Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Buffalo SabresJan 20, 2024

FinalSaturday, Jan 20, 2024· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	2	0	1	3		TBL	5	9	2	16
BUF	0	1	0	1		BUF	6	6	15	27

: TBL 43BUF 55
: TBL 3.41BUF 2.04
PP goals: TBL 0BUF 0
Hits: TBL 16BUF 18
Blocks: TBL 13BUF 11
PIM: TBL 4BUF 6
: TBL 53%BUF 47%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Buffalo Sabres 3–1

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Buffalo Sabres 3–1 at BUF. Nick Paul (TBL) led the scoring with 1G 1A. New look for BUF: Okposo–Olofsson–Krebs skated 8:04 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (75% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Nick Paul had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 18:29.Paul
Points
Brandon Hagel had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 20:43.Hagel
New line
New look for BUF: Okposo–Olofsson–Krebs skated 8:04 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (75% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Okposo Olofsson Krebs
Usage
Darren Raddysh (TBL) played 25:31, +6:29 up on his 19:02 season average over 81 games.Raddysh
Usage
Henri Jokiharju (BUF) played 15:10, −3:52 down on his 19:02 season average over 73 games.Jokiharju

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 98 of 98 attempts · BUF 55 · TBL 43

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 30% of the game, BUF 40%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	BUF
	38	55
	1.32	1.85
	1.31	1.80
	2	6
	1	4
	13	6
	−0.003	+0.003
	30%	40%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Paul – Cirelli – Hagel
12:2250% CF
L2Stamkos – Kucherov – Point
11:4243% CF
L3Motte – Sheary – Eyssimont
8:2033% CF
L4Watson – Glendening – Merela
4:5518% CF
D1Hedman – Raddysh
16:5436% CF
D2de Haan – Perbix
14:4040% CF
D3Crozier – Lilleberg
10:5223% CF

PP1Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Paul – Point
2:4367% CF
PP2Kucherov – Sheary – Raddysh – Cirelli – Hagel
1:17100% CF
PK1FGlendening – Motte
1:50
PK2FCirelli – Hagel
0:40
PK1DHedman – Perbix
1:50
PK2Dde Haan – Lilleberg
0:40

Current TBL line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Okposo – Olofsson – Krebs
8:0475% CF
L2Cozens – Quinn – Peterka
7:0262% CF
L3Tuch – Thompson – Mittelstadt
6:3291% CF
L4Girgensons – Greenway – Benson
3:1750% CF
D1Samuelsson – Dahlin
11:3857% CF
D2Clifton – Jokiharju
6:2230% CF
D3Johnson – Power
5:4238% CF

PP1Tuch – Thompson – Mittelstadt – Dahlin – Benson
1:1967% CF
PP2Olofsson – Cozens – Quinn – Peterka – Power
1:02100% CF
PK1FGreenway – Cozens
2:12
PK2FThompson – Quinn
0:40
PK1DClifton – Samuelsson
2:35
PK2DJokiharju – Power
0:36

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brandon Hagel L	L1	0	2	2	+2	2	0.65	0	1	0	20:43	—	—	59	84
Anthony Cirelli C	L1	0	1	1	+2	2	0.25	0	0	0	19:58	—	—	57	80
Nick Paul L	L1	1	1	2	+2	2	0.63	2	0	0	18:29	—	—	46	74
Brayden Point C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.39	0	1	0	19:47	—	—	37	37
Nikita Kucherov R	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.04	0	0	0	19:23	—	—	50	40
Steven Stamkos C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.31	0	1	0	18:33	—	—	41	38
Tyler Motte C	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.16	1	0	0	14:32	—	—	40	33
Conor Sheary L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	0	0	0	12:40	—	—	42	3
Michael Eyssimont C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	1	0	2	11:28	—	—	44	2
Luke Glendening C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	10:27	—	—	13	2
Waltteri Merela C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	7:29	—	—	17	3
Austin Watson L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	6:36	—	—	13	2
Darren Raddysh D	D1	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	3	1	2	25:31	—	—	38	36
Victor Hedman D	D1	0	0	0	+2	1	0.12	1	0	0	25:09	—	—	42	36
Nick Perbix D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	0	1	0	19:04	—	—	44	59
Calvin de Haan D	D2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.64	2	3	0	18:34	—	—	41	64
Emil Lilleberg D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	2	0	14:08	—	—	23	32
Maxwell Crozier D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	2	0	0	13:32	—	—	39	40

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jonas Johansson(start)	W	27	26	1	.963	2.04	59:57

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kyle Okposo R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	0	2	0	12:12	—	—	63	86
Peyton Krebs C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:07	—	—	69	86
Victor Olofsson L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	0	0	0	9:56	—	—	75	93
Dylan Cozens C	L2	1	0	1	-1	2	0.24	0	0	0	17:58	—	—	52	71
JJ Peterka R	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.24	0	1	0	15:39	—	—	58	71
Jack Quinn R	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.21	2	0	0	15:37	—	—	58	70
Alex Tuch R	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.20	3	0	2	18:36	—	—	53	55
Casey Mittelstadt C	L3	0	0	0	-2	3	0.27	0	0	0	18:02	—	—	64	56
Tage Thompson C	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.08	0	0	0	17:16	—	—	60	56
Jordan Greenway L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	2	1	0	16:19	—	—	53	22
Zach Benson L	L4	0	0	0	-2	2	0.08	0	1	2	13:24	—	—	41	33
Zemgus Girgensons C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	4	0	0	11:11	—	—	75	28
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	1	1	0	5	0.30	2	1	0	28:17	—	—	67	63
Mattias Samuelsson D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.02	2	0	0	20:18	—	—	53	45
Connor Clifton D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	2	0	0	16:13	—	—	52	64
Henri Jokiharju D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	1	3	0	15:10	—	—	35	17
Owen Power D	D3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.13	0	0	0	23:54	—	—	69	65
Ryan Johnson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	0	2	2	13:58	—	—	61	67

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen(start)	L	15	13	2	.867	2.01	58:53

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Nick Paul (TBL) 1st 6:14 · assists Brandon Hagel, Anthony Cirelli · Forecheck turnover · 59.7 mph shot.

Nick Paul · 1st 6:14 · TBL

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 59.7 mph
Distance: 24 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Tyler Motte · 1st 7:06 · TBL SH

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 1-on-0
Passes: 0
Shot: 61.1 mph
Distance: 15 ft
Entry to goal: 2.0 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Calvin de Haan · 3rd 18:44 · TBL EN

Play: point-shot
Passes: 0
Shot: 69.0 mph
Distance: 90 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Dylan Cozens · 2nd 13:52 · BUF

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 46.9 mph
Distance: 10 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Buffalo SabresJan 20, 2024

Fantasy takeaways

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Buffalo Sabres 3–1

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Tampa Bay Lightning

Buffalo Sabres

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Tampa Bay Lightning

Buffalo Sabres

Goal anatomy

Nick Paul · 1st 6:14 · TBL

Tyler Motte · 1st 7:06 · TBL SH

Calvin de Haan · 3rd 18:44 · TBL EN

Dylan Cozens · 2nd 13:52 · BUF