Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York IslandersMar 27, 2022

FinalSunday, Mar 27, 2022· UBS Arena

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

4

@

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New York IslandersNYI

1

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	0	2	2	4		TBL	9	11	14	34
NYI	1	0	0	1		NYI	11	7	6	24

: TBL 64NYI 54
: TBL 3.03NYI 3.34
PP goals: TBL 1NYI 0
Hits: TBL 17NYI 13
Blocks: TBL 15NYI 16
PIM: TBL 15NYI 17
: TBL 46%NYI 54%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning beat New York Islanders 4–1

Tampa Bay Lightning beat New York Islanders 4–1 at NYI. Mikhail Sergachev (TBL) led the scoring with 1G 1A. TBL's first power-play unit (Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov and Point) scored 1 power-play goal on 8 attempts in 4:27 together.

Points
Mikhail Sergachev had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 22:03.Sergachev
PP1
TBL's first power-play unit (Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov and Point) scored 1 power-play goal on 8 attempts in 4:27 together.Killorn Stamkos Hedman Kucherov Point
Luck
NYI scored 1 goal on 3.34 expected goals (54 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Nick Paul (TBL) played 12:20, −4:14 down on his 16:34 season average over 79 games.Paul
Usage
Ondrej Palat (TBL) played 13:00, −3:33 down on his 16:33 season average over 76 games.Palat
Usage
Cal Foote (TBL) played 16:14, +3:10 up on his 13:04 season average over 55 games.Foote
Usage
Kyle Palmieri (NYI) played 12:26, −3:14 down on his 15:40 season average over 68 games.Palmieri
Usage
Mathew Barzal (NYI) played 14:58, −3:06 down on his 18:04 season average over 72 games.Barzal

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)NYI attacks right (top on phones) →

NYI
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 118 of 118 attempts · NYI 54 · TBL 64

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NYI
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NYI pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 27% of the game, NYI 35%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NYI

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	NYI
	66	46
	3.17	2.23
	2.92	2.16
	18	13
	5	7
	13	12
	+0.010	−0.011
	27%	35%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Kucherov – Point
9:0550% CF
L2Paul – Colton – Hagel
8:1447% CF
L3Perry – Maroon – Bellemare
8:1388% CF
L4Killorn – Palat – Cirelli
7:3264% CF
D1Cernak – Sergachev
12:3063% CF
D2Bogosian – Foote
12:1459% CF
D3Hedman – Rutta
12:0355% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Point
4:2789% CF
PP2Perry – Maroon – Palat – Sergachev – Colton
2:0250% CF
PK1FKillorn – Bellemare
1:50
PK2FPaul – Cirelli
1:24
PK1DHedman – Rutta
2:02
PK2DCernak – Sergachev
1:42

Current TBL line combinations →

New York Islanders

L1Lee – Nelson – Beauvillier
11:5445% CF
L2Bailey – Palmieri – Pageau
8:3264% CF
L3Parise – Barzal – Wahlstrom
8:2650% CF
L4Martin – Cizikas – Johnston
7:2013% CF
D1Chara – Dobson
15:2042% CF
D2Pelech – Pulock
13:4355% CF
D3Greene – Hutton
12:5032% CF

PP1Lee – Nelson – Pageau – Barzal – Dobson
3:42100% CF
PP2Parise – Bailey – Palmieri – Pulock – Beauvillier
0:52100% CF
PK1FParise – Pageau
2:29
PK2FBailey – Cizikas
2:10
PK1DChara – Greene
3:31
PK2DPelech – Pulock
2:59

Current NYI line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

18:14
NYIBrock Nelson (Adam Pelech)wrist0.10 xG
TBL: Palat, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, SergachevNYI: Lee, Nelson, Pelech, Pulock, Beauvillier
TBL 0 – 1 NYI

2nd period

1:10
TBLVictor HedmanPP (Brayden Point, Andrei Vasilevskiy)wrist0.10 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, PointNYI: Greene, Bailey, Cizikas, Dobson
TBL 1 – 1 NYI
9:47
TBLAlex Killorn (Anthony Cirelli)tip-in0.06 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Bogosian, Cirelli, SergachevNYI: Lee, Nelson, Pelech, Pulock, Beauvillier
TBL 2 – 1 NYI

3rd period

9:10
TBLRoss Colton (Mikhail Sergachev)wrist0.03 xG
TBL: Bellemare, Cernak, Sergachev, Colton, HagelNYI: Parise, Pelech, Pulock, Barzal, Wahlstrom
TBL 3 – 1 NYI
16:56
TBLMikhail Sergachev (Steven Stamkos, Nikita Kucherov)wrist0.03 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, SergachevNYI: Martin, Cizikas, Pelech, Johnston, Hutton
TBL 4 – 1 NYI

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	1	1	0	4	0.41	0	0	0	18:39	—	—	50	53
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	1	1	+2	2	0.23	0	0	0	17:37	—	—	59	59
Brayden Point C	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.26	0	0	2	17:35	—	—	41	46
Brandon Hagel L	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	0	0	0	14:23	—	—	52	42
Nick Paul L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	0	2	0	12:20	—	—	50	40
Ross Colton C	L2	1	0	1	+1	5	0.41	0	1	0	11:49	—	—	57	46
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	15:17	—	—	77	87
Corey Perry R	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.28	1	0	4	13:55	—	—	82	86
Patrick Maroon L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.50	3	0	5	11:24	—	—	88	91
Alex Killorn L	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.19	2	0	0	18:53	—	—	52	51
Anthony Cirelli C	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	0	0	0	16:01	—	—	65	60
Ondrej Palat L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.10	0	0	0	13:00	—	—	47	41
Mikhail Sergachev D	D1	1	1	2	+2	2	0.15	3	1	0	22:03	—	—	59	55
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	1	3	2	17:42	—	—	66	66
Cal Foote D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	4	1	0	16:14	—	—	56	67
Zach Bogosian D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	2	0	15:36	—	—	58	65
Victor Hedman D	D3	1	0	1	0	6	0.31	0	3	0	24:34	—	—	61	53
Jan Rutta D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	2	2	16:58	—	—	55	38

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	24	23	1	.958	3.34	60:00

New York Islanders

NYI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Anders Lee L	L1	0	0	0	0	5	0.73	0	0	2	18:50	—	—	50	52
Anthony Beauvillier R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	0	0	0	18:15	—	—	39	42
Brock Nelson C	L1	1	0	1	0	4	0.44	0	0	0	18:10	—	—	48	50
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.28	1	1	0	17:36	—	—	56	71
Josh Bailey R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.31	0	1	0	16:05	—	—	50	64
Kyle Palmieri C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.27	1	0	4	12:26	—	—	63	70
Zach Parise L	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.31	1	3	0	15:53	—	—	48	47
Mathew Barzal C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.39	0	0	0	14:58	—	—	48	45
Oliver Wahlstrom R	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.09	3	0	0	10:37	—	—	46	51
Casey Cizikas C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.17	0	0	0	15:10	—	—	13	15
Ross Johnston L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	5	9:28	—	—	10	13
Matt Martin L	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.05	1	1	4	9:27	—	—	17	17
Noah Dobson D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	1	2	0	20:33	—	—	43	53
Zdeno Chara D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	2	20:16	—	—	41	47
Adam Pelech D	D2	0	1	1	-2	0	0.00	0	0	0	20:58	—	—	47	49
Ryan Pulock D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.12	1	3	0	18:56	—	—	55	58
Andy Greene D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	3	0	17:41	—	—	31	20
Grant Hutton D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	16:46	—	—	29	20

NYI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Sorokin(start)	L	20	18	2	.900	1.57	40:00
Semyon Varlamov	—	14	12	2	.857	1.46	20:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.