Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Carolina HurricanesJan 9, 2025

FinalThursday, Jan 9, 2025· Lenovo Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	2	1	0	3		TOR	13	8	12	33
CAR	2	2	2	6		CAR	12	12	10	34

: TOR 61CAR 85
: TOR 3.19CAR 5.31
PP goals: TOR 1CAR 0
Hits: TOR 26CAR 13
Blocks: TOR 22CAR 11
PIM: TOR 6CAR 4
: TOR 49%CAR 51%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes beat Toronto Maple Leafs 6–3

Carolina Hurricanes beat Toronto Maple Leafs 6–3 at home. Jordan Staal (CAR) led the scoring with 3G 0A. TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Matthews and Knies) scored 1 power-play goal on 7 attempts in 2:38 together.

Points
Jordan Staal had a hat trick (3 points) on 4 shots in 13:01.Staal
Points
Jordan Martinook had 3 assists (3 points) in 12:22.Martinook
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Matthews and Knies) scored 1 power-play goal on 7 attempts in 2:38 together.Tavares Nylander Marner Matthews Knies
New line
New look for TOR: Domi–Lorentz–Robertson skated 7:41 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Domi Lorentz Robertson
Usage
Auston Matthews (TOR) played 15:32, −5:01 down on his 20:33 season average over 66 games.Matthews
New line
New look for TOR: Kampf–Dewar–Holmberg skated 7:16 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (30.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Kampf Dewar Holmberg
Goalie
Pyotr Kochetkov (CAR) faced 33 shots and stopped 30 (.909), +8 against a season average of 24.9; the win.Kochetkov
Usage
Jack Roslovic (CAR) played 19:35, +5:50 up on his 13:45 season average over 80 games.Roslovic

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)CAR attacks right (top on phones) →

CAR
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 146 of 146 attempts · CAR 85 · TOR 61

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CAR
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CAR pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 29% of the game, CAR 46%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CAR

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	CAR
	65	86
	2.77	4.18
	2.68	3.88
	14	20
	5	5
	23	22
	+0.002	−0.002
	29%	46%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Nylander – McMann
9:0560% CF
L2Domi – Lorentz – Robertson
7:4150% CF
L3Marner – Matthews – Knies
7:4138% CF
L4Kampf – Dewar – Holmberg
7:1630% CF
D1Timmins – Benoit
13:4328% CF
D2Tanev – Rielly
11:0050% CF
D3Ekman-Larsson – Myers
9:0765% CF

PP1Tavares – Nylander – Marner – Matthews – Knies
2:3888% CF
PK1FMarner – Kampf
2:58
PK2FDewar – Knies
1:46
PK1DTanev – Benoit
3:20
PK2DEkman-Larsson – Myers
1:45

Current TOR line combinations →

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Aho – Roslovic – Jarvis
13:3531% CF
L2Necas – Robinson – Kotkaniemi
9:4966% CF
L3Drury – Blake – Jaaska
8:0391% CF
L4Staal – Martinook – Svechnikov
7:5950% CF
D1Orlov – Chatfield
17:5068% CF
D2Burns – Slavin
17:4051% CF
D3Walker – Smith
10:1450% CF

PP1Burns – Aho – Necas – Svechnikov – Jarvis
4:11100% CF
PP2Roslovic – Walker – Kotkaniemi – Drury – Blake
1:43100% CF
PK1FAho – Jarvis
1:21
PK2FStaal – Martinook
1:15
PK1DBurns – Slavin
1:01
PK2DOrlov – Walker
0:53

Current CAR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
John Tavares C	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.22	1	0	0	18:59	—	—	49	44
William Nylander R	L1	1	0	1	-1	4	0.60	0	1	0	18:20	—	—	47	36
Bobby McMann C	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.05	2	1	2	16:56	—	—	59	59
Nick Robertson L	L2	1	0	1	0	5	0.33	0	0	0	13:16	—	—	34	30
Max Domi C	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:34	—	—	47	42
Steven Lorentz C	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.05	1	2	0	12:04	—	—	48	37
Mitch Marner R	L3	0	1	1	-6	2	0.45	0	0	0	19:29	—	—	57	46
Auston Matthews C	L3	1	0	1	-6	2	0.74	1	0	2	15:32	—	—	35	15
Matthew Knies L	L3	0	1	1	-5	2	0.08	2	1	0	15:05	—	—	33	21
David Kampf C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	15:19	—	—	35	51
Connor Dewar C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.24	5	2	0	12:27	—	—	24	38
Pontus Holmberg R	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.16	0	1	0	9:36	—	—	41	54
Simon Benoit D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	6	1	0	19:58	—	—	29	35
Conor Timmins D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.05	5	4	0	17:44	—	—	23	27
Chris Tanev D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	5	0	20:51	—	—	51	55
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	0	0	-3	1	0.01	0	1	2	18:43	—	—	51	41
Oliver Ekman-Larsson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.16	1	1	0	20:16	—	—	50	37
Philippe Myers D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	1	2	0	17:06	—	—	61	53

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Joseph Woll(start)	L	33	28	5	.848	4.38	59:45

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Seth Jarvis R	L1	1	0	1	0	2	1.41	1	1	0	21:20	—	—	28	19
Sebastian Aho C	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.43	0	2	0	20:58	—	—	36	22
Jack Roslovic C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	0	1	0	19:35	—	—	39	32
Martin Necas C	L2	0	1	1	0	3	0.27	0	0	0	16:58	—	—	64	72
Jesperi Kotkaniemi C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	2	0	0	15:24	—	—	58	67
Eric Robinson L	L2	1	0	1	0	5	0.81	1	1	0	12:59	—	—	60	80
Jackson Blake R	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.25	0	0	0	13:44	—	—	87	94
Jack Drury C	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.64	0	0	0	12:22	—	—	85	94
Juha Jaaska L	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.15	1	0	0	9:52	—	—	88	93
Andrei Svechnikov R	L4	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	0	0	0	15:13	—	—	39	48
Jordan Staal C	L4	3	0	3	+3	4	0.44	3	1	0	13:01	—	—	52	67
Jordan Martinook L	L4	0	3	3	+3	0	0.18	2	1	0	12:22	—	—	52	63
Dmitry Orlov D	D1	0	1	1	0	0	0.08	1	0	0	21:20	—	—	65	63
Jalen Chatfield D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.04	0	0	2	20:33	—	—	68	65
Brent Burns D	D2	0	1	1	+3	1	0.04	0	1	2	23:06	—	—	51	51
Jaccob Slavin D	D2	0	1	1	+4	1	0.07	0	2	0	21:12	—	—	51	48
Sean Walker D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.23	1	1	0	15:14	—	—	50	63
Ty Smith D	D3	0	1	1	0	2	0.03	1	0	0	12:18	—	—	50	63

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pyotr Kochetkov(start)	W	33	30	3	.909	3.19	59:37

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Nick Robertson (TOR) 1st 1:59 · assists Max Domi, Steven Lorentz · Forecheck turnover · 35.8 mph shot.

Nick Robertson · 1st 1:59 · TOR

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 35.8 mph
Distance: 15 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

William Nylander · 1st 7:29 · TOR

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 1-on-0
Passes: 0
Shot: 66.3 mph
Distance: 17 ft
Entry to goal: 1.8 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Eric Robinson · 1st 13:58 · CAR

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 4-on-3
Passes: 0
Shot: 26.6 mph
Distance: 11 ft
Entry to goal: 5.8 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Jordan Staal · 1st 14:15 · CAR

Play: cycle
Passes: 1
Shot: 15.3 mph
Distance: 10 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Jordan Staal · 2nd 0:35 · CAR SH

Play: rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 28.4 mph
Distance: 10 ft
Entry to goal: 3.2 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Auston Matthews · 2nd 1:11 · TOR PP

Play: rebound
Passes: 2 (royal road)
Shot: 20.1 mph
Distance: 3 ft
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Jackson Blake · 2nd 4:58 · CAR

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: pass
Odd man: 3-on-2
Passes: 3 (royal road)
Shot: 34.9 mph
Distance: 20 ft
Entry to goal: 3.0 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Jordan Staal · 3rd 0:20 · CAR

Play: deflection
Entry: loose
Odd man: No
Passes: 1
Shot: 39.8 mph
Distance: 22 ft
Entry to goal: 8.1 s
Type: deflection

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Seth Jarvis · 3rd 16:23 · CAR EN

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 1-on-0
Passes: 0
Shot: 47.3 mph
Distance: 5 ft
Entry to goal: 2.4 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Carolina HurricanesJan 9, 2025

Fantasy takeaways

Carolina Hurricanes beat Toronto Maple Leafs 6–3

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Toronto Maple Leafs

Carolina Hurricanes

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Toronto Maple Leafs

Carolina Hurricanes

Goal anatomy

Nick Robertson · 1st 1:59 · TOR

William Nylander · 1st 7:29 · TOR

Eric Robinson · 1st 13:58 · CAR

Jordan Staal · 1st 14:15 · CAR

Jordan Staal · 2nd 0:35 · CAR SH

Auston Matthews · 2nd 1:11 · TOR PP

Jackson Blake · 2nd 4:58 · CAR

Jordan Staal · 3rd 0:20 · CAR

Seth Jarvis · 3rd 16:23 · CAR EN