – Kotkaniemi – Blake
1:58100% CF
PK1FStaal – Martinook
1:44
PK2FAho – Jarvis
0:14
PK1DBurns – Slavin
1:44
PK2DChatfield – Walker
0:14

Current CAR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jake Guentzel C	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.23	3	0	0	21:28	—	—	49	40
Brayden Point C	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.27	2	1	0	19:01	—	—	57	48
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.07	0	0	0	15:17	—	—	38	36
Anthony Cirelli C	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.24	1	1	0	15:17	—	—	65	78
Brandon Hagel L	L2	0	1	1	-1	1	0.06	0	0	0	14:52	—	—	69	78
Nick Paul L	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.49	0	0	0	12:55	—	—	53	52
Yanni Gourde C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.15	5	0	2	16:43	—	—	47	38
Oliver Bjorkstrand R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.08	1	0	0	14:15	—	—	50	39
Gage Goncalves C	L3	1	0	1	0	2	0.20	1	0	2	11:49	—	—	69	84
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.17	0	5	0	19:18	—	—	48	31
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	2	0	0	18:21	—	—	35	19
Emil Lilleberg D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	14:57	—	—	56	49
Nick Perbix D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.08	0	2	0	12:22	—	—	46	43
Victor Hedman D	D3	0	0	0	-2	4	0.63	0	3	2	23:08	—	—	38	36
Darren Raddysh D	D3	0	1	1	-2	0	0.00	1	1	0	14:38	—	—	65	58
J.J. Moser D	—	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	1	3	0	16:35	—	—	57	43
Luke Glendening C	—	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	3	1	0	13:42	—	—	33	9
Zemgus Girgensons C	—	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	4	0	0	13:22	—	—	31	16

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	L	31	27	4	.871	3.70	60:00

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sebastian Aho C	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.17	0	0	0	20:12	—	—	71	67
Seth Jarvis R	L1	1	0	1	+1	4	0.48	1	1	0	19:54	—	—	67	64
Jackson Blake R	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.59	1	1	2	16:34	—	—	59	61
Jack Roslovic C	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.16	0	0	0	17:51	—	—	46	84
Eric Robinson L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.26	3	1	0	12:48	—	—	36	68
Mark Jankowski L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.19	0	0	0	11:37	—	—	42	69
Taylor Hall L	L3	0	1	1	+1	3	0.21	2	0	0	17:57	—	—	60	74
Jesperi Kotkaniemi C	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.05	1	0	0	15:29	—	—	52	70
Tyson Jost C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	10:04	—	—	50	45
Logan Stankoven C	L4	0	0	0	+2	2	0.12	1	1	0	16:40	—	—	35	30
Jordan Staal C	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.07	1	0	0	11:24	—	—	35	28
Jordan Martinook L	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.27	1	0	0	10:54	—	—	39	29
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.25	0	2	0	22:35	—	—	54	60
Brent Burns D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.09	1	1	0	22:24	—	—	51	58
Sean Walker D	D2	1	0	1	+3	4	0.47	1	3	0	19:32	—	—	53	53
Jalen Chatfield D	D2	0	1	1	+3	0	0.00	1	3	0	17:18	—	—	46	46
Shayne Gostisbehere D	D3	0	0	0	+2	2	0.06	0	0	2	17:50	—	—	52	66
Scott Morrow D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.26	0	3	0	15:12	—	—	46	65

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pyotr Kochetkov(start)	W	24	23	1	.958	2.82	59:45

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Seth Jarvis (CAR SH) 1st 4:29 · assists Sebastian Aho · Odd-man rush · loose puck · 2-on-1 at the blue line · 46.4 mph shot · 2.3 s from entry to goal.

Seth Jarvis · 1st 4:29 · CAR SH

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: loose
Odd man: 2-on-1
Passes: 0
Shot: 46.4 mph
Distance: 25 ft
Entry to goal: 2.3 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Jordan Martinook · 2nd 12:56 · CAR

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 4-on-3
Passes: 0
Shot: 33.9 mph
Distance: 21 ft
Entry to goal: 2.6 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Jack Roslovic · 2nd 19:15 · CAR

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 2-on-1
Passes: 0
Shot: 55.9 mph
Distance: 24 ft
Entry to goal: 2.7 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Gage Goncalves · 3rd 4:38 · TBL

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 2-on-1
Passes: 0
Shot: 53.2 mph
Distance: 30 ft
Entry to goal: 3.3 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Sean Walker · 3rd 6:26 · CAR

Play: deflection
Passes: 2
Shot: 39.1 mph
Distance: 9 ft
Type: deflection

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Carolina HurricanesMar 11, 2025

Fantasy takeaways

Carolina Hurricanes beat Tampa Bay Lightning 4–1

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Tampa Bay Lightning

Carolina Hurricanes

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Tampa Bay Lightning

Carolina Hurricanes

Goal anatomy

Seth Jarvis · 1st 4:29 · CAR SH

Jordan Martinook · 2nd 12:56 · CAR

Jack Roslovic · 2nd 19:15 · CAR

Gage Goncalves · 3rd 4:38 · TBL

Sean Walker · 3rd 6:26 · CAR