Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Ottawa SenatorsJan 4, 2020

FinalSaturday, Jan 4, 2020· Canadian Tire Centre

away

home

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	0	2	3	5		TBL	7	7	14	28
OTT	0	3	0	3		OTT	7	14	7	28

: TBL 57OTT 56
: TBL 3.06OTT 3.52
PP goals: TBL 0OTT 1
Hits: TBL 32OTT 38
Blocks: TBL 14OTT 18
PIM: TBL 17OTT 13
: TBL 58%OTT 42%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Ottawa Senators 5–3

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Ottawa Senators 5–3 at OTT. Victor Hedman (TBL) led the scoring with 0G 2A. OTT's first power-play unit (Ennis, Pageau, Chabot, Batherson and Tkachuk) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 4:36 together.

Points
Victor Hedman had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 28:13.Hedman
PP1
OTT's first power-play unit (Ennis, Pageau, Chabot, Batherson and Tkachuk) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 4:36 together.Ennis Pageau Chabot Batherson Tkachuk
New line
New look for OTT: Ennis–White–Tkachuk skated 9:13 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (40% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Ennis White Tkachuk
Usage
Ryan McDonagh (TBL) played 7:53, −13:05 down on his 20:58 season average over 49 games.McDonagh
Usage
Mark Borowiecki (OTT) played 24:07, +6:18 up on his 17:49 season average over 52 games.Borowiecki
New line
New look for OTT: Anisimov–Boedker–Balcers skated 5:41 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (60% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Anisimov Boedker Balcers
New line
New look for OTT: Namestnikov–Tierney–Batherson skated 4:59 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (75% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Namestnikov Tierney Batherson
Luck
TBL scored 5 goals on 3.06 expected goals (57 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 113 of 113 attempts · OTT 56 · TBL 57

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 20% of the game, OTT 34%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	OTT
	47	44
	2.54	1.60
	2.34	1.51
	12	11
	2	2
	13	7
	+0.044	−0.044
	20%	34%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Palat – Kucherov – Point
7:5358% CF
L2Gourde – Verhaeghe – Stephens
7:5171% CF
L3Killorn – Stamkos – Cirelli
6:1533% CF
L4Maroon – Johnson – Paquette
4:2933% CF
D1Shattenkirk – Sergachev
9:0550% CF
D2Hedman – Rutta
7:5633% CF
D3McDonagh – Cernak
4:4625% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Point
2:280% CF
PP2Shattenkirk – Maroon – Johnson – Palat – Sergachev
1:01
PK1FKillorn – Cirelli
2:17
PK2FGourde – Paquette
1:27
PK1DHedman – Rutta
2:35
PK2DMcDonagh – Sergachev
1:13

Current TBL line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Ennis – White – Tkachuk
9:1340% CF
L2Pageau – Brown – Paul
7:4138% CF
L3Anisimov – Boedker – Balcers
5:4160% CF
L4Namestnikov – Tierney – Batherson
4:5975% CF
D1Borowiecki – Chabot
17:2539% CF
D2Goloubef – Reilly
8:3942% CF
D3Englund – Jaros
5:440% CF

PP1Ennis – Pageau – Chabot – Batherson – Tkachuk
4:36100% CF
PP2Anisimov – Reilly – Namestnikov – White – Balcers
2:04
PK1FNamestnikov – Tierney
2:03
PK2FPageau – Brown
0:00
PK1DGoloubef – Borowiecki
1:28
PK2DEnglund – Jaros
0:44

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

0:46
OTTChris Tierney (Christian Jaros)wrist0.04 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, PointOTT: Borowiecki, Reilly, Tierney, Brown
TBL 0 – 1 OTT
2:40
TBLCarter Verhaeghe (Victor Hedman, Yanni Gourde)wrist0.18 xG
TBL: Hedman, Gourde, Verhaeghe, Stephens, RuttaOTT: Goloubef, Englund, White, Jaros, Tkachuk
TBL 1 – 1 OTT
3:45
TBLKevin Shattenkirkwrist0.15 xG
TBL: Shattenkirk, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, PointOTT: Anisimov, Borowiecki, Brown, Paul, Chabot
TBL 2 – 1 OTT
11:40
OTTJean-Gabriel PageauPP (Drake Batherson, Tyler Ennis)snap0.21 xG
TBL: Killorn, Hedman, Cernak, CirelliOTT: Ennis, Pageau, Chabot, Batherson, Tkachuk
TBL 2 – 2 OTT
19:51
OTTMark Borowiecki (Artem Anisimov, Thomas Chabot)slap0.00 xG
TBL: Killorn, Shattenkirk, Stamkos, Paquette, SergachevOTT: Anisimov, Borowiecki, Paul, Chabot, Balcers
TBL 2 – 3 OTT

3rd period

8:37
TBLBrayden Point (Mikhail Sergachev, Nikita Kucherov)snap0.18 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, SergachevOTT: Ennis, Borowiecki, Tierney, Paul, Chabot
TBL 3 – 3 OTT
18:30
TBLTyler Johnson (Victor Hedman, Ondrej Palat)deflected0.14 xG
TBL: Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Cernak, CirelliOTT: Goloubef, Pageau, Reilly, Namestnikov, Brown
TBL 4 – 3 OTT
19:53
TBLAlex KillornENwrist0.47 xG
TBL: Killorn, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, CernakOTT: Pageau, Reilly, White, Chabot, Batherson, Tkachuk
TBL 5 – 3 OTT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	1	1	+2	2	0.15	0	0	2	18:50	—	—	54	73
Brayden Point C	L1	1	0	1	+2	4	0.73	0	0	0	18:39	—	—	65	81
Ondrej Palat L	L1	0	1	1	+2	2	0.19	2	0	0	17:37	—	—	58	69
Yanni Gourde C	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.11	1	0	0	13:59	—	—	60	75
Mitchell Stephens C	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.13	0	0	0	11:49	—	—	50	78
Carter Verhaeghe C	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.33	2	0	0	8:50	—	—	63	90
Alex Killorn L	L3	1	0	1	-1	2	0.54	2	0	0	17:05	—	—	44	16
Steven Stamkos C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	1	1	0	16:09	—	—	48	65
Anthony Cirelli C	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	1	4	15:12	—	—	57	49
Cedric Paquette C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.09	3	1	0	11:54	—	—	31	17
Tyler Johnson C	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.20	4	1	0	11:08	—	—	58	67
Patrick Maroon L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	5	10:49	—	—	46	24
Mikhail Sergachev D	D1	0	1	1	0	2	0.14	5	3	0	24:35	—	—	48	62
Kevin Shattenkirk D	D1	1	0	1	0	2	0.18	1	1	2	18:14	—	—	59	61
Victor Hedman D	D2	0	2	2	+3	3	0.17	2	1	0	28:13	—	—	56	60
Jan Rutta D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	2	1	0	18:42	—	—	48	63
Erik Cernak D	D3	0	0	0	+3	1	0.03	3	3	2	19:37	—	—	54	70
Ryan McDonagh D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	0	2	7:53	—	—	25	1

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Curtis McElhinney(start)	W	28	25	3	.893	3.52	60:00

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brady Tkachuk L	L1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.14	8	1	4	19:49	—	—	53	52
Tyler Ennis R	L1	0	1	1	-1	4	0.44	2	0	0	16:34	—	—	44	50
Colin White C	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.37	0	1	0	15:13	—	—	46	37
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L2	1	0	1	-2	2	0.22	2	0	0	18:40	—	—	50	33
Connor Brown R	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.12	1	0	2	16:27	—	—	39	17
Nick Paul L	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	15:17	—	—	30	12
Artem Anisimov C	L3	0	1	1	0	0	0.08	0	0	0	12:03	—	—	60	42
Rudolfs Balcers L	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.90	1	0	0	10:25	—	—	57	54
Mikkel Boedker L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.09	1	0	0	6:58	—	—	50	72
Chris Tierney C	L4	1	0	1	0	4	0.44	1	1	0	16:49	—	—	47	47
Drake Batherson R	L4	0	1	1	-1	1	0.12	1	2	0	15:56	—	—	63	63
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	5	0	0	14:04	—	—	59	47
Thomas Chabot D	D1	0	1	1	-2	3	0.15	1	2	0	30:12	—	—	52	39
Mark Borowiecki D	D1	1	0	1	0	2	0.08	5	2	0	24:07	—	—	40	24
Mike Reilly D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.12	2	3	0	20:09	—	—	48	54
Cody Goloubef D	D2	0	0	0	-2	3	0.24	2	4	2	17:38	—	—	45	40
Christian Jaros D	D3	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	12:01	—	—	20	0
Andreas Englund D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	1	5	10:46	—	—	38	0

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	L	27	23	4	.852	2.58	58:52

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.