Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Buffalo SabresJan 11, 2022

FinalTuesday, Jan 11, 2022· KeyBank Center

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

6

@

home

Buffalo SabresBUF

1

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	2	3	1	6		TBL	9	16	11	36
BUF	0	0	1	1		BUF	6	6	6	18

: TBL 54BUF 33
: TBL 3.17BUF 1.21
PP goals: TBL 1BUF 1
Hits: TBL 7BUF 12
Blocks: TBL 11BUF 8
PIM: TBL 8BUF 4
: TBL 46%BUF 54%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning rout Buffalo Sabres 6–1

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Buffalo Sabres 6–1 at BUF. Nikita Kucherov (TBL) led the scoring with 3G 0A. New look for BUF: Hinostroza–Cozens–Quinn skated 11:55 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Nikita Kucherov had a hat trick (3 points) on 7 shots in 18:48.Kucherov
Points
Steven Stamkos had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 16:26.Stamkos
Points
Alex Killorn had 3 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 17:48.Killorn
Points
Anthony Cirelli had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 16:44.Cirelli
Points
Victor Hedman had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 20:18.Hedman
New line
New look for BUF: Hinostroza–Cozens–Quinn skated 11:55 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Hinostroza Cozens Quinn
Usage
Ondrej Palat (TBL) played 8:12, −8:24 down on his 16:36 season average over 76 games.Palat
New line
New look for TBL: Joseph–Raddysh–Colton skated 9:09 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (100% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Joseph Raddysh Colton

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 87 of 87 attempts · BUF 33 · TBL 54

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 48% of the game, BUF 11%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	BUF
	55	29
	3.40	0.88
	3.27	0.85
	11	2
	2	6
	8	13
	−0.055	+0.055
	48%	11%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Killorn – Stamkos – Cirelli
9:2850% CF
L2Joseph – Raddysh – Colton
9:09100% CF
L3Perry – Maroon – Bellemare
8:3655% CF
L4Palat – Kucherov – Point
7:0757% CF
D1Bogosian – Foote
16:2867% CF
D2Cernak – Sergachev
14:4057% CF
D3Hedman – Rutta
11:3371% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Point
2:2867% CF
PP2Perry – Maroon – Palat – Cirelli – Sergachev
0:21100% CF
PK1FKillorn – Cirelli
3:51
PK2FBellemare – Joseph
2:21
PK1DCernak – Sergachev
3:06
PK2DHedman – Rutta
3:01

Current TBL line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Hinostroza – Cozens – Quinn
11:5550% CF
L2Eakin – Hayden – Bjork
8:3713% CF
L3Skinner – Olofsson – Asplund
5:3323% CF
L4Jankowski – Girgensons – Murray
3:2850% CF
D1Jokiharju – Dahlin
11:5545% CF
D2Pysyk – Bryson
9:1122% CF
D3Miller – Butcher
7:4427% CF

PP1Skinner – Olofsson – Dahlin – Cozens – Quinn
3:5760% CF
PP2Miller – Girgensons – Hinostroza – Butcher – Asplund
2:4175% CF
PK1FJankowski – Hayden
1:02
PK2FEakin – Asplund
0:06
PK1DPysyk – Jokiharju
1:17

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

2:16
TBLOndrej Palat (Victor Hedman, Jan Rutta)wrist0.09 xG
TBL: Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Point, RuttaBUF: Miller, Hayden, Bjork, Asplund, Bryson
TBL 1 – 0 BUF
10:45
TBLAnthony Cirelli (Mikhail Sergachev, Alex Killorn)wrist0.17 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Cirelli, Sergachev, RuttaBUF: Hinostroza, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Cozens, Quinn
TBL 2 – 0 BUF

2nd period

0:27
TBLNikita KucherovPP (Steven Stamkos, Brayden Point)wrist0.05 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, PointBUF: Jankowski, Hayden, Jokiharju, Dahlin
TBL 3 – 0 BUF
10:21
TBLNikita Kucherov (Corey Perry, Steven Stamkos)wrist0.12 xG
TBL: Perry, Stamkos, Bogosian, Kucherov, FooteBUF: Eakin, Hayden, Murray, Jokiharju, Dahlin
TBL 4 – 0 BUF
14:04
TBLSteven Stamkos (Alex Killorn, Anthony Cirelli)wrist0.10 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Bogosian, Cirelli, FooteBUF: Skinner, Butcher, Olofsson, Asplund, Dahlin
TBL 5 – 0 BUF

3rd period

5:31
BUFVinnie HinostrozaPP (Colin Miller, Will Butcher)snap0.15 xG
TBL: Hedman, Bellemare, Joseph, RuttaBUF: Miller, Girgensons, Hinostroza, Butcher, Asplund
TBL 5 – 1 BUF
13:57
TBLNikita Kucherov (Victor Hedman, Alex Killorn)slap0.03 xG
TBL: Killorn, Hedman, Kucherov, Cirelli, RuttaBUF: Pysyk, Olofsson, Murray, Bryson, Cozens
TBL 6 – 1 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Killorn L	L1	0	3	3	+3	2	0.22	1	0	0	17:48	—	—	71	92
Anthony Cirelli C	L1	1	1	2	+3	1	0.17	0	1	0	16:44	—	—	46	86
Steven Stamkos C	L1	1	2	3	+3	2	0.14	0	0	0	16:26	—	—	58	87
Mathieu Joseph R	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.22	0	0	0	15:43	—	—	78	94
Ross Colton C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.41	0	0	0	13:45	—	—	84	90
Taylor Raddysh R	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.39	0	0	0	11:50	—	—	88	99
Corey Perry R	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.06	1	1	4	13:33	—	—	50	70
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	0	0	0	12:40	—	—	54	70
Patrick Maroon L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	0	0	2	12:31	—	—	53	74
Nikita Kucherov R	L4	3	0	3	+3	7	0.55	0	0	2	18:48	—	—	69	74
Brayden Point C	L4	0	1	1	+1	4	0.33	0	1	0	17:21	—	—	65	70
Ondrej Palat L	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.36	1	0	0	8:12	—	—	57	53
Zach Bogosian D	D1	0	0	0	+2	0	0.06	2	0	0	18:25	—	—	71	94
Cal Foote D	D1	0	0	0	+2	2	0.07	0	3	0	18:17	—	—	64	85
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.01	0	1	0	22:27	—	—	63	74
Erik Cernak D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	2	0	20:32	—	—	55	63
Victor Hedman D	D3	0	2	2	+2	1	0.01	0	1	0	20:18	—	—	70	75
Jan Rutta D	D3	0	1	1	+3	1	0.02	0	1	0	16:50	—	—	71	90

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	18	17	1	.944	1.21	60:00

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Dylan Cozens C	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.07	2	0	2	18:07	—	—	33	18
Vinnie Hinostroza C	L1	1	0	1	-1	1	0.15	1	0	0	17:09	—	—	47	29
Jack Quinn R	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.17	0	0	0	16:30	—	—	44	24
John Hayden C	L2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	3	0	0	16:00	—	—	24	24
Cody Eakin C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.29	1	0	0	14:09	—	—	29	30
Anders Bjork L	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:52	—	—	21	0
Jeff Skinner L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	0	1	0	16:33	—	—	36	23
Rasmus Asplund C	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.03	0	0	0	15:49	—	—	38	25
Victor Olofsson L	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.11	0	0	0	12:34	—	—	19	15
Mark Jankowski L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	1	1	0	15:04	—	—	30	1
Zemgus Girgensons C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	1	0	2	14:55	—	—	46	28
Brett Murray L	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:55	—	—	46	32
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	0	0	-3	2	0.06	0	1	0	19:55	—	—	44	22
Henri Jokiharju D	D1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.02	1	0	0	18:46	—	—	40	19
Mark Pysyk D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	2	0	21:17	—	—	32	24
Jacob Bryson D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.00	0	0	0	17:59	—	—	26	19
Will Butcher D	D3	0	1	1	-1	1	0.03	0	3	0	19:19	—	—	36	26
Colin Miller D	D3	0	1	1	-1	2	0.04	2	0	0	18:34	—	—	24	7

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Malcolm Subban	—	27	23	4	.852	2.31	39:34
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen(start)	L	9	7	2	.778	0.85	20:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.