Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Detroit Red WingsJan 25, 2025

FinalSaturday, Jan 25, 2025· Little Caesars Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	0	0	0	0		TBL	7	9	12	28
DET	0	1	1	2		DET	13	12	7	32

: TBL 64DET 54
: TBL 2.91DET 3.70
PP goals: TBL 0DET 0
Hits: TBL 17DET 12
Blocks: TBL 9DET 18
PIM: TBL 8DET 8
: TBL 58%DET 42%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Detroit Red Wings beat Tampa Bay Lightning 2–0

Detroit Red Wings beat Tampa Bay Lightning 2–0 at home. Marco Kasper (DET) led the scoring with 1G 0A. TBL scored 0 goals on 2.91 expected goals (64 attempts), well short of its chances.

Luck
TBL scored 0 goals on 2.91 expected goals (64 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for TBL: Glendening–Eyssimont–Chaffee skated 5:41 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (60% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Glendening Eyssimont Chaffee
Usage
Albert Johansson (DET) played 20:49, +4:32 up on his 16:17 season average over 60 games.Johansson
Luck
DET scored 2 goals on 3.70 expected goals (54 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Maxwell Crozier (TBL) played 11:18, −6:44 down on his 18:02 season average over 4 games.Crozier
Usage
Nick Perbix (TBL) played 9:16, −5:30 down on his 14:46 season average over 73 games.Perbix
Usage
Erik Gustafsson (DET) played 11:22, −5:02 down on his 16:24 season average over 59 games.Gustafsson
Usage
Nick Paul (TBL) played 21:29, +5:06 up on his 16:23 season average over 75 games.Paul

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)DET attacks right (top on phones) →

DET
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 118 of 118 attempts · DET 54 · TBL 64

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DET
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DET pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 26% of the game, DET 34%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DET

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	DET
	50	52
	2.19	2.51
	2.07	2.38
	10	8
	4	5
	24	16
	+0.069	−0.069
	26%	34%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Girgensons – Paul – Geekie
8:5054% CF
L2Kucherov – Guentzel – Cirelli
6:3553% CF
L3Glendening – Eyssimont – Chaffee
5:4160% CF
D1McDonagh – Cernak
10:4533% CF
D2Hedman – Raddysh
9:1553% CF
D3Perbix – Lilleberg
6:0757% CF

PP1Kucherov – Guentzel – Point – Raddysh – Chaffee
2:1375% CF
PP2Hedman – Kucherov – Paul – Cirelli – Hagel
1:44100% CF
PK1FGlendening – Girgensons
4:14
PK2FPaul – Cirelli
1:12
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
4:27
PK2DRaddysh – Lilleberg
0:57

Current TBL line combinations →

Detroit Red Wings

L1Larkin – Raymond – Kasper
11:4672% CF
L2Tarasenko – Copp – DeBrincat
10:0843% CF
L3Compher – Veleno – Berggren
9:0340% CF
L4Fischer – Rasmussen – Soderblom
7:1233% CF
D1Chiarot – Seider
17:4461% CF
D2Johansson – Edvinsson
17:1746% CF
D3Holl – Gustafsson
8:4333% CF

PP1Tarasenko – Larkin – DeBrincat – Seider – Raymond
4:40100% CF
PP2Gustafsson – Copp – Rasmussen – Berggren – Kasper
0:48100% CF
PK1FCopp – Veleno
0:55
PK2FCompher – Rasmussen
0:46
PK1DChiarot – Seider
2:18
PK2DHoll – Edvinsson
0:46

Current DET line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

9:55
DETMarco Kasper (J.T. Compher, Christian Fischer)tip-in0.10 xG
TBL: Hedman, Paul, Point, Raddysh, GeekieDET: Compher, Fischer, Johansson, Edvinsson, Kasper
TBL 0 – 1 DET

3rd period

19:32
DETMichael RasmussenEN (Albert Johansson)backhand0.90 xG
TBL: Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, CirelliDET: Compher, Larkin, Rasmussen, Johansson, Edvinsson
TBL 0 – 2 DET

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nick Paul L	L1	-1	2	0.02	3	0	0	21:29	—	—	53	26
Zemgus Girgensons C	L1	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:41	—	—	60	9
Conor Geekie C	L1	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	10:05	—	—	56	21
Nikita Kucherov R	L2	-1	7	0.70	1	0	0	26:14	—	—	51	58
Anthony Cirelli C	L2	-1	3	0.47	0	1	0	20:44	—	—	42	53
Jake Guentzel C	L2	-1	1	0.27	1	0	2	18:12	—	—	53	61
Luke Glendening C	L3	0	1	0.02	1	0	0	11:16	—	—	58	21
Mitchell Chaffee R	L3	0	0	0.00	4	0	0	9:55	—	—	40	10
Michael Eyssimont C	L3	0	1	0.03	1	0	0	7:50	—	—	50	16
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	20:33	—	—	35	30
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	2	0.02	0	2	0	20:09	—	—	46	38
Victor Hedman D	D2	-2	3	0.27	1	0	2	23:25	—	—	62	51
Darren Raddysh D	D2	-2	1	0.02	0	4	0	17:14	—	—	46	48
Emil Lilleberg D	D3	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	14:32	—	—	48	57
Nick Perbix D	D3	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	9:16	—	—	56	58
Brandon Hagel L	—	0	2	0.34	1	1	2	20:14	—	—	46	64
Brayden Point C	—	-2	2	0.71	0	0	0	19:00	—	—	42	56
Maxwell Crozier D	—	0	2	0.03	2	0	0	11:18	—	—	53	37

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	L	31	30	1	.968	2.80	58:00

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Dylan Larkin C	L1	0	0	0	+1	4	0.49	0	0	2	22:41	—	—	58	48
Lucas Raymond L	L1	0	0	0	0	5	0.31	0	1	2	18:49	—	—	60	49
Marco Kasper C	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.12	0	0	2	15:42	—	—	71	56
Alex DeBrincat R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.25	0	0	0	17:03	—	—	53	63
Vladimir Tarasenko R	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.17	1	0	0	15:33	—	—	44	56
Andrew Copp C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.23	0	0	0	14:11	—	—	56	63
J.T. Compher L	L3	0	1	1	+2	1	0.19	0	5	0	17:49	—	—	44	50
Joseph Veleno C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.28	2	0	0	14:30	—	—	48	49
Jonatan Berggren R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:49	—	—	38	41
Michael Rasmussen C	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	1.06	2	0	0	12:54	—	—	39	65
Elmer Soderblom L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	2	0	0	10:44	—	—	39	53
Christian Fischer R	L4	0	1	1	+1	3	0.22	0	1	0	9:14	—	—	52	71
Moritz Seider D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.20	0	1	0	27:02	—	—	64	55
Ben Chiarot D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	1	1	0	22:26	—	—	67	58
Simon Edvinsson D	D2	0	0	0	+2	0	0.02	1	1	2	22:41	—	—	49	64
Albert Johansson D	D2	0	1	1	+2	2	0.05	3	7	0	20:49	—	—	49	64
Erik Gustafsson D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:22	—	—	36	37
Justin Holl D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	0	1	0	10:41	—	—	37	35

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Cam Talbot(start)	W	28	28	0	.1000	2.91	60:00

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Marco Kasper (DET) 2nd 9:55 · assists J.T. Compher, Christian Fischer · Deflection · carried in · 16.3 mph shot · 7.4 s from entry to goal.

Marco Kasper · 2nd 9:55 · DET

Play: deflection
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 3
Shot: 16.3 mph
Distance: 5 ft
Entry to goal: 7.4 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Michael Rasmussen · 3rd 19:32 · DET EN

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 1-on-0
Passes: 0
Shot: 18.5 mph
Distance: 61 ft
Entry to goal: 2.5 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.