Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Buffalo SabresNov 28, 2022

Final / OTMonday, Nov 28, 2022· KeyBank Center

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

6

@

home

Buffalo SabresBUF

5

Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
TBL	2	1	2	1	6		TBL	4	10	10	1	25
BUF	2	1	2	0	5		BUF	14	8	10	5	37

: TBL 56BUF 59
: TBL 3.56BUF 4.37
PP goals: TBL 2BUF 0
Hits: TBL 25BUF 8
Blocks: TBL 10BUF 9
PIM: TBL 4BUF 8
: TBL 60%BUF 40%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning edge Buffalo Sabres 6–5 (OT)

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Buffalo Sabres 6–5 in overtime at BUF. Steven Stamkos (TBL) led the scoring with 2G 1A. TBL's first power-play unit (Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev and Hagel) scored 2 power-play goals on 8 attempts in 3:39 together.

Points
Steven Stamkos had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 2 shots in 22:37.Stamkos
Points
Mikhail Sergachev had 3 assists (3 points) on 1 shot in 24:55.Sergachev
Points
Nikita Kucherov had 3 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 26:00.Kucherov
Points
Brayden Point had two goals (2 points) on 2 shots in 25:13.Point
Points
Brandon Hagel had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 23:46.Hagel
Points
Tage Thompson had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 20:06.Thompson
PP1
TBL's first power-play unit (Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev and Hagel) scored 2 power-play goals on 8 attempts in 3:39 together.Stamkos Kucherov Point Sergachev Hagel
Goalie
Brian Elliott (TBL) faced 37 shots and stopped 32 (.865), +6 against a season average of 31.3; the win.Elliott

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 115 of 115 attempts · BUF 59 · TBL 56

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 34% of the game, BUF 44%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	BUF
	53	55
	2.72	3.21
	2.63	3.04
	12	22
	12	2
	12	11
	+0.077	−0.076
	34%	44%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Kucherov – Point – Hagel
14:0756% CF
L2Killorn – Stamkos – Paul
12:5036% CF
L3Maroon – Colton – Koepke
6:4543% CF
D1Hedman – Cernak
13:5130% CF
D2Cole – Bogosian
8:4765% CF
D3Sergachev – Perbix
7:51100% CF

PP1Stamkos – Kucherov – Point – Sergachev – Hagel
3:3989% CF
PP2Perry – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Point
0:16
PK1FNamestnikov – Hagel
0:45
PK2FKillorn – Paul
0:23
PK1DHedman – Cernak
0:45
PK2DCole – Sergachev
0:32

Current TBL line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson
12:5150% CF
L2Okposo – Girgensons – Jost
11:4859% CF
L3Cozens – Quinn – Peterka
11:0260% CF
L4Olofsson – Asplund – Mittelstadt
6:5515% CF
D1Samuelsson – Dahlin
20:4145% CF
D2Jokiharju – Power
16:1260% CF
D3Fitzgerald – Lyubushkin
8:2642% CF

PP1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Dahlin – Cozens
0:57100% CF
PP2Olofsson – Jokiharju – Quinn – Peterka – Power
0:19
PK1FGirgensons – Jost
2:44
PK2FTuch – Thompson
0:25
PK1DSamuelsson – Lyubushkin
1:21
PK2DFitzgerald – Dahlin
0:36

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

7:54
TBLBrayden PointPP (Nikita Kucherov, Brandon Hagel)wrist0.16 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, HagelBUF: Okposo, Samuelsson, Lyubushkin, Cozens
TBL 1 – 0 BUF
16:48
TBLCorey Perry (Steven Stamkos)wrist0.15 xG
TBL: Perry, Cole, Stamkos, Bogosian, NamestnikovBUF: Olofsson, Asplund, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Power
TBL 2 – 0 BUF
17:54
BUFTage Thompsonwrist0.29 xG
TBL: Maroon, Hedman, Cernak, Colton, KoepkeBUF: Okposo, Girgensons, Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin
TBL 2 – 1 BUF
18:53
BUFJack Quinn (JJ Peterka, Owen Power)wrist0.14 xG
TBL: Killorn, Cole, Stamkos, Paul, PerbixBUF: Jokiharju, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power
TBL 2 – 2 BUF

2nd period

9:07
BUFTyson Jost (Kyle Okposo, Zemgus Girgensons)wrist0.16 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Sergachev, FooteBUF: Okposo, Girgensons, Jost, Jokiharju, Power
TBL 2 – 3 BUF
16:26
TBLBrayden PointPP (Nikita Kucherov, Mikhail Sergachev)snap0.21 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, HagelBUF: Girgensons, Jost, Jokiharju, Lyubushkin
TBL 3 – 3 BUF

3rd period

9:37
BUFDylan Cozens (Rasmus Dahlin, Mattias Samuelsson)snap0.04 xG
TBL: Perry, Hedman, Namestnikov, Colton, FooteBUF: Samuelsson, Dahlin, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka
TBL 3 – 4 BUF
14:19
BUFJeff Skinner (Tage Thompson, Alex Tuch)wrist0.03 xG
TBL: Perry, Cole, Bogosian, Namestnikov, ColtonBUF: Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Fitzgerald, Lyubushkin
TBL 3 – 5 BUF
14:35
TBLSteven Stamkos (Alex Killorn, Mikhail Sergachev)wrist0.19 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Paul, Sergachev, PerbixBUF: Olofsson, Asplund, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Power
TBL 4 – 5 BUF
17:58
TBLBrandon Hagel (Nikita Kucherov, Mikhail Sergachev)slap0.21 xG
TBL: Perry, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, HagelBUF: Okposo, Jokiharju, Samuelsson, Cozens
TBL 5 – 5 BUF

OT period

2:44
TBLSteven Stamkos (Nick Paul)snap0.02 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Hedman, PaulBUF: Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin
TBL 6 – 5 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	3	3	-1	3	0.16	0	1	2	26:00	—	—	53	40
Brayden Point C	L1	2	0	2	0	2	0.67	0	1	0	25:13	—	—	50	59
Brandon Hagel L	L1	1	1	2	0	4	0.61	4	0	0	23:46	—	—	58	62
Steven Stamkos C	L2	2	1	3	+1	2	0.34	1	1	0	22:37	—	—	37	37
Nick Paul L	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.28	4	0	0	19:58	—	—	46	46
Alex Killorn L	L2	0	1	1	-1	2	0.40	1	0	0	17:49	—	—	41	38
Ross Colton C	L3	0	0	0	-3	2	0.10	3	0	0	13:00	—	—	50	57
Patrick Maroon L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.06	0	0	0	10:29	—	—	41	23
Cole Koepke L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	2	8:52	—	—	25	14
Victor Hedman D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.20	0	1	0	23:39	—	—	42	51
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	2	2	0	18:39	—	—	32	44
Ian Cole D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	2	2	0	16:27	—	—	59	53
Zach Bogosian D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	2	1	0	12:09	—	—	55	53
Mikhail Sergachev D	D3	0	3	3	0	1	0.05	1	1	0	24:55	—	—	57	40
Nick Perbix D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	0	0	14:16	—	—	69	80
Corey Perry R	—	1	0	1	-1	2	0.34	0	0	0	10:49	—	—	65	74
Vladislav Namestnikov C	—	0	0	0	-1	2	0.23	1	0	0	10:17	—	—	67	76
Cal Foote D	—	0	0	0	-2	0	0.01	2	0	0	7:35	—	—	33	14

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Brian Elliott(start)	W	37	32	5	.865	4.37	62:23

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Tage Thompson C	L1	1	1	2	+1	4	1.23	0	0	0	20:06	—	—	52	54
Alex Tuch R	L1	0	1	1	0	3	0.13	0	0	0	19:02	—	—	50	39
Jeff Skinner L	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.43	0	1	0	17:45	—	—	50	40
Tyson Jost C	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.17	0	0	2	18:09	—	—	62	60
Zemgus Girgensons C	L2	0	1	1	+2	1	0.13	1	1	0	17:38	—	—	55	58
Kyle Okposo R	L2	0	1	1	+2	4	0.62	0	0	0	16:18	—	—	57	57
Dylan Cozens C	L3	1	0	1	+2	5	0.61	0	1	0	14:46	—	—	57	72
Jack Quinn R	L3	1	0	1	+2	3	0.42	0	0	0	14:21	—	—	59	85
JJ Peterka R	L3	0	1	1	+2	1	0.24	0	0	0	13:50	—	—	63	86
Casey Mittelstadt C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:19	—	—	20	11
Rasmus Asplund C	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.10	0	0	0	8:38	—	—	31	14
Victor Olofsson L	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:18	—	—	25	6
Mattias Samuelsson D	D1	0	1	1	+2	2	0.06	0	1	2	27:01	—	—	46	52
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.04	1	2	2	25:03	—	—	44	48
Henri Jokiharju D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	2	1	0	23:31	—	—	60	56
Owen Power D	D2	0	1	1	0	4	0.18	0	1	2	22:50	—	—	57	57
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	1	0	14:00	—	—	56	55
Casey Fitzgerald D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	11:27	—	—	41	50

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen(start)	O	25	19	6	.760	3.56	62:44

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.