Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple LeafsDec 8, 2025

FinalMonday, Dec 8, 2025· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	0	0	0	0		TBL	15	5	9	29
TOR	1	0	1	2		TOR	10	8	7	25

: TBL 59TOR 46
: TBL 1.96TOR 2.59
PP goals: TBL 0TOR 0
Hits: TBL 16TOR 20
Blocks: TBL 8TOR 14
PIM: TBL 24TOR 22
: TBL 44%TOR 56%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Tampa Bay Lightning 2–0

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Tampa Bay Lightning 2–0 at home. Auston Matthews (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 0A. Gage Goncalves (TBL) played 5:25, −7:47 down on his 13:12 season average over 73 games.

Usage
Gage Goncalves (TBL) played 5:25, −7:47 down on his 13:12 season average over 73 games.Goncalves
New line
New look for TBL: Guentzel–Paul–Point skated 7:38 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (71.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Guentzel Paul Point
Luck
TBL scored 0 goals on 1.96 expected goals (59 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Bobby McMann (TOR) played 9:17, −6:44 down on his 16:01 season average over 77 games.McMann
Usage
Nikita Kucherov (TBL) played 24:38, +4:21 up on his 20:17 season average over 75 games.Kucherov
Usage
Dakota Joshua (TOR) played 8:11, −4:08 down on his 12:19 season average over 54 games.Joshua
Usage
Emil Lilleberg (TBL) played 21:13, +3:59 up on his 17:14 season average over 49 games.Lilleberg
Usage
Oliver Bjorkstrand (TBL) played 9:30, −4:11 down on his 13:41 season average over 79 games.Bjorkstrand

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 105 of 105 attempts · TOR 46 · TBL 59

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 20% of the game, TOR 23%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Head-to-head matchups

TOR skaters (rows) against TBL skaters (columns) at 5v5. Square size is time together; colour is xGF% from the TOR side.

Matchup matrix

TOR xGF% 4060square size = TOI together · blank = under 1:00

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	TOR
	67	48
	2.18	2.14
	2.12	2.12
	13	11
	4	8
	17	30
	−0.011	+0.011
	20%	23%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Kucherov – Cirelli – Hagel
12:5769% CF
L2Gourde – Girgensons – Holmberg
10:3644% CF
L3Guentzel – Paul – Point
7:3871% CF
L4Bjorkstrand – Finley – Goncalves
3:4055% CF
D1D'Astous – Lilleberg
16:0563% CF
D2Raddysh – Moser
15:0066% CF
D3Hedman – Crozier
12:1243% CF

PP1Kucherov – Guentzel – Bjorkstrand – Point – Raddysh
1:56100% CF
PK1FCirelli – Hagel
2:09
PK2FGourde – Girgensons
1:32
PK1DMoser – Lilleberg
2:37
PK2DHedman – Raddysh
1:15

Current TBL line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Domi – Matthews – Knies
12:3854% CF
L2Tavares – Nylander – Cowan
11:2541% CF
L3Jarnkrok – Laughton – Lorentz
7:0347% CF
L4Joshua – Roy – McMann
5:1863% CF
D1McCabe – Stecher
16:3029% CF
D2Ekman-Larsson – Rielly
15:1841% CF
D3Mermis – Benoit
8:5243% CF

PP1Ekman-Larsson – Domi – Roy – McMann – Cowan
2:00100% CF
PP2Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Matthews – Knies
1:5175% CF
PK1FLaughton – Lorentz
1:25
PK2FJarnkrok – Roy
0:33
PK1DMcCabe – Stecher
1:58

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

16:26
TORMorgan Rielly (Easton Cowan, John Tavares)backhand0.11 xG
TBL: Gourde, Guentzel, Paul, Moser, LillebergTOR: Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Nylander, Cowan
TBL 0 – 1 TOR

3rd period

19:59
TORAuston MatthewsENwrist0.36 xG
TBL: Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, CirelliTOR: Tavares, McCabe, Matthews, Stecher, Knies
TBL 0 – 2 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	-1	2	0.06	1	0	0	24:38	—	—	62	62
Anthony Cirelli C	L1	-1	4	0.29	0	1	0	20:51	—	—	70	64
Brandon Hagel L	L1	0	1	0.16	0	0	0	19:02	—	—	67	56
Yanni Gourde C	L2	-1	1	0.01	2	0	0	14:38	—	—	43	31
Zemgus Girgensons C	L2	0	2	0.31	2	0	0	13:03	—	—	44	32
Pontus Holmberg R	L2	0	1	0.09	1	1	0	12:52	—	—	52	37
Jake Guentzel C	L3	-2	4	0.38	0	1	2	20:53	—	—	60	65
Brayden Point C	L3	-1	4	0.34	1	0	0	18:48	—	—	57	69
Nick Paul L	L3	-1	0	0.01	4	0	0	13:46	—	—	58	56
Oliver Bjorkstrand R	L4	0	0	0.04	0	0	0	9:30	—	—	59	79
Jack Finley C	L4	0	1	0.01	1	0	2	6:39	—	—	50	20
Gage Goncalves C	L4	0	2	0.13	0	0	15	5:25	—	—	57	60
Emil Lilleberg D	D1	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	21:13	—	—	60	33
Charle-Edouard D'Astous D	D1	0	3	0.04	1	2	0	20:18	—	—	64	47
Darren Raddysh D	D2	-1	2	0.06	1	0	0	23:42	—	—	66	73
J.J. Moser D	D2	-1	1	0.03	0	2	0	21:12	—	—	58	51
Victor Hedman D	D3	-1	1	0.01	1	0	0	17:43	—	—	44	38
Maxwell Crozier D	D3	0	0	0.00	0	0	5	14:02	—	—	42	43

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jonas Johansson(start)	L	24	23	1	.958	1.84	57:45

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Matthew Knies L	L1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.03	3	0	0	20:17	—	—	41	52
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	0	1	+1	8	1.03	0	3	0	20:07	—	—	41	45
Max Domi C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	17:24	—	—	44	55
William Nylander R	L2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	19:31	—	—	32	32
John Tavares C	L2	0	1	1	+2	0	0.04	0	1	0	17:43	—	—	33	36
Easton Cowan R	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.15	3	1	0	16:52	—	—	40	47
Scott Laughton C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.42	2	1	0	14:21	—	—	45	49
Steven Lorentz C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.37	3	1	0	13:00	—	—	47	52
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	11:11	—	—	47	66
Nicolas Roy C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	13:13	—	—	54	87
Bobby McMann C	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.10	1	0	15	9:17	—	—	62	97
Dakota Joshua C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	5	8:11	—	—	43	40
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.03	2	3	0	25:15	—	—	29	40
Troy Stecher D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	23:08	—	—	34	40
Oliver Ekman-Larsson D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.05	2	0	2	21:39	—	—	46	46
Morgan Rielly D	D2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.21	0	1	0	21:20	—	—	47	48
Simon Benoit D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	0	1	0	15:15	—	—	44	57
Dakota Mermis D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	1	0	10:34	—	—	60	75

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Dennis Hildeby(start)	W	29	29	0	.1000	1.96	59:42

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Morgan Rielly (TOR) 1st 16:26 · assists Easton Cowan, John Tavares · Rush · passed in · 23.4 mph shot · 4.8 s from entry to goal.

Morgan Rielly · 1st 16:26 · TOR

Play: rush
Entry: pass
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 23.4 mph
Distance: 4 ft
Entry to goal: 4.8 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Auston Matthews · 3rd 19:59 · TOR EN

Play: cycle
Passes: 0
Shot: 4.7 mph
Distance: 11 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.