Tampa Bay Lightning at San Jose SharksMar 6, 2027

Time TBDSaturday, Mar 6, 2027

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

at

home

San Jose SharksSJS

Preview

Probable goalies, start odds, schedule edge and each team's lines from its last game.

Schedule Edge

No schedule edge

TBLaway+0.7 pts

Back-to-back · 535 km travel

Backup likely (59%) −2.4 pts
SJS backup likely (74%) +3.1 pts

SJShome−0.5 pts

Back-to-back

Backup likely (74%) −3.0 pts
TBL backup likely (59%) +2.5 pts

No meaningful schedule edge: TBL (back-to-back) at SJS (back-to-back).

· Every game this week →

Tampa Bay Lightning

Goalie: Starter not announced
Start probability: Dennis Hildeby59%
Andrei Vasilevskiy41%
Schedule: Second of a back-to-back
Last game: L 1–5 at NYR · Oct 1

L1Guentzel – Cirelli – Hagel
8:05
L2Kucherov – Point – Mikheyev
6:58
L3Harkins – Goncalves – Geekie
5:04
L4Girgensons – Viel – Holmberg
4:59
D1McDonagh – Cernak
11:26
D2Hedman – D'Astous
11:01
D3Carlson – Moser
9:29
PP1Carlson – Kucherov – Guentzel – Point – Hagel
7:18

Projected TBL lines →·TBL goalies →·Goalie start planner →

San Jose Sharks

Goalie: Starter not announced
Start probability: Alex Nedeljkovic38%
Eric Comrie36%
Yaroslav Askarov26%
Schedule: Second of a back-to-back
Last game: W 4–3 vs FLA · Oct 1

L1Marchment – Smith – Celebrini
10:34
L2Wennberg – Graf – Stenberg
10:13
L3Toffoli – Chernyshov – Misa
7:17
L4Goodrow – Sherwood – Ostapchuk
6:43
D1Orlov – Cagnoni
13:38
D2Nurse – Kesselring
12:18
D3Trouba – Allan
12:06
PP1Wennberg – Cagnoni – Smith – Celebrini – Chernyshov
3:37

Projected SJS lines →·SJS goalies →·Goalie start planner →

Game day: all games on Mar 6.

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Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.