Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Anaheim DucksJan 3, 2024

Final / OTWednesday, Jan 3, 2024· Honda Center

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
TOR	0	0	1	1	2		TOR	18	15	22	2	57
ANA	0	1	0	0	1		ANA	9	10	7	2	28

: TOR 104ANA 44
: TOR 5.56ANA 2.33
PP goals: TOR 1ANA 0
Hits: TOR 16ANA 20
Blocks: TOR 12ANA 24
PIM: TOR 24ANA 27
: TOR 59%ANA 41%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Anaheim Ducks 2–1 (OT)

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Anaheim Ducks 2–1 in overtime at ANA. Morgan Rielly (TOR) led the scoring with 0G 2A. Lukas Dostal (ANA) faced 57 shots and stopped 55 (.965), +27 against a season average of 29.8; the overtime loss.

Points
Morgan Rielly had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 26:17.Rielly
Goalie
Lukas Dostal (ANA) faced 57 shots and stopped 55 (.965), +27 against a season average of 29.8; the overtime loss.Dostal
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 19 attempts in 5:51 together.Tavares Rielly Nylander Marner Matthews
Luck
TOR scored 2 goals on 5.56 expected goals (104 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for ANA: Henrique–Jones–Zegras skated 9:57 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (28.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Henrique Jones Zegras
New line
New look for ANA: McGinn–Lundeström–Leason skated 8:04 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (25.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.McGinn Lundeström Leason
New line
New look for ANA: Silfverberg–Carrick–Groulx skated 5:19 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (20% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Silfverberg Carrick Groulx
New line
New look for TOR: Jarnkrok–Domi–Holmberg skated 4:03 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (33.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Jarnkrok Domi Holmberg

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)ANA attacks right (top on phones) →

ANA
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 148 of 148 attempts · ANA 44 · TOR 104

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

ANA
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

ANA pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 56% of the game, ANA 19%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

ANA

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	ANA
	67	35
	2.40	1.52
	2.22	1.50
	11	6
	5	4
	13	20
	+0.084	−0.084
	56%	19%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Marner – Matthews – Knies
10:4581% CF
L2Tavares – Bertuzzi – Nylander
9:1560% CF
L3Gregor – Kampf – McMann
5:3575% CF
L4Jarnkrok – Domi – Holmberg
4:0333% CF
D1Brodie – Rielly
12:5441% CF
D2McCabe – Benoit
11:0569% CF
D3Giordano – Liljegren
8:5276% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
5:51100% CF
PP2Jarnkrok – Bertuzzi – Domi – Liljegren – Knies
1:42100% CF
PK1FMarner – Kampf
1:18
PK2FJarnkrok – Nylander
0:46
PK1DGiordano – Brodie
2:41
PK2DMcCabe – Benoit
0:33

Current TOR line combinations →

Anaheim Ducks

L1Killorn – Vatrano – McTavish
11:4859% CF
L2Henrique – Jones – Zegras
9:5729% CF
L3McGinn – Lundeström – Leason
8:0426% CF
L4Silfverberg – Carrick – Groulx
5:1920% CF
D1Fowler – Vaakanainen
14:5529% CF
D2LaCombe – Drysdale
13:3143% CF
D3Lyubushkin – Mintyukov
7:5523% CF

PP1Killorn – Carrick – Zegras – Drysdale – McTavish
2:0780% CF
PP2Henrique – Silfverberg – Fowler – Vatrano – Jones
1:3883% CF
PK1FCarrick – Leason
2:26
PK2FHenrique – McGinn
1:59
PK1DFowler – Lyubushkin
2:44
PK2DVaakanainen – LaCombe
1:37

Current ANA line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	1	1	+1	7	0.49	1	0	0	25:15	—	—	74	77
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	0	1	+1	13	1.60	2	1	0	25:11	—	—	75	77
Matthew Knies L	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.64	1	0	0	15:44	—	—	77	71
William Nylander R	L2	0	1	1	0	8	0.61	0	0	0	23:53	—	—	53	43
John Tavares C	L2	1	0	1	0	7	0.91	0	0	0	19:40	—	—	53	33
Tyler Bertuzzi L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.10	0	0	2	13:04	—	—	64	56
David Kampf C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	0	0	0	14:17	—	—	75	46
Noah Gregor L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	0	0	11:39	—	—	77	40
Bobby McMann C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	20	6:36	—	—	71	50
Calle Jarnkrok C	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.41	1	0	0	11:36	—	—	50	57
Max Domi C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.09	0	0	0	9:08	—	—	50	35
Pontus Holmberg R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	8:56	—	—	60	33
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	2	2	+1	4	0.04	0	3	0	26:17	—	—	52	49
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	19:44	—	—	44	33
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.11	1	3	0	17:07	—	—	73	64
Simon Benoit D	D2	0	0	0	0	4	0.28	1	2	2	15:07	—	—	69	61
Timothy Liljegren D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.12	5	0	0	20:11	—	—	81	94
Mark Giordano D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	1	0	14:53	—	—	75	77

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Martin Jones(start)	W	28	27	1	.964	2.33	61:30

Anaheim Ducks

ANA skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mason McTavish C	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.18	1	3	0	19:49	—	—	56	76
Alex Killorn L	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.28	2	0	2	18:50	—	—	56	76
Frank Vatrano R	L1	1	0	1	+1	5	0.53	2	1	2	18:46	—	—	57	70
Adam Henrique C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.24	0	0	0	20:11	—	—	29	40
Trevor Zegras C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.30	0	1	0	18:13	—	—	27	44
Max Jones L	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.39	1	0	2	14:29	—	—	24	39
Brett Leason R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	3	0	13:24	—	—	24	3
Brock McGinn L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	0	0	12:21	—	—	29	4
Isac Lundeström C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	10:43	—	—	23	3
Sam Carrick C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	6	1	0	12:51	—	—	25	18
Jakob Silfverberg R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:53	—	—	29	18
Bo Groulx C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	6:12	—	—	17	18
Cam Fowler D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	0	1	0	28:40	—	—	32	30
Urho Vaakanainen D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	0	2	0	20:29	—	—	27	20
Jamie Drysdale D	D2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.13	0	0	4	21:35	—	—	46	62
Jackson LaCombe D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	2	0	20:43	—	—	43	63
Pavel Mintyukov D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	4	0	13:55	—	—	24	48
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	4	17	13:12	—	—	25	35

ANA goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Lukas Dostal(start)	O	57	55	2	.965	5.56	62:12

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Frank Vatrano (ANA SH) 2nd 11:41 · assists Mason McTavish, Jamie Drysdale · Forecheck turnover · 24.4 mph shot.

Frank Vatrano · 2nd 11:41 · ANA SH

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 1
Shot: 24.4 mph
Distance: 6 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

John Tavares · 3rd 14:17 · TOR PP

Play: cycle
Passes: 4
Shot: 34.0 mph
Distance: 3 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Auston Matthews · OT 2:12 · TOR

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 3
Shot: 40.8 mph
Distance: 13 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Anaheim DucksJan 3, 2024

Fantasy takeaways

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Anaheim Ducks 2–1 (OT)

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Toronto Maple Leafs

Anaheim Ducks

Scoring summary

2nd period

3rd period

OT period

Box score

Toronto Maple Leafs

Anaheim Ducks

Goal anatomy

Frank Vatrano · 2nd 11:41 · ANA SH

John Tavares · 3rd 14:17 · TOR PP

Auston Matthews · OT 2:12 · TOR