Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple LeafsNov 6, 2023

Final / OTMonday, Nov 6, 2023· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
TBL	4	0	1	0	5		TBL	14	6	11	0	31
TOR	1	2	2	1	6		TOR	8	12	12	2	34

: TBL 51TOR 59
: TBL 2.48TOR 2.60
PP goals: TBL 2TOR 0
Hits: TBL 38TOR 34
Blocks: TBL 12TOR 14
PIM: TBL 6TOR 4
: TBL 54%TOR 46%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Tampa Bay Lightning 6–5 (OT)

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Tampa Bay Lightning 6–5 in overtime at home. Nikita Kucherov (TBL) led the scoring with 2G 2A. TOR won it by committee.

Points
Nikita Kucherov had two goals and 2 assists (4 points) on 5 shots in 22:38.Kucherov
Points
Mitch Marner had a goal and 3 assists (4 points) on 3 shots in 20:57.Marner
Points
Auston Matthews had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 6 shots in 20:28.Matthews
Points
Matthew Knies had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 15:37.Knies
Points
Victor Hedman had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 24:02.Hedman
Points
Calle Jarnkrok had two goals (2 points) on 3 shots in 17:38.Jarnkrok
Points
Brandon Hagel had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 22:06.Hagel
Points
Brayden Point had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 22:13.Point

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 110 of 110 attempts · TOR 59 · TBL 51

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 35% of the game, TOR 31%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	TOR
	53	55
	2.24	2.28
	2.22	2.21
	11	12
	4	2
	14	12
	+0.031	−0.031
	35%	31%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Kucherov – Point – Hagel
14:3656% CF
L2Stamkos – Paul – Sheary
9:3340% CF
L3Motte – Cirelli – Barré-Boulet
5:5760% CF
L4Watson – Glendening – Jeannot
3:1122% CF
D1Raddysh – Sergachev
14:3163% CF
D2Hedman – Cernak
11:1736% CF
D3de Haan – Perbix
7:5229% CF

PP1Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Paul – Point
3:03100% CF
PP2Cirelli – Sergachev – Hagel – Jeannot – Barré-Boulet
0:26100% CF
PK1FGlendening – Motte
2:31
PK2FCirelli – Hagel
1:34
PK1DCernak – Sergachev
2:47
PK2DHedman – de Haan
2:01

Current TBL line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Marner – Matthews – Knies
12:3254% CF
L2Tavares – Bertuzzi – Nylander
11:3546% CF
L3Jarnkrok – Domi – Robertson
7:5877% CF
L4Reaves – Gregor – Kampf
3:1340% CF
D1Brodie – Rielly
17:3142% CF
D2Giordano – Klingberg
13:2658% CF
D3Lagesson – Benoit
12:1165% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
4:2080% CF
PP2Giordano – Jarnkrok – Rielly – Bertuzzi – Domi
0:32
PK1FMarner – Kampf
0:52
PK2FJarnkrok – Matthews
0:47
PK1DGiordano – Brodie
1:35
PK2DRielly – Lagesson
0:47

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	2	2	4	+1	5	0.54	2	0	2	22:38	—	—	59	59
Brayden Point C	L1	1	1	2	-1	2	0.24	2	2	0	22:13	—	—	55	53
Brandon Hagel L	L1	1	1	2	+1	2	0.23	0	0	0	22:06	—	—	66	74
Nick Paul L	L2	0	0	0	+1	4	0.26	7	2	0	18:24	—	—	46	59
Steven Stamkos C	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.41	0	0	0	17:21	—	—	42	53
Conor Sheary L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	0	2	13:22	—	—	39	68
Tyler Motte C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.21	3	1	0	16:36	—	—	59	53
Anthony Cirelli C	L3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.29	1	0	0	15:17	—	—	60	45
Alex Barré-Boulet C	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.11	0	0	2	8:22	—	—	39	18
Luke Glendening C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	2	0	10:03	—	—	29	28
Tanner Jeannot L	L4	0	0	0	-3	1	0.01	3	0	0	8:57	—	—	25	12
Austin Watson L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	3	0	0	3:30	—	—	22	3
Mikhail Sergachev D	D1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.05	2	1	0	25:06	—	—	62	58
Darren Raddysh D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	3	0	0	20:57	—	—	56	48
Victor Hedman D	D2	1	2	3	-1	2	0.05	1	2	0	24:02	—	—	47	27
Erik Cernak D	D2	0	1	1	-1	2	0.06	3	2	0	21:49	—	—	50	50
Calvin de Haan D	D3	0	1	1	-1	1	0.01	3	0	0	14:36	—	—	33	59
Nick Perbix D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	10:59	—	—	28	50

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jonas Johansson(start)	O	34	28	6	.824	2.60	60:46

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	1	3	4	+4	3	0.11	2	1	0	20:57	—	—	55	65
Auston Matthews C	L1	2	1	3	+4	6	0.71	2	2	0	20:28	—	—	57	66
Matthew Knies L	L1	1	2	3	+4	2	0.16	2	0	2	15:37	—	—	52	62
John Tavares C	L2	0	0	0	-2	4	0.29	1	1	0	19:53	—	—	43	44
William Nylander R	L2	0	1	1	-1	3	0.31	1	0	0	19:16	—	—	46	44
Tyler Bertuzzi L	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.02	1	0	0	17:13	—	—	45	44
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	2	0	2	+1	3	0.47	2	0	0	17:38	—	—	65	65
Max Domi C	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.03	3	0	0	13:52	—	—	67	47
Nick Robertson L	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.14	2	0	0	11:34	—	—	57	41
David Kampf C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	11:20	—	—	33	42
Noah Gregor L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	5	0	0	10:29	—	—	41	43
Ryan Reaves R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	0	0	0	4:32	—	—	50	30
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	2	2	+2	2	0.14	1	3	0	25:29	—	—	44	51
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	3	0	22:51	—	—	36	41
Mark Giordano D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	1	2	18:50	—	—	52	37
John Klingberg D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.01	1	0	0	18:06	—	—	59	44
William Lagesson D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	5	1	0	15:57	—	—	62	74
Simon Benoit D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.02	3	2	0	14:41	—	—	62	82

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Joseph Woll	W	19	18	1	.947	1.52	45:33
Ilya Samsonov(start)	—	12	8	4	.667	0.96	15:13

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Matthew Knies (TOR) 1st 3:42 · assists Mitch Marner, Auston Matthews · Forecheck turnover · 24.4 mph shot.

Matthew Knies · 1st 3:42 · TOR

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 24.4 mph
Distance: 3 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Victor Hedman · 1st 4:17 · TBL

Play: rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 3 (royal road)
Shot: 68.4 mph
Distance: 28 ft
Entry to goal: 3.7 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Mitch Marner · 3rd 2:03 · TOR

Play: rush
Entry: loose
Odd man: No
Passes: 3
Shot: 54.9 mph
Distance: 30 ft
Entry to goal: 2.2 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Brandon Hagel · 3rd 17:34 · TBL

Play: rebound
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 2 (royal road)
Shot: 4.4 mph
Distance: 3 ft
Entry to goal: 5.4 s
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Nikita Kucherov · 1st 6:11 · TBL

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 3-on-2
Passes: 1 (royal road)
Shot: 66.7 mph
Distance: 36 ft
Entry to goal: 2.9 s
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Nikita Kucherov · 1st 11:27 · TBL PP

Play: cycle
Passes: 4 (royal road)
Shot: 86.8 mph
Distance: 24 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Brayden Point · 1st 15:13 · TBL PP

Play: cycle
Passes: 3 (royal road)
Shot: 47.4 mph
Distance: 18 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Auston Matthews · 2nd 2:22 · TOR

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 2
Shot: 58.8 mph
Distance: 49 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Auston Matthews · 2nd 5:42 · TOR

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: loose
Odd man: 1-on-0
Passes: 1
Shot: 8.4 mph
Distance: 4 ft
Entry to goal: 3.7 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Calle Jarnkrok · 3rd 1:55 · TOR

Play: rebound
Passes: 0
Shot: 38.5 mph
Distance: 9 ft
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Calle Jarnkrok · OT 0:46 · TOR

Play: deflection
Entry: carry
Odd man: 3-on-2
Passes: 1
Shot: 21.8 mph
Distance: 4 ft
Entry to goal: 4.9 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple LeafsNov 6, 2023

Fantasy takeaways

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Tampa Bay Lightning 6–5 (OT)

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Tampa Bay Lightning

Toronto Maple Leafs

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

OT period

Box score

Tampa Bay Lightning

Toronto Maple Leafs

Goal anatomy

Matthew Knies · 1st 3:42 · TOR

Victor Hedman · 1st 4:17 · TBL

Mitch Marner · 3rd 2:03 · TOR

Brandon Hagel · 3rd 17:34 · TBL

Nikita Kucherov · 1st 6:11 · TBL

Nikita Kucherov · 1st 11:27 · TBL PP

Brayden Point · 1st 15:13 · TBL PP

Auston Matthews · 2nd 2:22 · TOR

Auston Matthews · 2nd 5:42 · TOR

Calle Jarnkrok · 3rd 1:55 · TOR

Calle Jarnkrok · OT 0:46 · TOR