Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Buffalo SabresNov 28, 2017

FinalTuesday, Nov 28, 2017· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	1	1	0	2		TBL	9	10	7	26
BUF	0	0	0	0		BUF	10	11	13	34

: TBL 49BUF 58
: TBL 3.00BUF 2.54
PP goals: TBL 1BUF 0
Hits: TBL 12BUF 23
Blocks: TBL 11BUF 9
PIM: TBL 6BUF 6
: TBL 44%BUF 56%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Buffalo Sabres 2–0

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Buffalo Sabres 2–0 at BUF. Dan Girardi (TBL) led the scoring with 1G 0A. New look for BUF: Pouliot–Okposo–O'Reilly skated 9:22 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (25% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

New line
New look for BUF: Pouliot–Okposo–O'Reilly skated 9:22 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (25% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Pouliot Okposo O'Reilly
Luck
BUF scored 0 goals on 2.54 expected goals (58 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for BUF: Moulson–Girgensons–Criscuolo skated 4:19 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (16.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Moulson Girgensons Criscuolo
New line
New look for BUF: Pominville–Nolan–Larsson skated 5:46 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (37.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Pominville Nolan Larsson
New line
New look for TBL: Kunitz–Callahan–Johnson skated 6:15 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (83.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Kunitz Callahan Johnson
Usage
Jake McCabe (BUF) played 14:39, −4:57 down on his 19:36 season average over 52 games.McCabe
Usage
Ryan O'Reilly (BUF) played 26:00, +5:15 up on his 20:45 season average over 80 games.O'Reilly
Usage
Zemgus Girgensons (BUF) played 8:47, −5:00 down on his 13:47 season average over 70 games.Girgensons

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 107 of 107 attempts · BUF 58 · TBL 49

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 37% of the game, BUF 31%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	BUF
	44	41
	1.89	1.17
	1.86	1.14
	7	1
	1	1
	6	5
	−0.042	+0.043
	37%	31%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Kucherov – Namestnikov
9:0325% CF
L2Palat – Gourde – Point
7:2680% CF
L3Kunitz – Callahan – Johnson
6:1583% CF
D1Hedman – Sustr
7:0427% CF
D2Coburn – Girardi
5:5225% CF
D3Stralman – Sergachev
5:1263% CF

PP1Stamkos – Palat – Kucherov – Namestnikov – Point
1:34100% CF
PP2Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Namestnikov
1:10100% CF
PK1FGourde – Point
3:00
PK2FKillorn – Johnson
0:44
PK1DStralman – Hedman
3:12
PK2DCoburn – Girardi
0:21

Current TBL line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Kane – Reinhart – Eichel
10:5772% CF
L2Pouliot – Okposo – O'Reilly
9:2225% CF
L3Pominville – Nolan – Larsson
5:4638% CF
L4Moulson – Girgensons – Criscuolo
4:1917% CF
D1Scandella – Ristolainen
15:0848% CF
D2McCabe – Antipin
12:1144% CF
D3Falk – Beaulieu
11:3840% CF

PP1Pominville – Moulson – Okposo – O'Reilly – Ristolainen
2:5583% CF
PP2Kane – Beaulieu – Reinhart – Eichel – Antipin
2:0483% CF
PK1FPouliot – Larsson
0:44
PK2FO'Reilly – Girgensons
0:26
PK1DScandella – Ristolainen
1:10
PK2DFalk – McCabe
0:40

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

16:29
TBLMikhail SergachevPP (Tyler Johnson, Ondrej Palat)slap0.05 xG
TBL: Johnson, Palat, Gourde, Point, SergachevBUF: Falk, O'Reilly, Larsson, McCabe
TBL 1 – 0 BUF

2nd period

12:08
TBLDan Girardi (Vladislav Namestnikov, Nikita Kucherov)wrist0.03 xG
TBL: Girardi, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, NamestnikovBUF: Okposo, Scandella, O'Reilly, Larsson, Ristolainen
TBL 2 – 0 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	1	1	+1	4	0.88	0	0	0	20:54	—	—	41	55
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.17	0	2	2	14:25	—	—	35	40
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	0	1	0	14:22	—	—	37	52
Brayden Point C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.18	0	0	0	22:33	—	—	61	75
Yanni Gourde C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	2	0	0	19:53	—	—	64	80
Ondrej Palat L	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.33	0	1	0	15:22	—	—	65	87
Tyler Johnson C	L3	0	1	1	0	0	0.11	0	0	2	17:10	—	—	74	92
Chris Kunitz L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	0	0	0	13:01	—	—	56	53
Ryan Callahan R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.36	3	0	0	12:41	—	—	53	55
Victor Hedman D	D1	0	0	0	+1	4	0.20	2	3	0	26:19	—	—	48	65
Andrej Sustr D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:03	—	—	53	74
Braydon Coburn D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	0	1	2	17:59	—	—	57	52
Dan Girardi D	D2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.03	0	2	0	15:22	—	—	50	29
Anton Stralman D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	1	0	21:05	—	—	39	66
Mikhail Sergachev D	D3	1	0	1	0	1	0.08	0	0	0	12:38	—	—	71	89
Alex Killorn L	—	0	0	0	0	3	0.08	1	0	0	17:30	—	—	69	66
Cedric Paquette C	—	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	0	0	10:11	—	—	33	9
Slater Koekkoek D	—	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	2	0	0	9:42	—	—	42	46

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	34	34	0	.1000	2.54	59:50

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Evander Kane L	L1	0	7	0.54	0	0	0	21:32	—	—	78	88
Jack Eichel C	L1	0	1	0.18	1	0	0	21:16	—	—	72	84
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	5	0.68	1	1	0	18:17	—	—	64	68
Ryan O'Reilly C	L2	-1	2	0.23	1	0	0	26:00	—	—	31	18
Kyle Okposo R	L2	-1	1	0.15	0	0	0	19:53	—	—	33	12
Benoit Pouliot L	L2	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	12:06	—	—	33	12
Jason Pominville R	L3	0	2	0.01	1	2	0	14:32	—	—	67	48
Jordan Nolan C	L3	0	1	0.02	3	0	2	12:28	—	—	50	23
Johan Larsson L	L3	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:23	—	—	36	1
Matt Moulson L	L4	0	3	0.28	3	0	0	11:02	—	—	20	11
Zemgus Girgensons C	L4	0	1	0.02	1	0	0	8:47	—	—	9	6
Kyle Criscuolo C	L4	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	6:55	—	—	29	49
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	-1	4	0.18	2	2	2	25:09	—	—	49	35
Marco Scandella D	D1	-1	3	0.16	1	0	0	24:50	—	—	52	28
Victor Antipin D	D2	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	16:20	—	—	38	34
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	0	0.00	4	1	0	14:39	—	—	48	39
Nathan Beaulieu D	D3	0	2	0.05	0	0	2	17:50	—	—	53	42
Justin Falk D	D3	0	1	0.02	2	1	0	15:24	—	—	33	43

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Robin Lehner(start)	L	26	24	2	.923	2.46	55:41

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.