Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Carolina HurricanesDec 4, 2025

FinalThursday, Dec 4, 2025· Lenovo Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	2	2	1	5		TOR	7	8	9	24
CAR	1	0	0	1		CAR	13	11	9	33

: TOR 39CAR 79
: TOR 4.58CAR 3.81
PP goals: TOR 0CAR 0
Hits: TOR 20CAR 18
Blocks: TOR 20CAR 4
PIM: TOR 6CAR 4
: TOR 56%CAR 44%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs rout Carolina Hurricanes 5–1

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Carolina Hurricanes 5–1 at CAR. Bobby McMann (TOR) led the scoring with 2G 0A. CAR scored 1 goal on 3.81 expected goals (79 attempts), well short of its chances.

Points
Bobby McMann had two goals (2 points) on 3 shots in 14:33.McMann
Points
Matthew Knies had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 18:04.Knies
Points
Max Domi had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 14:52.Domi
Points
Nicolas Roy had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 14:36.Roy
Luck
CAR scored 1 goal on 3.81 expected goals (79 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Alexander Nikishin (CAR) played 25:21, +7:15 up on his 18:06 season average over 80 games.Nikishin
Usage
Philippe Myers (TOR) played 11:18, −3:20 down on his 14:38 season average over 38 games.Myers
Usage
Troy Stecher (TOR) played 24:23, +5:17 up on his 19:06 season average over 63 games.Stecher

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)CAR attacks right (top on phones) →

CAR
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 118 of 118 attempts · CAR 79 · TOR 39

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CAR
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CAR pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 18% of the game, CAR 53%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CAR

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Head-to-head matchups

CAR skaters (rows) against TOR skaters (columns) at 5v5. Square size is time together; colour is xGF% from the CAR side.

Matchup matrix

CAR xGF% 4060square size = TOI together · blank = under 1:00

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	CAR
	38	76
	3.25	3.45
	3.02	3.32
	13	13
	5	5
	16	24
	+0.041	−0.041
	18%	53%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Domi – Matthews – Knies
11:3348% CF
L2Joshua – Roy – McMann
8:4833% CF
L3Tavares – Nylander – Cowan
7:4110% CF
L4Laughton – Lorentz – Robertson
5:5514% CF
D1McCabe – Stecher
17:1140% CF
D2Ekman-Larsson – Rielly
14:0942% CF
D3Myers – Benoit
9:485% CF

PP1Tavares – Ekman-Larsson – Nylander – Matthews – Cowan
2:0380% CF
PP2Rielly – Domi – Roy – Robertson – Knies
1:290% CF
PK1FLaughton – Lorentz
2:41
PK2FRoy – Matthews
1:27
PK1DMcCabe – Stecher
3:10
PK2DRielly – Benoit
1:51

Current TOR line combinations →

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Aho – Svechnikov – Jarvis
10:4958% CF
L2Staal – Martinook – Carrier
10:3672% CF
L3Ehlers – Stankoven – Blake
9:2975% CF
L4Hall – Jankowski – Robinson
8:1572% CF
D1Walker – Nikishin
12:3570% CF
D2Reilly – Nystrom
10:3267% CF
D3Gostisbehere – Chatfield
9:4250% CF

PP1Gostisbehere – Aho – Svechnikov – Jarvis – Blake
4:05100% CF
PP2Hall – Ehlers – Nikishin – Stankoven – Blake
1:51100% CF
PK1FJankowski – Robinson
1:31
PK2FAho – Jarvis
1:06
PK1DWalker – Nikishin
2:11
PK2DReilly – Nystrom
0:46

Current CAR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	0	1	+2	5	0.84	1	6	2	20:08	—	—	52	61
Matthew Knies L	L1	1	1	2	+2	3	0.27	1	0	0	18:04	—	—	42	56
Max Domi C	L1	0	2	2	+2	1	0.01	0	0	0	14:52	—	—	48	65
Nicolas Roy C	L2	0	2	2	+2	1	0.08	0	0	0	14:36	—	—	32	33
Bobby McMann C	L2	2	0	2	+2	3	0.90	2	0	0	14:33	—	—	24	23
Dakota Joshua C	L2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	5	0	0	13:27	—	—	28	28
John Tavares C	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.72	2	0	0	16:49	—	—	26	54
William Nylander R	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.67	0	0	0	15:30	—	—	46	64
Easton Cowan R	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	0	0	13:55	—	—	29	41
Scott Laughton C	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.45	0	2	0	14:19	—	—	33	59
Steven Lorentz C	L4	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	1	2	0	10:45	—	—	19	43
Nick Robertson L	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	10:00	—	—	16	36
Troy Stecher D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.36	0	2	0	24:23	—	—	35	39
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	1	1	+3	0	0.00	1	3	0	22:23	—	—	45	63
Oliver Ekman-Larsson D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	0	0	2	22:03	—	—	42	45
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.15	1	2	2	19:52	—	—	41	51
Simon Benoit D	D3	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	4	1	0	17:03	—	—	8	32
Philippe Myers D	D3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	11:18	—	—	14	51

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Joseph Woll(start)	W	24	23	1	.958	2.31	40:00
Dennis Hildeby	—	9	9	0	.1000	1.50	20:00

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sebastian Aho C	L1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.30	0	0	0	19:38	—	—	57	38
Seth Jarvis R	L1	1	0	1	0	5	0.60	1	0	0	18:53	—	—	56	42
Andrei Svechnikov R	L1	0	0	0	0	5	0.70	3	1	2	17:45	—	—	59	48
Jordan Staal C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	3	0	0	15:02	—	—	74	78
William Carrier L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.23	5	0	0	14:04	—	—	73	45
Jordan Martinook L	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	13:41	—	—	68	36
Jackson Blake R	L3	0	0	0	-3	1	0.25	0	0	0	16:55	—	—	78	65
Logan Stankoven C	L3	0	0	0	-3	3	0.29	0	0	0	15:42	—	—	69	59
Nikolaj Ehlers L	L3	0	0	0	-3	1	0.33	0	0	0	14:51	—	—	62	53
Taylor Hall L	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.13	1	1	0	13:10	—	—	68	55
Eric Robinson L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.27	2	0	0	12:32	—	—	71	65
Mark Jankowski L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.18	2	0	0	12:17	—	—	70	62
Alexander Nikishin D	D1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.05	0	0	0	25:21	—	—	68	43
Sean Walker D	D1	0	0	0	-3	3	0.12	0	0	0	21:39	—	—	77	61
Mike Reilly D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.09	0	0	0	15:10	—	—	77	69
Joel Nystrom D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	0	0	0	13:21	—	—	61	48
Shayne Gostisbehere D	D3	0	1	1	-1	1	0.07	0	0	0	21:39	—	—	59	55
Jalen Chatfield D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	1	2	16:57	—	—	56	36

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	L	23	19	4	.826	3.24	57:23

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Bobby McMann (TOR) 1st 0:53 · assists Nicolas Roy, Jake McCabe · Odd-man rush · carried in · 3-on-2 at the blue line · 14.4 mph shot · 3.6 s from entry to goal.

Bobby McMann · 1st 0:53 · TOR

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 3-on-2
Passes: 0
Shot: 14.4 mph
Distance: 30 ft
Entry to goal: 3.6 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Scott Laughton · 1st 11:45 · TOR

Play: dump-and-chase
Entry: dump
Odd man: 2-on-0
Passes: 0
Shot: 58.9 mph
Distance: 8 ft
Entry to goal: 2.6 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Seth Jarvis · 1st 15:45 · CAR

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 4-on-3
Passes: 0
Shot: 37.3 mph
Distance: 13 ft
Entry to goal: 3.9 s
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Matthew Knies · 2nd 4:44 · TOR

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 1-on-0
Passes: 0
Shot: 19.1 mph
Distance: 9 ft
Entry to goal: 2.5 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Auston Matthews · 2nd 10:39 · TOR

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 3-on-1
Passes: 0
Shot: 49.2 mph
Distance: 21 ft
Entry to goal: 2.5 s
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Bobby McMann · 3rd 18:16 · TOR EN

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 2-on-0
Passes: 1
Shot: 28.2 mph
Distance: 16 ft
Entry to goal: 2.3 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Carolina HurricanesDec 4, 2025

Fantasy takeaways

Toronto Maple Leafs rout Carolina Hurricanes 5–1

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Head-to-head matchups

Matchup matrix

Sequence card

Lines used

Toronto Maple Leafs

Carolina Hurricanes

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Toronto Maple Leafs

Carolina Hurricanes

Goal anatomy

Bobby McMann · 1st 0:53 · TOR

Scott Laughton · 1st 11:45 · TOR

Seth Jarvis · 1st 15:45 · CAR

Matthew Knies · 2nd 4:44 · TOR

Auston Matthews · 2nd 10:39 · TOR

Bobby McMann · 3rd 18:16 · TOR EN