Edgehalla

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Colorado AvalancheJan 12, 2026

Final / OT· Ball Arena
away
TOR
4
@
home
COL
3
Goals123OTTShots123OTT
TOR11114TOR1595332
COL20103COL13712234
TOR 54COL 71
TOR 2.27COL 3.21
PP goals
TOR 0COL 1
Hits
TOR 13COL 14
Blocks
TOR 22COL 12
PIM
TOR 8COL 6
TOR 51%COL 49%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Colorado Avalanche 4–3 (OT)

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Colorado Avalanche 4–3 in overtime at COL. Nathan MacKinnon (COL) led the scoring with 0G 3A. COL's first power-play unit (Nelson, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Necas and Makar) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 2:18 together.

  1. Points
    Nathan MacKinnon had 3 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 24:40.MacKinnon
  2. Points
    Auston Matthews had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 25:29.Matthews
  3. Points
    Cale Makar had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 27:22.Makar
  4. Points
    Martin Necas had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 22:31.Necas
  5. Points
    William Nylander had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 21:29.Nylander
  6. Points
    Oliver Ekman-Larsson had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 20:53.Ekman-Larsson
  7. PP1
    COL's first power-play unit (Nelson, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Necas and Makar) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 2:18 together.NelsonLehkonenMacKinnonNecasMakar
  8. Usage
    Nick Robertson (TOR) played 1:14, −11:35 down on his 12:49 season average over 77 games.Robertson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Shot map, TOR at COL: 125 attempts, 66 on goal, 7 goals, 5.48 expected goals; best chance Martin Necas at 0.25 xG.

Strength
Period
Team
← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)COL attacks right (top on phones) →
  • COL
  • TOR
  • Goal
  • Shot on goal
  • Missed
  • Blocked

Showing 125 of 125 attempts · COL 71 · TOR 54

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

Game flow, TOR at COL: expected goals 3.21 to 2.27 (COL led the chances), shot attempts 71 to 54, 7 goals.

0.01.02.03.04.01st2nd3rdOTCOLTORCMNMMNNnet xGcumulative expected goals · 63:59
  • COL
  • TOR
  • Goal
  • Power play (shaded)
Pressure Index
COLTORcontrol2nd3rdOTCowan · 1st 11:15Makar · 1st 16:12Nelson · 1st 17:53McMann · 2nd 2:12Matthews · 3rd 10:24Necas · 3rd 12:55Nylander · OT 3:59
  • COL pressure
  • TOR pressure
  • Goal
  • Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 22% of the game, COL 46%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

Shift chart, TOR at COL: 38 players over 63:59; most ice Trent Miner (63:28) for COL and Joseph Woll (63:06) for TOR, 7 goals.

COL
TOR
goals / penalties
  • Even strength
  • Power play
  • Penalty kill
  • Goal
  • Penalty

Head-to-head matchups

COL skaters (rows) against TOR skaters (columns) at 5v5. Square size is time together; colour is xGF% from the COL side.

Matchup matrix

Head-to-head matrix, COL rows versus TOR columns: 227 matchups; most common Necas vs Ekman-Larsson, 12:34 at 77% xGF.

COL ↓ · TOR →MatthewsKniesDomiNylanderTavaresMaccelliMcMannRoyCowanMcCabeEkman-LarssonRiellyCarloStecherBenoitL1 MacKinnonL1 NecasL1 LehkonenL2 NelsonL2 NichushkinL2 ColtonL3 DruryL3 OlofssonL3 KellyL4 BrindleyL4 IvanL4 BardakovD1 MakarD1 MalinskiD2 BurnsD2 MansonD3 GirardD3 Solovyov
COL xGF% 4060square size = TOI together · blank = under 1:00

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
StatTORCOL
5073
1.402.62
1.372.50
211
55
2919
−0.031+0.031
22%46%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

Current TOR line combinations →

Colorado Avalanche

Current COL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

  1. 11:15
    TOREaston Cowanunknown0.01 xG
    TOR: Rielly, Carlo, Roy, McMann, CowanCOL: Burns, Nelson, Manson, Nichushkin, Colton
    TOR 1 – 0 COL
  2. 16:12
    COLCale Makar (Martin Necas, Nathan MacKinnon)wrist0.08 xG
    TOR: Laughton, McCabe, Carlo, Roy, LorentzCOL: Burns, MacKinnon, Olofsson, Necas, Makar
    TOR 1 – 1 COL
  3. 17:53
    COLBrock NelsonPP (Nathan MacKinnon, Cale Makar)slap0.13 xG
    TOR: Laughton, McCabe, Carlo, LorentzCOL: Nelson, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar
    TOR 1 – 2 COL

2nd period

  1. 2:12
    TORBobby McMannwrist0.10 xG
    TOR: Roy, Stecher, Benoit, McMann, CowanCOL: Olofsson, Girard, Kelly, Drury, Solovyov
    TOR 2 – 2 COL

3rd period

  1. 10:24
    TORAuston Matthews (William Nylander, Oliver Ekman-Larsson)wrist0.06 xG
    TOR: Rielly, Nylander, Carlo, MatthewsCOL: Nelson, Manson, Nichushkin, Girard
    TOR 3 – 2 COL
  2. 12:55
    COLMartin Necas (Nathan MacKinnon)tip-in0.18 xG
    TOR: Ekman-Larsson, McCabe, Domi, Matthews, McMannCOL: Manson, MacKinnon, Girard, Colton, Necas
    TOR 3 – 3 COL

OT period

  1. 3:59
    TORWilliam Nylander (Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Auston Matthews)wrist0.16 xG
    TOR: Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, MatthewsCOL: MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Makar
    TOR 4 – 3 COL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
SkaterLineGAP+/-HitsBlkPIMPPSH
Auston Matthews CL1112+120.2810225:29——4328
Matthew Knies LL1000010.0413021:27——3222
Max Domi CL1000-130.0710017:36——5326
William Nylander RL2112+240.3900021:29——3948
John Tavares CL2000030.1701019:26——5255
Matias Maccelli LL2000010.2501017:29——5058
Bobby McMann CL3101+160.4610218:06——5142
Nicolas Roy CL3000+110.0701012:14——3335
Easton Cowan RL3101+210.0111011:10——3023
Jake McCabe DD1000-220.2314022:16——3532
Oliver Ekman-Larsson DD1022020.0601020:53——4124
Morgan Rielly DD2000+230.1812220:45——4342
Brandon Carlo DD2000+110.0025020:38——4039
Troy Stecher DD3000+100.0000018:41——3933
Simon Benoit DD3000+110.0231016:53——4634
Scott Laughton C—000-100.0401211:51——2932
Steven Lorentz C—000-100.001009:08——3139
Nick Robertson L—000000.000101:14——171
TOR goalies
GoalieDecSASVGATOI
Joseph Woll(start)W34313.9123.2163:06

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
SkaterLineGAP+/-HitsBlkPIMPPSH
Nathan MacKinnon CL1033+130.3710024:40——6576
Martin Necas CL1112+250.9011222:31——6274
Artturi Lehkonen LL1000010.1100021:39——5261
Brock Nelson CL2101-240.7200022:09——5263
Valeri Nichushkin RL2000-310.0000018:24——5370
Ross Colton CL2000050.3740015:03——5969
Jack Drury CL3000-110.0412015:58——6457
Victor Olofsson LL3000020.0700015:24——7767
Parker Kelly CL3000-110.0821014:28——6758
Gavin Brindley CL4000000.000005:52——5659
Ivan Ivan CL4000000.000025:04——3338
Zakhar Bardakov CL4000000.000204:34——1428
Cale Makar DD1112020.1312227:22——4858
Sam Malinski DD1000020.1112022:09——5156
Brent Burns DD2000030.0901020:42——6481
Josh Manson DD2000-120.1321020:10——6983
Samuel Girard DD3000-100.0500021:11——5455
Ilya Solovyov DD3000-120.051009:08——7753
COL goalies
GoalieDecSASVGATOI
Trent Miner(start)O31284.9032.2763:28

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Cale Makar (COL) 1st 16:12 · assists Martin Necas, Nathan MacKinnon · Forecheck turnover · 72.0 mph shot.

Bobby McMann · 2nd 2:12 · TOR

Play
odd-man-rush
Entry
carry
Odd man
1-on-0
Passes
0
Shot
65.0 mph
Distance
26 ft
Entry to goal
1.6 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Auston Matthews · 3rd 10:24 · TOR

Play
odd-man-rush
Entry
carry
Odd man
3-on-2
Passes
2
Shot
64.0 mph
Distance
36 ft
Entry to goal
1.9 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Martin Necas · 3rd 12:55 · COL

Play
deflection
Entry
carry
Odd man
No
Passes
1
Shot
14.4 mph
Distance
2 ft
Entry to goal
10.0 s
Type
rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE