Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Calgary FlamesJan 26, 2021

FinalTuesday, Jan 26, 2021· Scotiabank Saddledome

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

4

@

home

Calgary FlamesCGY

3

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	2	1	1	4		TOR	10	5	6	21
CGY	0	2	1	3		CGY	1	18	7	26

: TOR 39CGY 53
: TOR 3.06CGY 3.23
PP goals: TOR 1CGY 1
Hits: TOR 11CGY 17
Blocks: TOR 11CGY 9
PIM: TOR 10CGY 4
: TOR 45%CGY 55%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Calgary Flames 4–3

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Calgary Flames 4–3 at CGY. Johnny Gaudreau (CGY) led the scoring with 2G 0A. New look for CGY: Lucic–Backlund–Bennett skated 6:26 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (64.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Johnny Gaudreau had two goals (2 points) on 2 shots in 22:22.Gaudreau
Points
Auston Matthews had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 18:45.Matthews
Points
Mitch Marner had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 20:03.Marner
Points
Morgan Rielly had 2 assists (2 points) in 21:02.Rielly
Points
Sean Monahan had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 22:06.Monahan
New line
New look for CGY: Lucic–Backlund–Bennett skated 6:26 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (64.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Lucic Backlund Bennett
New line
New look for CGY: Nordstrom–Leivo–Ryan skated 4:35 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (80% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Nordstrom Leivo Ryan
New line
New look for TOR: Boyd–Engvall–Anderson skated 8:16 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (45.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Boyd Engvall Anderson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)CGY attacks right (top on phones) →

CGY
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 92 of 92 attempts · CGY 53 · TOR 39

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CGY
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CGY pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 29% of the game, CGY 29%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CGY

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	CGY
	41	56
	2.69	3.47
	2.62	3.08
	11	14
	0	1
	22	17
	−0.055	+0.055
	29%	29%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Hyman – Marner – Matthews
13:3641% CF
L2Tavares – Nylander – Mikheyev
10:5031% CF
L3Boyd – Engvall – Anderson
8:1645% CF
L4Simmonds – Vesey – Kerfoot
7:0853% CF
D1Brodie – Rielly
16:2347% CF
D2Muzzin – Holl
14:5046% CF
D3Bogosian – Lehtonen
9:0247% CF

PP1Tavares – Nylander – Marner – Matthews – Lehtonen
0:53100% CF
PP2Simmonds – Rielly – Kerfoot – Marner – Matthews
0:3867% CF
PK1FHyman – Kerfoot
1:25
PK2FVesey – Mikheyev
0:37
PK1DMuzzin – Holl
2:47
PK2DBogosian – Brodie
0:53

Current TOR line combinations →

Calgary Flames

L1Gaudreau – Monahan – Simon
13:0557% CF
L2Lindholm – Mangiapane – Tkachuk
12:3062% CF
L3Lucic – Backlund – Bennett
6:2664% CF
L4Nordstrom – Leivo – Ryan
4:3580% CF
D1Tanev – Hanifin
17:3567% CF
D2Giordano – Andersson
16:4648% CF
D3Nesterov – Välimäki
12:4357% CF

PP1Gaudreau – Lindholm – Monahan – Andersson – Tkachuk
3:14100% CF
PP2Giordano – Lucic – Backlund – Bennett – Mangiapane
0:49
PK1FBacklund – Lindholm
0:59
PK2FNordstrom – Mangiapane
0:32
PK1DGiordano – Tanev
1:11
PK2DHanifin – Andersson
0:49

Current CGY line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

3:44
TORWayne Simmonds (Justin Holl, Jimmy Vesey)wrist0.03 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Simmonds, Holl, Vesey, KerfootCGY: Backlund, Nesterov, Leivo, Bennett, Välimäki
TOR 1 – 0 CGY
14:16
TORAuston MatthewsPP (Mitch Marner, Morgan Rielly)wrist0.09 xG
TOR: Simmonds, Rielly, Kerfoot, Marner, MatthewsCGY: Backlund, Nesterov, Ryan, Välimäki
TOR 2 – 0 CGY

2nd period

1:08
CGYJohnny Gaudreau (Sean Monahan, Noah Hanifin)wrist0.27 xG
TOR: Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, MikheyevCGY: Tanev, Gaudreau, Monahan, Hanifin, Simon
TOR 2 – 1 CGY
2:09
TORTravis Boyd (Pierre Engvall, Jake Muzzin)wrist0.13 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Holl, Boyd, Engvall, AndersonCGY: Backlund, Nordstrom, Nesterov, Leivo, Välimäki
TOR 3 – 1 CGY
14:21
CGYMilan Lucic (Juuso Välimäki, Mikael Backlund)wrist0.12 xG
TOR: Simmonds, Bogosian, Vesey, Kerfoot, LehtonenCGY: Lucic, Backlund, Nesterov, Bennett, Välimäki
TOR 3 – 2 CGY

3rd period

9:03
CGYJohnny GaudreauPP (Sean Monahan, Mark Giordano)wrist0.12 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Holl, Hyman, KerfootCGY: Giordano, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan, Tkachuk
TOR 3 – 3 CGY
12:14
TORMitch Marner (Auston Matthews, Morgan Rielly)slap0.10 xG
TOR: Bogosian, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, MatthewsCGY: Lucic, Backlund, Nesterov, Bennett, Välimäki
TOR 4 – 3 CGY

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.22	1	0	0	20:57	—	—	44	46
Mitch Marner R	L1	1	1	2	+1	3	0.40	0	0	2	20:03	—	—	44	46
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	1	2	+1	2	0.34	0	0	0	18:45	—	—	35	42
Ilya Mikheyev R	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.12	0	0	0	18:25	—	—	36	34
John Tavares C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.27	1	0	2	17:21	—	—	50	46
William Nylander R	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.29	1	2	0	15:41	—	—	39	35
Pierre Engvall L	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	0	2	10:43	—	—	33	26
Travis Boyd C	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.13	0	0	0	10:16	—	—	39	37
Joey Anderson R	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	3	2	9:36	—	—	35	27
Alexander Kerfoot C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.26	1	1	0	13:36	—	—	50	56
Jimmy Vesey L	L4	0	1	1	0	2	0.25	1	0	0	11:18	—	—	43	50
Wayne Simmonds R	L4	1	0	1	0	2	0.23	1	0	0	9:25	—	—	53	53
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	0	1	0	21:11	—	—	48	47
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	2	2	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	21:02	—	—	41	45
Jake Muzzin D	D2	0	1	1	+2	0	0.39	3	2	2	24:06	—	—	40	43
Justin Holl D	D2	0	1	1	+2	1	0.05	0	1	0	22:38	—	—	43	55
Zach Bogosian D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	15:46	—	—	44	38
Mikko Lehtonen D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.08	0	0	0	13:03	—	—	38	33

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	26	23	3	.885	3.23	59:33

Calgary Flames

CGY skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Johnny Gaudreau L	L1	2	0	2	+1	2	0.41	1	0	0	22:22	—	—	58	55
Sean Monahan C	L1	0	2	2	+1	1	0.11	0	1	0	22:06	—	—	56	58
Dominik Simon C	L1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	1	0	14:32	—	—	47	47
Matthew Tkachuk L	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.46	4	0	0	20:02	—	—	63	59
Elias Lindholm C	L2	0	0	0	0	5	0.59	0	0	2	19:51	—	—	65	67
Andrew Mangiapane L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.43	2	0	0	16:19	—	—	67	68
Mikael Backlund C	L3	0	1	1	-2	1	0.25	0	0	0	13:35	—	—	43	34
Sam Bennett C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	1	0	0	12:32	—	—	43	38
Milan Lucic L	L3	1	0	1	0	1	0.12	5	0	0	11:58	—	—	61	77
Derek Ryan C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.14	0	0	2	10:35	—	—	75	92
Josh Leivo L	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.11	0	0	0	10:12	—	—	60	47
Joakim Nordstrom C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	9:51	—	—	60	64
Chris Tanev D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.04	0	1	0	20:40	—	—	68	73
Noah Hanifin D	D1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.23	0	1	0	20:00	—	—	69	78
Mark Giordano D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.05	0	1	0	22:35	—	—	46	37
Rasmus Andersson D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	2	0	0	21:07	—	—	52	49
Juuso Välimäki D	D3	0	1	1	-2	2	0.13	0	3	0	15:40	—	—	58	56
Nikita Nesterov D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.03	0	0	0	14:22	—	—	54	51

CGY goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jacob Markstrom(start)	L	21	17	4	.810	2.67	58:21

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.