Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Detroit Red WingsDec 4, 2018

Final / SOTuesday, Dec 4, 2018· Little Caesars Arena

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

6

@

home

Detroit Red WingsDET

5

Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
TBL	0	3	2	0	1	6		TBL	5	18	11	1	35
DET	2	2	1	0	0	5		DET	12	7	4	1	24

: TBL 68DET 41
: TBL 3.57DET 1.97
PP goals: TBL 0DET 0
Hits: TBL 14DET 20
Blocks: TBL 10DET 11
PIM: TBL 6DET 6
: TBL 52%DET 48%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning edge Detroit Red Wings 6–5 (SO)

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Detroit Red Wings 6–5 in a shootout at DET. Frans Nielsen (DET) led the scoring with 3G 0A. New look for DET: Abdelkader–Nyquist–Larkin skated 12:01 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Frans Nielsen had a hat trick (3 points) on 4 shots in 17:11.Nielsen
Points
Mathieu Joseph had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 2 shots in 12:15.Joseph
Points
Gustav Nyquist had two goals (2 points) on 7 shots in 21:36.Nyquist
Points
Andreas Athanasiou had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 20:33.Athanasiou
Points
Dylan Larkin had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 25:13.Larkin
Points
Ryan Callahan had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 14:22.Callahan
New line
New look for DET: Abdelkader–Nyquist–Larkin skated 12:01 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Abdelkader Nyquist Larkin
Luck
DET scored 5 goals on 1.97 expected goals (41 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)DET attacks right (top on phones) →

DET
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 109 of 109 attempts · DET 41 · TBL 68

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DET
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DET pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 50% of the game, DET 12%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DET

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	DET
	67	44
	3.49	2.15
	3.42	2.12
	22	10
	4	5
	32	16
	+0.059	−0.059
	50%	12%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Killorn – Miller – Cirelli
8:1779% CF
L2Johnson – Kucherov – Point
7:4438% CF
L3Callahan – Paquette – Joseph
7:1156% CF
L4Stamkos – Palat – Gourde
5:4847% CF
D1McDonagh – Cernak
15:4657% CF
D2Girardi – Hedman
15:2656% CF
D3Coburn – Sergachev
14:5369% CF

PP1Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Gourde – Point
1:55100% CF
PK1FKillorn – Cirelli
2:16
PK2FCallahan – Paquette
0:32
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
1:20
PK2DGirardi – Hedman
1:02

Current TBL line combinations →

Detroit Red Wings

L1Abdelkader – Nyquist – Larkin
12:0150% CF
L2Glendening – de la Rose – Rasmussen
10:0236% CF
L3Nielsen – Vanek – Athanasiou
6:5543% CF
D1Jensen – DeKeyser
13:1765% CF
D2Kronwall – Green
10:2819% CF
D3Ericsson – Cholowski
6:3132% CF

PP1Kronwall – Green – Abdelkader – Nyquist – Larkin
2:03100% CF
PP2Nielsen – Vanek – Athanasiou – Cholowski – Rasmussen
0:500% CF
PK1FNielsen – Abdelkader
1:00
PK2FGlendening – Larkin
0:18
PK1DKronwall – Jensen
1:36

Current DET line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

16:54
DETGustav Nyquist (Dylan Larkin)wrist0.11 xG
TBL: Girardi, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, GourdeDET: Kronwall, Green, Abdelkader, Nyquist, Larkin
TBL 0 – 1 DET
17:15
DETFrans Nielsen (Andreas Athanasiou)snap0.14 xG
TBL: McDonagh, Johnson, Kucherov, Point, CernakDET: Nielsen, Jensen, Glendening, Athanasiou, DeKeyser
TBL 0 – 2 DET

2nd period

5:10
TBLMathieu Joseph (Ryan Callahan)wrist0.09 xG
TBL: Callahan, McDonagh, Paquette, Cernak, JosephDET: Nielsen, Ericsson, Vanek, Athanasiou, Cholowski
TBL 1 – 2 DET
11:37
TBLMathieu Joseph (Yanni Gourde)backhand0.13 xG
TBL: Girardi, Stamkos, Hedman, Gourde, JosephDET: Kronwall, Green, Glendening, de la Rose, Rasmussen
TBL 2 – 2 DET
13:33
DETFrans Nielsen (Luke Witkowski)wrist0.07 xG
TBL: Coburn, Killorn, Miller, Cirelli, SergachevDET: Kronwall, Nielsen, Witkowski, Frk, Ehn
TBL 2 – 3 DET
14:27
TBLSteven Stamkos (Ryan Callahan)snap0.15 xG
TBL: Callahan, Girardi, Stamkos, Hedman, JosephDET: Ericsson, Vanek, Green, Athanasiou, Larkin
TBL 3 – 3 DET
16:26
DETFrans Nielsen (Andreas Athanasiou)snap0.18 xG
TBL: Girardi, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, GourdeDET: Nielsen, Jensen, Glendening, Athanasiou, DeKeyser
TBL 3 – 4 DET

3rd period

4:06
DETGustav Nyquist (Dylan Larkin, Justin Abdelkader)snap0.16 xG
TBL: Girardi, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, GourdeDET: Green, Abdelkader, Nyquist, Larkin, Cholowski
TBL 3 – 5 DET
9:50
TBLJ.T. Miller (Mikhail Sergachev)slap0.02 xG
TBL: Coburn, Callahan, Miller, Paquette, SergachevDET: Ericsson, Witkowski, Glendening, de la Rose, Rasmussen
TBL 4 – 5 DET
14:58
TBLCedric PaquetteSH (Mathieu Joseph)snap0.16 xG
TBL: Girardi, Hedman, Paquette, JosephDET: Green, Nyquist, Frk, Larkin, Rasmussen
TBL 5 – 5 DET

Decided in the shootout: TBL 6 – 5 DET.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Anthony Cirelli C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.21	1	0	0	14:57	—	—	84	94
Alex Killorn L	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.23	0	0	2	14:36	—	—	85	94
J.T. Miller C	L1	1	0	1	0	1	0.02	4	0	0	11:56	—	—	85	95
Nikita Kucherov R	L2	0	0	0	-2	4	0.52	0	2	0	22:14	—	—	44	38
Brayden Point C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.13	0	0	0	21:29	—	—	43	32
Tyler Johnson C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	0	0	2	15:31	—	—	44	32
Ryan Callahan R	L3	0	2	2	+3	2	0.22	0	1	2	14:22	—	—	65	73
Cedric Paquette C	L3	1	0	1	+3	2	0.39	3	0	0	13:22	—	—	63	68
Mathieu Joseph R	L3	2	1	3	+4	2	0.22	1	0	0	12:15	—	—	47	64
Steven Stamkos C	L4	1	0	1	-1	4	0.49	0	0	0	17:17	—	—	62	58
Yanni Gourde C	L4	0	1	1	-2	1	0.00	1	0	0	15:21	—	—	63	53
Ondrej Palat L	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	3	1	0	13:51	—	—	59	51
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.49	0	0	0	23:58	—	—	55	64
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	1	0	21:55	—	—	58	69
Victor Hedman D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	0	0	0	24:03	—	—	55	54
Dan Girardi D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	0	3	0	18:54	—	—	55	54
Mikhail Sergachev D	D3	0	1	1	0	5	0.26	0	0	0	18:33	—	—	63	62
Braydon Coburn D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	0	2	0	16:53	—	—	70	73

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Edward Pasquale(start)	W	24	19	5	.792	1.97	65:00

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Dylan Larkin C	L1	0	2	2	0	3	0.20	1	0	2	25:13	—	—	53	59
Gustav Nyquist R	L1	2	0	2	+1	7	0.50	0	0	0	21:36	—	—	50	48
Justin Abdelkader L	L1	0	1	1	+2	1	0.14	2	2	0	20:52	—	—	54	66
Jacob de la Rose L	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.00	1	1	0	16:39	—	—	29	30
Luke Glendening C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.21	1	0	0	16:31	—	—	41	48
Michael Rasmussen C	L2	0	0	0	-3	1	0.11	1	0	0	15:22	—	—	42	33
Andreas Athanasiou C	L3	0	2	2	0	2	0.12	0	0	2	20:33	—	—	44	43
Frans Nielsen C	L3	3	0	3	+2	4	0.41	1	0	0	17:11	—	—	41	42
Thomas Vanek L	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.07	2	0	0	16:16	—	—	25	13
Nick Jensen D	D1	0	0	0	+2	0	0.01	2	0	0	23:41	—	—	62	68
Danny DeKeyser D	D1	0	0	0	+2	2	0.10	2	1	0	16:08	—	—	70	77
Mike Green D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	2	2	24:52	—	—	27	20
Niklas Kronwall D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	1	2	0	22:09	—	—	31	20
Dennis Cholowski D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	0	1	0	15:41	—	—	42	45
Jonathan Ericsson D	D3	0	0	0	-3	1	0.01	0	1	0	15:11	—	—	25	11
Luke Witkowski D	—	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	9:12	—	—	25	34
Christoffer Ehn C	—	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	1	0	7:57	—	—	19	7
Martin Frk R	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	7:52	—	—	18	7

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jimmy Howard(start)	O	35	30	5	.857	3.57	65:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.