Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Detroit Red WingsOct 17, 2025

Final / OTFriday, Oct 17, 2025· Little Caesars Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
TBL	0	0	1	0	1		TBL	6	5	19	2	32
DET	1	0	0	1	2		DET	12	10	6	3	31

: TBL 74DET 61
: TBL 2.90DET 2.62
PP goals: TBL 0DET 0
Hits: TBL 20DET 27
Blocks: TBL 13DET 22
PIM: TBL 6DET 6
: TBL 44%DET 56%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Detroit Red Wings edge Tampa Bay Lightning 2–1 (OT)

Detroit Red Wings beat Tampa Bay Lightning 2–1 in overtime at home. Dylan Larkin (DET) led the scoring with 1G 1A. New look for TBL: Guentzel–Point–Goncalves skated 6:57 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (33.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Dylan Larkin had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 23:12.Larkin
New line
New look for TBL: Guentzel–Point–Goncalves skated 6:57 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (33.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Guentzel Point Goncalves
Usage
Victor Hedman (TBL) played 26:12, +7:34 up on his 18:38 season average over 32 games.Hedman
New line
New look for TBL: Cirelli–Hagel–Geekie skated 5:25 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (54.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Cirelli Hagel Geekie
New line
New look for TBL: Douglas–Chaffee–Finley skated 5:34 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (55% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Douglas Chaffee Finley
Luck
TBL scored 1 goal on 2.90 expected goals (74 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Darren Raddysh (TBL) played 15:56, −6:51 down on his 22:47 season average over 72 games.Raddysh
Usage
Dylan Larkin (DET) played 23:12, +3:03 up on his 20:09 season average over 73 games.Larkin

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)DET attacks right (top on phones) →

DET
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 135 of 135 attempts · DET 61 · TBL 74

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DET
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DET pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 30% of the game, DET 34%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DET

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Head-to-head matchups

DET skaters (rows) against TBL skaters (columns) at 5v5. Square size is time together; colour is xGF% from the DET side.

Matchup matrix

DET xGF% 4060square size = TOI together · blank = under 1:00

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	DET
	74	59
	2.72	2.12
	2.47	2.03
	14	10
	5	8
	18	18
	−0.063	+0.063
	30%	34%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Gourde – Bjorkstrand – Holmberg
10:3763% CF
L2Guentzel – Point – Goncalves
6:5733% CF
L3Douglas – Chaffee – Finley
5:3455% CF
L4Cirelli – Hagel – Geekie
5:2555% CF
D1Hedman – Moser
15:2468% CF
D2McDonagh – Cernak
14:4446% CF
D3Raddysh – Lilleberg
10:5248% CF

PP1Hedman – Guentzel – Point – Cirelli – Hagel
3:11100% CF
PP2Bjorkstrand – Raddysh – Chaffee – Goncalves – Geekie
1:260% CF
PK1FCirelli – Hagel
1:51
PK2FGuentzel – Holmberg
0:58
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
2:03
PK2DHedman – Moser
1:22

Current TBL line combinations →

Detroit Red Wings

L1Larkin – Appleton – Finnie
10:3633% CF
L2Copp – Compher – Brandsegg-Nygård
9:4345% CF
L3Kane – DeBrincat – Kasper
9:3854% CF
L4van Riemsdyk – Rasmussen – Soderblom
4:4246% CF
D1Chiarot – Seider
19:0544% CF
D2Edvinsson – Sandin-Pellikka
12:0438% CF
D3Bernard-Docker – Johansson
9:5143% CF

PP1van Riemsdyk – Kane – Larkin – DeBrincat – Seider
3:51100% CF
PP2Copp – Compher – Kasper – Sandin-Pellikka – Brandsegg-Nygård
1:33100% CF
PK1FLarkin – Finnie
1:17
PK2FCopp – Compher
0:44
PK1DJohansson – Edvinsson
1:49
PK2DChiarot – Seider
1:37

Current DET line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Yanni Gourde C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	15:49	—	—	55	30
Oliver Bjorkstrand R	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.12	1	0	0	14:51	—	—	61	40
Pontus Holmberg R	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	0	0	13:19	—	—	56	24
Jake Guentzel C	L2	0	0	0	-2	5	0.50	0	0	0	24:56	—	—	57	61
Brayden Point C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.11	1	0	0	21:26	—	—	61	67
Gage Goncalves C	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	0	2	0	15:06	—	—	43	24
Mitchell Chaffee R	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.29	2	1	0	10:18	—	—	52	57
Jack Finley C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.37	1	0	0	7:51	—	—	54	56
Curtis Douglas C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	0	0	0	6:27	—	—	55	57
Brandon Hagel L	L4	0	0	0	-2	3	0.45	1	1	0	24:11	—	—	61	66
Anthony Cirelli C	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.09	0	1	2	19:37	—	—	48	37
Conor Geekie C	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	3	2	2	12:39	—	—	64	72
Victor Hedman D	D1	0	1	1	0	1	0.25	2	1	0	26:12	—	—	63	62
J.J. Moser D	D1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.08	1	0	0	21:21	—	—	68	67
Ryan McDonagh D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	0	2	0	22:16	—	—	50	51
Erik Cernak D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	2	0	20:44	—	—	39	27
Darren Raddysh D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.18	2	0	0	15:56	—	—	56	52
Emil Lilleberg D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.20	3	1	0	11:49	—	—	48	48

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	O	31	29	2	.935	2.62	63:36

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Dylan Larkin C	L1	1	1	2	+2	4	0.52	0	0	0	23:12	—	—	37	30
Emmitt Finnie C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.32	6	2	0	18:35	—	—	40	31
Mason Appleton C	L1	0	1	1	0	0	0.06	1	0	0	15:55	—	—	37	30
J.T. Compher L	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.11	0	1	0	18:44	—	—	45	69
Andrew Copp C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	0	0	15:05	—	—	52	58
Michael Brandsegg-Nygård R	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.21	5	1	2	13:36	—	—	48	56
Alex DeBrincat R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	17:54	—	—	44	54
Patrick Kane R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	1	0	0	17:42	—	—	50	50
Marco Kasper C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	4	0	0	15:07	—	—	42	34
Michael Rasmussen C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.21	2	2	0	11:28	—	—	48	47
James van Riemsdyk L	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.17	0	1	0	10:34	—	—	59	82
Elmer Soderblom L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.33	2	0	0	8:40	—	—	42	49
Moritz Seider D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.10	3	4	0	27:19	—	—	48	41
Ben Chiarot D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.10	1	2	0	22:15	—	—	49	44
Simon Edvinsson D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.14	0	1	0	23:42	—	—	38	38
Axel Sandin-Pellikka D	D2	1	0	1	0	2	0.09	0	4	2	17:27	—	—	41	35
Albert Johansson D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	2	0	17:26	—	—	41	72
Jacob Bernard-Docker D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	2	10:07	—	—	47	80

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
John Gibson(start)	W	32	31	1	.969	2.90	63:36

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Axel Sandin-Pellikka (DET) 1st 13:02 · assists Dylan Larkin, Mason Appleton · Point shot · carried in · 4-on-3 at the blue line · 67.1 mph shot · 7.2 s from entry to goal.

Axel Sandin-Pellikka · 1st 13:02 · DET

Play: point-shot
Entry: carry
Odd man: 4-on-3
Passes: 3 (royal road)
Shot: 67.1 mph
Distance: 49 ft
Entry to goal: 7.2 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

J.J. Moser · 3rd 16:17 · TBL

Play: point-shot
Passes: 6
Shot: 74.7 mph
Distance: 52 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Dylan Larkin · OT 3:36 · DET

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: pass
Odd man: 1-on-0
Passes: 1
Shot: 61.7 mph
Distance: 17 ft
Entry to goal: 2.0 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Detroit Red WingsOct 17, 2025

Fantasy takeaways

Detroit Red Wings edge Tampa Bay Lightning 2–1 (OT)

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Head-to-head matchups

Matchup matrix

Sequence card

Lines used

Tampa Bay Lightning

Detroit Red Wings

Scoring summary

1st period

3rd period

OT period

Box score

Tampa Bay Lightning

Detroit Red Wings

Goal anatomy

Axel Sandin-Pellikka · 1st 13:02 · DET

J.J. Moser · 3rd 16:17 · TBL

Dylan Larkin · OT 3:36 · DET