Tampa Bay Lightning at Florida PanthersNov 28, 2026

Time TBDSaturday, Nov 28, 2026

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

at

home

Florida PanthersFLA

Preview

Probable goalies, start odds, schedule edge and each team's lines from its last game.

Schedule Edge

Edge: FLA +1.1 pts

TBLaway−2.8 pts

Back-to-back · 289 km travel

Backup likely (69%) −2.8 pts

FLAhome−0.6 pts

Back-to-back · 1,450 km travel

B2B after 1,450 km −3.5 pts
TBL backup likely (69%) +2.9 pts

FLA has the schedule edge (+1.1 pts net win probability): b2b after 1,450 km, tbl backup likely (69%), backup likely (69%).

· Every game this week →

Tampa Bay Lightning

Goalie: Starter not announced
Start probability: Dennis Hildeby69%
Andrei Vasilevskiy31%
Schedule: Second of a back-to-back
Last game: L 1–5 at NYR · Oct 1

L1Guentzel – Cirelli – Hagel
8:05
L2Kucherov – Point – Mikheyev
6:58
L3Harkins – Goncalves – Geekie
5:04
L4Girgensons – Viel – Holmberg
4:59
D1McDonagh – Cernak
11:26
D2Hedman – D'Astous
11:01
D3Carlson – Moser
9:29
PP1Carlson – Kucherov – Guentzel – Point – Hagel
7:18

Projected TBL lines →·TBL goalies →·Goalie start planner →

Florida Panthers

Goalie: Starter not announced
Start probability: Jacob Markstrom51%
Akira Schmid49%
Schedule: Second of a back-to-back
Last game: OTL 3–4 at SJS · Oct 1

L1Verhaeghe – Bennett – Tkachuk
11:12
L2Luostarinen – Lundell – Vilmanis
8:16
L3Eller – Reinhart – Tkachuk
5:58
L4Barkov – Hathaway – Imama
0:17
D1Jones – Mikkola
14:51
D2Kulikov – Ekblad
10:16
D3Gudas – Balinskis
8:44
PP1Jones – Reinhart – Tkachuk – Tkachuk – Lundell
5:24

Projected FLA lines →·FLA goalies →·Goalie start planner →

Game day: all games on Nov 28.

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Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.