Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Detroit Red WingsDec 21, 2022

FinalWednesday, Dec 21, 2022· Little Caesars Arena

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

4

@

home

Detroit Red WingsDET

7

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	2	1	1	4		TBL	17	11	10	38
DET	2	1	4	7		DET	15	8	8	31

: TBL 62DET 50
: TBL 3.15DET 3.71
PP goals: TBL 0DET 0
Hits: TBL 17DET 18
Blocks: TBL 14DET 18
PIM: TBL 10DET 14
: TBL 62%DET 38%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Detroit Red Wings beat Tampa Bay Lightning 7–4

Detroit Red Wings beat Tampa Bay Lightning 7–4 at home. Michael Rasmussen (DET) led the scoring with 2G 2A. DET scored 7 goals on 3.71 expected goals (50 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Points
Michael Rasmussen had two goals and 2 assists (4 points) on 4 shots in 18:00.Rasmussen
Points
Dylan Larkin had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 5 shots in 19:10.Larkin
Points
David Perron had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 16:06.Perron
Points
Nikita Kucherov had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 20:52.Kucherov
Points
Ross Colton had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 11:06.Colton
Luck
DET scored 7 goals on 3.71 expected goals (50 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
New line
New look for TBL: Stamkos–Namestnikov–Paul skated 5:38 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Stamkos Namestnikov Paul
Goalie
Ville Husso (DET) faced 38 shots and stopped 34 (.895), +9 against a season average of 28.6; the win.Husso

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)DET attacks right (top on phones) →

DET
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 112 of 112 attempts · DET 50 · TBL 62

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DET
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DET pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 50% of the game, DET 25%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DET

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	DET
	52	42
	2.15	1.87
	2.08	1.68
	7	10
	6	2
	10	8
	+0.040	−0.040
	50%	25%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Kucherov – Point – Hagel
8:2932% CF
L2Stamkos – Namestnikov – Paul
5:3850% CF
L3Perry – Maroon – Bellemare
5:2880% CF
L4Killorn – Cirelli – Colton
4:2483% CF
D1Cole – Cernak
12:0655% CF
D2Hedman – Perbix
9:5863% CF
D3Sergachev – Foote
9:5539% CF

PP1Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Point – Hagel
2:45100% CF
PP2Perry – Killorn – Stamkos – Kucherov – Point
1:34100% CF
PK1FCirelli – Hagel
1:41
PK2FPaul – Bellemare
1:04
PK1DCole – Cernak
1:33
PK2DSergachev – Foote
0:23

Current TBL line combinations →

Detroit Red Wings

L1Perron – Larkin – Rasmussen
8:0063% CF
L2Copp – Erne – Raymond
7:5937% CF
L3Sundqvist – Kubalik – Suter
7:5148% CF
L4Veleno – Berggren – Soderblom
6:5614% CF
D1Walman – Hronek
13:3733% CF
D2Chiarot – Seider
12:0058% CF
D3Maatta – Oesterle
10:3248% CF

PP1Perron – Larkin – Rasmussen – Seider – Raymond
3:06100% CF
PP2Sundqvist – Kubalik – Hronek – Veleno – Berggren
0:41100% CF
PK1FErne – Rasmussen
1:19
PK2FSundqvist – Suter
1:07
PK1DChiarot – Seider
1:47
PK2DWalman – Hronek
1:46

Current DET line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

1:29
TBLBrayden Point (Nikita Kucherov, Erik Cernak)snap0.09 xG
TBL: Cole, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, HagelDET: Perron, Chiarot, Larkin, Rasmussen, Seider
TBL 1 – 0 DET
15:34
DETOlli Maatta (Pius Suter)wrist0.24 xG
TBL: Killorn, Hedman, Paul, Colton, PerbixDET: Maatta, Kubalik, Oesterle, Suter, Soderblom
TBL 1 – 1 DET
18:38
TBLAlex Killorn (Ross Colton, Nick Perbix)wrist0.03 xG
TBL: Killorn, Hedman, Point, Colton, PerbixDET: Maatta, Kubalik, Copp, Oesterle, Raymond
TBL 2 – 1 DET
19:32
DETMichael Rasmussen (Ben Chiarot, Oskar Sundqvist)tip-in0.06 xG
TBL: Perry, Maroon, Hedman, Bellemare, CernakDET: Chiarot, Sundqvist, Rasmussen, Suter, Seider
TBL 2 – 2 DET

2nd period

11:08
DETDylan Larkin (David Perron, Michael Rasmussen)wrist0.02 xG
TBL: Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Hagel, PerbixDET: Perron, Chiarot, Larkin, Rasmussen, Seider
TBL 2 – 3 DET
13:15
TBLRoss Coltonwrist0.13 xG
TBL: Cole, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, ColtonDET: Maatta, Copp, Erne, Oesterle, Raymond
TBL 3 – 3 DET

3rd period

3:48
DETElmer Soderblom (Joseph Veleno)wrist0.26 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Namestnikov, Paul, Sergachev, FooteDET: Walman, Hronek, Veleno, Berggren, Soderblom
TBL 3 – 4 DET
9:46
DETDylan Larkin (Michael Rasmussen)wrist0.02 xG
TBL: Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Hagel, FooteDET: Perron, Larkin, Walman, Hronek, Rasmussen
TBL 3 – 5 DET
16:13
TBLNikita Kucherov (Victor Hedman, Steven Stamkos)wrist0.06 xG
TBL: Perry, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, PointDET: Perron, Chiarot, Larkin, Rasmussen, Seider
TBL 4 – 5 DET
17:27
DETDavid PerronEN (Dylan Larkin)wrist0.71 xG
TBL: Perry, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, PointDET: Perron, Chiarot, Larkin, Rasmussen, Seider
TBL 4 – 6 DET
18:59
DETMichael RasmussenEN (David Perron)wrist0.98 xG
TBL: Perry, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, PointDET: Perron, Larkin, Walman, Rasmussen, Seider
TBL 4 – 7 DET

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brayden Point C	L1	1	0	1	0	4	0.35	0	1	0	22:38	—	—	53	69
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	1	1	2	-1	3	0.17	0	1	0	20:52	—	—	48	54
Brandon Hagel L	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.11	0	0	0	17:17	—	—	30	41
Steven Stamkos C	L2	0	1	1	-2	6	0.60	0	0	0	20:05	—	—	75	43
Nick Paul L	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.10	1	4	2	15:13	—	—	39	31
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.25	0	1	0	11:48	—	—	71	62
Corey Perry R	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.09	0	1	0	12:39	—	—	64	78
Patrick Maroon L	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.22	2	0	0	9:57	—	—	67	80
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:57	—	—	83	80
Anthony Cirelli C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	14:44	—	—	77	83
Alex Killorn L	L4	1	0	1	-1	5	0.35	1	2	4	14:28	—	—	50	37
Ross Colton C	L4	1	1	2	+1	5	0.59	2	0	0	11:06	—	—	56	55
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.08	1	0	0	21:29	—	—	54	78
Ian Cole D	D1	0	0	0	+2	1	0.01	2	1	2	17:46	—	—	57	85
Victor Hedman D	D2	0	1	1	-3	2	0.17	2	0	0	20:00	—	—	61	49
Nick Perbix D	D2	0	1	1	-1	0	0.01	2	0	0	16:25	—	—	64	54
Mikhail Sergachev D	D3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.06	0	3	2	21:29	—	—	46	46
Cal Foote D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	3	0	0	15:00	—	—	43	40

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Brian Elliott(start)	L	29	24	5	.828	2.02	59:06

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Dylan Larkin C	L1	2	1	3	+2	5	0.14	1	0	0	19:10	—	—	65	72
Michael Rasmussen C	L1	2	2	4	+3	4	1.37	0	1	2	18:00	—	—	57	74
David Perron L	L1	1	2	3	+2	3	0.84	1	0	0	16:06	—	—	50	69
Lucas Raymond L	L2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	0	0	17:15	—	—	33	14
Andrew Copp C	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.05	0	0	0	15:32	—	—	29	10
Adam Erne L	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:14	—	—	41	21
Oskar Sundqvist C	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.12	2	1	0	13:43	—	—	55	54
Pius Suter C	L3	0	1	1	+2	1	0.07	0	0	0	12:18	—	—	54	59
Dominik Kubalik L	L3	0	0	0	0	5	0.34	0	0	2	11:41	—	—	44	44
Joseph Veleno C	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	1	2	13:29	—	—	33	66
Jonatan Berggren R	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:04	—	—	33	65
Elmer Soderblom L	L4	1	0	1	+2	1	0.26	0	0	0	9:10	—	—	40	78
Jake Walman D	D1	0	0	0	+3	2	0.08	1	4	2	21:41	—	—	41	66
Filip Hronek D	D1	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	3	0	0	21:39	—	—	29	62
Moritz Seider D	D2	0	0	0	+2	2	0.02	3	5	2	23:04	—	—	46	40
Ben Chiarot D	D2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.10	2	3	2	19:50	—	—	59	63
Olli Maatta D	D3	1	0	1	-1	1	0.32	2	3	2	17:28	—	—	47	39
Jordan Oesterle D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	0	0	0	12:35	—	—	44	36

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ville Husso(start)	W	38	34	4	.895	3.15	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.