Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Colorado AvalancheMar 8, 2025

FinalSaturday, Mar 8, 2025· Ball Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	3	1	0	4		TOR	8	3	10	21
COL	2	1	4	7		COL	14	13	7	34

: TOR 44COL 69
: TOR 1.80COL 4.07
PP goals: TOR 1COL 1
Hits: TOR 23COL 23
Blocks: TOR 14COL 10
PIM: TOR 8COL 4
: TOR 64%COL 36%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche beat Toronto Maple Leafs 7–4

Colorado Avalanche beat Toronto Maple Leafs 7–4 at home. Valeri Nichushkin (COL) led the scoring with 3G 1A.

Points
Valeri Nichushkin had a hat trick and an assist (4 points) on 5 shots in 19:44.Nichushkin
Points
Auston Matthews had 3 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 20:31.Matthews
Points
John Tavares had two goals (2 points) on 3 shots in 17:12.Tavares
Points
Mitch Marner had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 19:21.Marner
Points
Nathan MacKinnon had two goals (2 points) on 3 shots in 25:28.MacKinnon
Points
Ross Colton had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 11:46.Colton
Points
Sam Malinski had 2 assists (2 points) in 14:44.Malinski
Points
William Nylander had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 18:13.Nylander

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)COL attacks right (top on phones) →

COL
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 113 of 113 attempts · COL 69 · TOR 44

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

COL
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

COL pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 17% of the game, COL 57%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

COL

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	COL
	43	61
	1.62	2.05
	1.61	1.99
	4	8
	2	2
	12	29
	+0.051	−0.051
	17%	57%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Marner – Matthews – Knies
12:3457% CF
L2Tavares – Nylander – Holmberg
10:3338% CF
L3Laughton – Domi – McMann
7:4938% CF
L4Lorentz – Kampf – Robertson
5:4563% CF
D1Rielly – Carlo
15:4641% CF
D2Ekman-Larsson – McCabe
15:3150% CF
D3Myers – Benoit
12:5924% CF

PP1Tavares – Nylander – Marner – Matthews – Knies
0:31100% CF
PK1FKampf – Knies
2:09
PK2FMarner – Matthews
1:24
PK1DMcCabe – Carlo
2:02
PK2DEkman-Larsson – Benoit
1:25

Current TOR line combinations →

Colorado Avalanche

L1Lehkonen – MacKinnon – Necas
12:3467% CF
L2Nelson – Drouin – Nichushkin
9:4859% CF
L3Kelly – Drury – O'Connor
7:2656% CF
L4Coyle – Colton – Kiviranta
7:1136% CF
D1Toews – Makar
15:1852% CF
D2Manson – Lindgren
14:1060% CF
D3Girard – Malinski
12:3762% CF

PP1MacKinnon – Drouin – Nichushkin – Necas – Makar
4:06100% CF
PP2Nelson – Lehkonen – MacKinnon – Toews – Necas
1:33100% CF
PK1FCoyle – Kiviranta
0:31
PK1DToews – Makar
0:31

Current COL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	3	3	0	2	0.11	0	1	0	20:31	—	—	59	78
Matthew Knies L	L1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.01	3	0	0	20:03	—	—	48	60
Mitch Marner R	L1	2	0	2	0	4	0.41	0	0	2	19:21	—	—	54	69
William Nylander R	L2	0	2	2	-3	2	0.22	0	0	2	18:13	—	—	32	44
John Tavares C	L2	2	0	2	-3	3	0.48	2	0	0	17:12	—	—	34	45
Pontus Holmberg R	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.20	0	1	0	14:30	—	—	36	49
Scott Laughton C	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.21	1	1	0	11:54	—	—	29	37
Max Domi C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	0	0	0	10:51	—	—	40	52
Bobby McMann C	L3	0	1	1	-1	1	0.00	3	0	0	10:44	—	—	44	49
David Kampf C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:41	—	—	44	11
Nick Robertson L	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	2	0	0	9:21	—	—	36	6
Steven Lorentz C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	1	0	0	9:17	—	—	43	13
Brandon Carlo D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	6	0	22:04	—	—	43	53
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.03	0	0	0	20:52	—	—	46	48
Oliver Ekman-Larsson D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	2	2	0	21:45	—	—	50	65
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	2	0	21:00	—	—	50	60
Simon Benoit D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	4	1	2	16:10	—	—	23	11
Philippe Myers D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	0	2	16:06	—	—	35	16

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anthony Stolarz(start)	L	32	27	5	.844	2.62	58:39

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	2	0	2	+1	3	1.15	1	2	0	25:28	—	—	64	53
Martin Necas C	L1	0	1	1	-1	6	0.26	1	0	0	21:36	—	—	69	59
Artturi Lehkonen L	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.27	1	0	0	20:49	—	—	58	46
Valeri Nichushkin R	L2	3	1	4	+2	5	0.95	3	0	0	19:44	—	—	67	41
Brock Nelson C	L2	0	1	1	0	0	0.04	2	0	0	18:41	—	—	55	37
Jonathan Drouin L	L2	1	0	1	+1	4	0.47	1	0	0	15:49	—	—	62	43
Parker Kelly C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	4	0	2	10:06	—	—	50	75
Logan O'Connor R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	9:42	—	—	58	75
Jack Drury C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	1	0	2	8:58	—	—	64	87
Ross Colton C	L4	0	2	2	+2	1	0.08	3	0	0	11:46	—	—	40	84
Charlie Coyle C	L4	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	1	2	0	11:44	—	—	52	90
Joel Kiviranta L	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.16	1	0	0	9:34	—	—	50	82
Cale Makar D	D1	0	1	1	0	3	0.11	0	1	0	23:37	—	—	54	34
Devon Toews D	D1	0	1	1	0	1	0.09	0	1	0	22:30	—	—	53	42
Ryan Lindgren D	D2	0	1	1	0	2	0.12	0	0	0	17:52	—	—	62	38
Josh Manson D	D2	0	1	1	0	3	0.07	2	1	0	16:57	—	—	59	37
Samuel Girard D	D3	0	0	0	+3	2	0.02	2	0	0	18:17	—	—	63	87
Sam Malinski D	D3	0	2	2	+3	0	0.01	0	2	0	14:44	—	—	65	90

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mackenzie Blackwood(start)	W	21	17	4	.810	1.80	59:35

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Valeri Nichushkin (COL) 1st 0:56 · assists Ryan Lindgren, Josh Manson · Deflection · 32.6 mph shot.

Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 0:56 · COL

Play: deflection
Passes: 0
Shot: 32.6 mph
Distance: 59 ft
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Mitch Marner · 1st 3:04 · TOR

Play: rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 3
Shot: 54.2 mph
Distance: 29 ft
Entry to goal: 3.3 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 6:08 · COL

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 45.8 mph
Distance: 22 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

John Tavares · 1st 12:51 · TOR

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 1
Shot: 73.9 mph
Distance: 33 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Mitch Marner · 1st 16:04 · TOR

Play: rush
Entry: loose
Odd man: No
Passes: 1
Shot: 76.9 mph
Distance: 31 ft
Entry to goal: 5.7 s
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

John Tavares · 2nd 12:45 · TOR PP

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 37.2 mph
Distance: 10 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Joel Kiviranta · 2nd 15:11 · COL

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 5-on-3
Passes: 0
Shot: 21.5 mph
Distance: 6 ft
Entry to goal: 2.8 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Jonathan Drouin · 3rd 11:55 · COL

Play: turnover-forecheck
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 2
Shot: 57.6 mph
Distance: 23 ft
Entry to goal: 7.5 s
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 15:45 · COL PP

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 61.8 mph
Distance: 25 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 18:06 · COL EN

Play: point-shot
Passes: 1
Shot: 62.8 mph
Distance: 108 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 19:07 · COL EN

Play: rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 43.6 mph
Distance: 29 ft
Entry to goal: 2.0 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Colorado AvalancheMar 8, 2025

Fantasy takeaways

Colorado Avalanche beat Toronto Maple Leafs 7–4

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Toronto Maple Leafs

Colorado Avalanche

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Toronto Maple Leafs

Colorado Avalanche

Goal anatomy

Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 0:56 · COL

Mitch Marner · 1st 3:04 · TOR

Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 6:08 · COL

John Tavares · 1st 12:51 · TOR

Mitch Marner · 1st 16:04 · TOR

John Tavares · 2nd 12:45 · TOR PP

Joel Kiviranta · 2nd 15:11 · COL

Jonathan Drouin · 3rd 11:55 · COL

Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 15:45 · COL PP

Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 18:06 · COL EN

Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 19:07 · COL EN