Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Winnipeg JetsJan 6, 2023

FinalFriday, Jan 6, 2023· Canada Life Centre

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

2

@

home

Winnipeg JetsWPG

4

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	1	1	0	2		TBL	12	5	11	28
WPG	1	1	2	4		WPG	4	9	7	20

: TBL 61WPG 49
: TBL 2.83WPG 3.66
PP goals: TBL 0WPG 2
Hits: TBL 11WPG 31
Blocks: TBL 14WPG 17
PIM: TBL 21WPG 17
: TBL 57%WPG 43%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Winnipeg Jets beat Tampa Bay Lightning 4–2

Winnipeg Jets beat Tampa Bay Lightning 4–2 at home. Josh Morrissey (WPG) led the scoring with 0G 3A. WPG's first power-play unit (Scheifele, Morrissey, Ehlers, Connor and Dubois) scored 2 power-play goals on 10 attempts in 3:58 together.

Points
Josh Morrissey had 3 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 22:11.Morrissey
Points
Pierre-Luc Dubois had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 18:08.Dubois
Points
Anthony Cirelli had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 15:46.Cirelli
Points
Kyle Connor had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 21:24.Connor
Points
Mark Scheifele had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 15:31.Scheifele
PP1
WPG's first power-play unit (Scheifele, Morrissey, Ehlers, Connor and Dubois) scored 2 power-play goals on 10 attempts in 3:58 together.Scheifele Morrissey Ehlers Connor Dubois
New line
New look for WPG: Ehlers–Connor–Dubois skated 9:41 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (40% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Ehlers Connor Dubois
New line
New look for WPG: Wheeler–Scheifele–Perfetti skated 6:48 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (53.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Wheeler Scheifele Perfetti

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)WPG attacks right (top on phones) →

WPG
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 110 of 110 attempts · WPG 49 · TBL 61

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WPG
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WPG pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 39% of the game, WPG 26%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WPG

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	WPG
	49	36
	2.09	1.68
	1.96	1.64
	11	8
	4	5
	8	19
	+0.083	−0.083
	39%	26%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Killorn – Stamkos – Cirelli
8:1365% CF
L2Kucherov – Point – Hagel
8:1160% CF
L3Maroon – Paul – Colton
6:4543% CF
L4Perry – Namestnikov – Bellemare
4:4263% CF
D1Cole – Cernak
12:0164% CF
D2Sergachev – Perbix
10:4757% CF
D3Fleury – Foote
8:1750% CF

PP1Stamkos – Kucherov – Point – Sergachev – Hagel
4:25100% CF
PP2Perry – Killorn – Paul – Colton – Perbix
0:56100% CF
PK1FKillorn – Bellemare
2:13
PK2FCirelli – Hagel
1:35
PK1DFleury – Sergachev
2:33
PK2DCole – Cernak
2:20

Current TBL line combinations →

Winnipeg Jets

L1Ehlers – Connor – Dubois
9:4140% CF
L2Wheeler – Scheifele – Perfetti
6:4853% CF
L3Lowry – Barron – Kuhlman
6:1440% CF
L4Gagner – Stenlund – Jonsson-Fjallby
5:0125% CF
D1Schmidt – Samberg
10:4547% CF
D2DeMelo – Morrissey
10:3126% CF
D3Dillon – Pionk
9:5747% CF

PP1Scheifele – Morrissey – Ehlers – Connor – Dubois
3:5883% CF
PP2Wheeler – Lowry – Schmidt – Pionk – Perfetti
2:44100% CF
PK1FLowry – Barron
2:09
PK2FStenlund – Kuhlman
0:57
PK1DDillon – DeMelo
4:11
PK2DSamberg – Pionk
1:11

Current WPG line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

11:48
TBLAnthony Cirelli (Steven Stamkos)snap0.03 xG
TBL: Killorn, Cole, Stamkos, Cernak, CirelliWPG: Wheeler, Dillon, Scheifele, Pionk, Perfetti
TBL 1 – 0 WPG
19:21
WPGPierre-Luc Dubois (Kyle Connor, Josh Morrissey)tip-in0.06 xG
TBL: Cole, Kucherov, Point, CernakWPG: Schmidt, Morrissey, Connor, Dubois
TBL 1 – 1 WPG

2nd period

1:35
TBLNikita Kucherov (Ian Cole, Anthony Cirelli)snap0.05 xG
TBL: Cole, Stamkos, Kucherov, Cirelli, FooteWPG: Scheifele, Schmidt, Samberg, Barron, Kuhlman
TBL 2 – 1 WPG
7:05
WPGPierre-Luc DuboisPP (Josh Morrissey, Mark Scheifele)tip-in0.41 xG
TBL: Cole, Cernak, CirelliWPG: Scheifele, Morrissey, Ehlers, Connor, Dubois
TBL 2 – 2 WPG

3rd period

5:38
WPGKyle ConnorPP (Mark Scheifele, Josh Morrissey)slap0.13 xG
TBL: Cernak, Cirelli, SergachevWPG: Scheifele, Morrissey, Ehlers, Connor, Dubois
TBL 2 – 3 WPG
18:34
WPGMorgan BarronEN (Adam Lowry)wrap-around0.62 xG
TBL: Perry, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, HagelWPG: Dillon, DeMelo, Barron, Kuhlman
TBL 2 – 4 WPG

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	1	1	+1	5	0.69	0	0	2	20:24	—	—	68	79
Anthony Cirelli C	L1	1	1	2	+2	2	0.17	0	2	7	15:46	—	—	63	73
Alex Killorn L	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.22	0	0	0	15:38	—	—	58	73
Nikita Kucherov R	L2	1	0	1	-1	2	0.18	0	0	0	20:57	—	—	65	40
Brandon Hagel L	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.03	1	2	0	20:41	—	—	65	35
Brayden Point C	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.16	0	0	0	19:22	—	—	67	44
Nick Paul L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.38	0	0	2	15:44	—	—	40	41
Ross Colton C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.23	3	0	0	10:50	—	—	44	43
Patrick Maroon L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	2	0	0	10:11	—	—	42	41
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	9:50	—	—	56	38
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	2	0	4	9:01	—	—	50	34
Corey Perry R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.06	0	0	0	7:00	—	—	63	45
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	0	1	0	22:03	—	—	72	69
Ian Cole D	D1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.05	2	2	0	21:23	—	—	61	70
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.12	0	3	0	27:44	—	—	59	39
Nick Perbix D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.24	0	1	0	17:17	—	—	56	55
Haydn Fleury D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	1	2	0	14:29	—	—	44	48
Cal Foote D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	6	10:43	—	—	52	39

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	L	19	16	3	.842	3.04	58:20

Winnipeg Jets

WPG skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kyle Connor L	L1	1	1	2	+1	1	0.13	0	0	4	21:24	—	—	39	43
Pierre-Luc Dubois C	L1	2	0	2	+1	4	0.96	3	1	4	18:08	—	—	38	35
Nikolaj Ehlers L	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.27	3	0	0	17:22	—	—	40	41
Mark Scheifele C	L2	0	2	2	-2	1	0.24	2	1	5	15:31	—	—	50	49
Blake Wheeler R	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	2	13:14	—	—	56	32
Cole Perfetti C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.10	0	0	0	11:48	—	—	53	36
Adam Lowry C	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.12	3	1	0	17:30	—	—	57	61
Morgan Barron C	L3	1	0	1	0	1	0.62	2	1	0	16:58	—	—	40	61
Karson Kuhlman C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.28	2	0	0	13:23	—	—	40	58
Kevin Stenlund C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:44	—	—	23	40
Sam Gagner C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	0	0	0	8:34	—	—	43	61
Axel Jonsson-Fjallby L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	7:08	—	—	22	49
Nate Schmidt D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.36	1	1	0	19:48	—	—	56	51
Dylan Samberg D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	0	0	16:04	—	—	46	39
Josh Morrissey D	D2	0	3	3	+1	2	0.33	2	3	0	22:11	—	—	38	67
Dylan DeMelo D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.06	3	6	0	20:37	—	—	26	50
Brenden Dillon D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	3	2	0	19:23	—	—	41	18
Neal Pionk D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	3	1	2	18:21	—	—	48	35

WPG goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Connor Hellebuyck(start)	W	28	26	2	.929	2.83	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.