Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple LeafsMar 11, 2019

FinalMonday, Mar 11, 2019· Scotiabank Arena

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

6

@

home

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

2

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	2	3	1	6		TBL	14	13	15	42
TOR	0	1	1	2		TOR	9	10	9	28

: TBL 60TOR 48
: TBL 3.46TOR 2.16
PP goals: TBL 0TOR 0
Hits: TBL 20TOR 14
Blocks: TBL 8TOR 7
PIM: TBL 4TOR 2
: TBL 45%TOR 55%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning rout Toronto Maple Leafs 6–2

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Toronto Maple Leafs 6–2 at TOR. Tyler Johnson (TBL) led the scoring with 2G 0A. New look for TOR: Marleau–Kadri–Brown skated 13:51 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (52% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Cedric Paquette had two goals (2 points) on 3 shots in 13:22.Paquette
Points
Tyler Johnson had two goals (2 points) on 5 shots in 14:37.Johnson
Points
Jan Rutta had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 16:52.Rutta
Points
Ryan McDonagh had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 19:58.McDonagh
Points
Yanni Gourde had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 13:58.Gourde
New line
New look for TOR: Marleau–Kadri–Brown skated 13:51 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (52% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Marleau Kadri Brown
New line
New look for TOR: Johnsson–Nylander–Matthews skated 11:58 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (41.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Johnsson Nylander Matthews
Luck
TBL scored 6 goals on 3.45 expected goals (60 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 108 of 108 attempts · TOR 48 · TBL 60

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 46% of the game, TOR 26%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	TOR
	68	54
	3.95	2.50
	3.73	2.36
	13	11
	6	5
	29	26
	−0.031	+0.031
	46%	26%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Palat – Miller
12:4356% CF
L2Johnson – Kucherov – Point
12:2156% CF
L3Gourde – Paquette – Erne
9:5959% CF
L4Killorn – Joseph – Cirelli
9:4750% CF
D1Coburn – Rutta
15:3142% CF
D2Hedman – Sergachev
15:2565% CF
D3McDonagh – Cernak
15:2163% CF

PP1Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Miller – Point
1:20100% CF
PP2Johnson – Hedman – Palat – Kucherov – Sergachev
0:17
PK1FKillorn – Cirelli
0:48
PK2FErne – Joseph
0:47
PK1DCoburn – Hedman
1:06
PK2DMcDonagh – Cernak
0:56

Current TBL line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Marleau – Kadri – Brown
13:5152% CF
L2Johnsson – Nylander – Matthews
11:5842% CF
L3Tavares – Hyman – Marner
10:2443% CF
L4Ennis – Gauthier – Moore
9:0629% CF
D1Hainsey – Rielly
15:3848% CF
D2Muzzin – Zaitsev
15:3036% CF
D3Marincin – Ozhiganov
15:0955% CF

PP1Tavares – Kadri – Rielly – Marner – Matthews
2:06100% CF
PP2Marleau – Muzzin – Ennis – Johnsson – Nylander
1:26100% CF
PK1FHyman – Marner
0:55
PK2FBrown – Gauthier
0:23
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
1:14
PK2DMarincin – Rielly
0:23

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

10:07
TBLTyler Johnson (Ryan McDonagh, Nikita Kucherov)tip-in0.06 xG
TBL: McDonagh, Johnson, Kucherov, Point, CernakTOR: Muzzin, Johnsson, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev
TBL 1 – 0 TOR
18:38
TBLAnthony Cirelli (Mikhail Sergachev, Alex Killorn)tip-in0.04 xG
TBL: Killorn, McDonagh, Joseph, Cirelli, SergachevTOR: Marleau, Kadri, Marincin, Brown, Ozhiganov
TBL 2 – 0 TOR

2nd period

4:20
TBLTyler Johnson (Brayden Point, Ryan McDonagh)backhand0.11 xG
TBL: McDonagh, Johnson, Kucherov, Point, CernakTOR: Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner
TBL 3 – 0 TOR
4:50
TBLOndrej Palat (Braydon Coburn, Jan Rutta)tip-in0.09 xG
TBL: Coburn, Stamkos, Palat, Miller, RuttaTOR: Muzzin, Johnsson, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev
TBL 4 – 0 TOR
11:49
TORAuston Matthews (Andreas Johnsson, Nikita Zaitsev)wrist0.11 xG
TBL: Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, SergachevTOR: Muzzin, Johnsson, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev
TBL 4 – 1 TOR
18:16
TBLCedric PaquetteSH (Victor Hedman, Yanni Gourde)snap0.06 xG
TBL: Hedman, Gourde, Paquette, SergachevTOR: Marleau, Ennis, Rielly, Johnsson, Nylander
TBL 5 – 1 TOR

3rd period

5:59
TBLCedric Paquette (Yanni Gourde, Jan Rutta)tip-in0.09 xG
TBL: Coburn, Gourde, Paquette, Erne, RuttaTOR: Muzzin, Ennis, Gauthier, Zaitsev, Moore
TBL 6 – 1 TOR
19:55
TORConnor Brown (Patrick Marleau, Nazem Kadri)wrist0.17 xG
TBL: Coburn, Stamkos, Johnson, Paquette, RuttaTOR: Marleau, Kadri, Marincin, Brown, Ozhiganov
TBL 6 – 2 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	0	0	0	17:12	—	—	50	43
J.T. Miller C	L1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	16:31	—	—	48	32
Ondrej Palat L	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.20	1	0	0	14:46	—	—	60	48
Nikita Kucherov R	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.02	2	0	0	17:47	—	—	65	73
Brayden Point C	L2	0	1	1	+1	4	0.67	0	0	0	16:20	—	—	64	81
Tyler Johnson C	L2	2	0	2	0	5	0.35	0	1	0	14:37	—	—	54	70
Yanni Gourde C	L3	0	2	2	+2	1	0.02	1	1	0	13:58	—	—	48	54
Cedric Paquette C	L3	2	0	2	+1	3	1.10	2	2	0	13:22	—	—	61	71
Adam Erne L	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	0	0	12:05	—	—	57	76
Alex Killorn L	L4	0	1	1	+1	2	0.03	2	0	0	14:18	—	—	63	63
Anthony Cirelli C	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.04	2	0	0	14:06	—	—	45	31
Mathieu Joseph R	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.12	1	0	2	12:37	—	—	50	56
Braydon Coburn D	D1	0	1	1	+1	6	0.40	0	0	0	19:44	—	—	48	67
Jan Rutta D	D1	0	2	2	+1	1	0.04	0	2	0	16:52	—	—	47	61
Victor Hedman D	D2	0	1	1	0	3	0.12	0	0	0	22:09	—	—	54	41
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.03	1	0	0	20:01	—	—	67	63
Ryan McDonagh D	D3	0	2	2	+3	3	0.06	4	1	0	19:58	—	—	67	64
Erik Cernak D	D3	0	0	0	+2	5	0.07	1	0	2	19:37	—	—	56	61

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	28	26	2	.929	2.16	60:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nazem Kadri C	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.13	0	0	0	17:19	—	—	48	35
Patrick Marleau C	L1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.06	1	0	0	17:10	—	—	52	44
Connor Brown R	L1	1	0	1	0	2	0.20	0	0	0	16:48	—	—	47	33
Auston Matthews C	L2	1	0	1	-1	2	0.16	2	1	0	17:20	—	—	48	44
William Nylander R	L2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.10	0	0	0	16:06	—	—	46	53
Andreas Johnsson L	L2	0	1	1	-2	2	0.12	0	1	0	14:56	—	—	47	40
John Tavares C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.28	0	0	0	15:47	—	—	42	37
Mitch Marner R	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.14	0	0	0	15:31	—	—	41	42
Zach Hyman L	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.43	0	0	0	12:45	—	—	46	56
Tyler Ennis R	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.02	2	0	0	13:43	—	—	33	17
Trevor Moore L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.13	1	0	0	12:22	—	—	36	21
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	1	0	12:11	—	—	33	39
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.08	0	1	0	21:07	—	—	46	45
Ron Hainsey D	D1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.12	0	1	0	19:50	—	—	47	46
Nikita Zaitsev D	D2	0	1	1	-2	1	0.01	3	2	0	20:50	—	—	37	34
Jake Muzzin D	D2	0	0	0	-2	3	0.05	1	0	2	18:55	—	—	40	36
Martin Marincin D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	1	0	0	17:46	—	—	44	32
Igor Ozhiganov D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	17:34	—	—	57	46

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Garret Sparks	—	23	21	2	.913	2.22	35:10
Frederik Andersen(start)	L	19	15	4	.789	1.24	24:50

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.