Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New York IslandersJan 11, 2024

Final / OTThursday, Jan 11, 2024· UBS Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
TOR	1	2	0	0	3		TOR	12	14	9	0	35
NYI	1	2	0	1	4		NYI	11	15	3	1	30

: TOR 63NYI 64
: TOR 2.59NYI 2.48
PP goals: TOR 0NYI 2
Hits: TOR 18NYI 31
Blocks: TOR 19NYI 19
PIM: TOR 6NYI 2
: TOR 47%NYI 53%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

New York Islanders edge Toronto Maple Leafs 4–3 (OT)

New York Islanders beat Toronto Maple Leafs 4–3 in overtime at home. Mathew Barzal (NYI) led the scoring with 1G 3A. NYI's first power-play unit (Palmieri, Nelson, Horvat, Barzal and Dobson) scored 2 power-play goals on 8 attempts in 2:34 together.

Points
Mathew Barzal had a goal and 3 assists (4 points) on 5 shots in 21:05.Barzal
Points
Noah Dobson had 4 assists (4 points) on 2 shots in 26:01.Dobson
Points
Auston Matthews had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 18:38.Matthews
PP1
NYI's first power-play unit (Palmieri, Nelson, Horvat, Barzal and Dobson) scored 2 power-play goals on 8 attempts in 2:34 together.Palmieri Nelson Horvat Barzal Dobson
New line
New look for NYI: Nelson–Fasching–Engvall skated 10:18 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (45% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Nelson Fasching Engvall
Goalie
Ilya Sorokin (NYI) faced 35 shots and stopped 32 (.914), +2 against a season average of 32.5; the win.Sorokin
New line
New look for NYI: Lee–Horvat–Wahlstrom skated 6:11 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (47.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Lee Horvat Wahlstrom
New line
New look for NYI: Palmieri–Barzal–Holmstrom skated 6:44 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (43.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Palmieri Barzal Holmstrom

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)NYI attacks right (top on phones) →

NYI
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 127 of 127 attempts · NYI 64 · TOR 63

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NYI
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NYI pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 27% of the game, NYI 28%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NYI

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	NYI
	74	64
	3.10	2.19
	2.94	1.94
	17	7
	7	7
	14	30
	−0.032	+0.032
	27%	28%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Bertuzzi – Nylander
13:1548% CF
L2Marner – Matthews – Knies
11:4165% CF
L3Gregor – Kampf – McMann
8:1183% CF
L4Jarnkrok – Domi – Holmberg
7:3456% CF
D1Brodie – Rielly
18:5063% CF
D2McCabe – Benoit
15:1438% CF
D3Giordano – Liljegren
11:4139% CF

PP1Giordano – Jarnkrok – Bertuzzi – Domi – Liljegren
0:590% CF
PP2Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
0:52
PK1FMarner – Kampf
1:24
PK2FJarnkrok – Nylander
0:33
PK1DGiordano – Brodie
1:52
PK2DMcCabe – Benoit
0:50

Current TOR line combinations →

New York Islanders

L1Nelson – Fasching – Engvall
10:1845% CF
L2Clutterbuck – Martin – Pageau
9:1350% CF
L3Palmieri – Barzal – Holmstrom
6:4444% CF
L4Lee – Horvat – Wahlstrom
6:1148% CF
D1Dobson – Romanov
19:3144% CF
D2Mayfield – Pelech
16:1144% CF
D3Reilly – Aho
13:5648% CF

PP1Palmieri – Nelson – Horvat – Barzal – Dobson
2:34100% CF
PP2Lee – Pageau – Reilly – Engvall – Wahlstrom
0:11100% CF
PK1FPageau – Holmstrom
0:59
PK2FClutterbuck – Horvat
0:54
PK1DMayfield – Pelech
1:06
PK2DDobson – Romanov
0:47

Current NYI line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
John Tavares C	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.64	2	1	0	19:15	—	—	44	54
William Nylander R	L1	0	0	0	-1	5	0.29	1	0	0	18:24	—	—	43	42
Tyler Bertuzzi L	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.09	1	1	0	16:27	—	—	48	52
Mitch Marner R	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.09	0	1	0	18:53	—	—	70	93
Auston Matthews C	L2	2	0	2	+1	4	0.73	0	1	2	18:38	—	—	58	89
Matthew Knies L	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.12	3	2	0	15:06	—	—	63	95
David Kampf C	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.06	0	0	0	13:14	—	—	68	45
Noah Gregor L	L3	0	1	1	+1	3	0.15	0	1	0	11:34	—	—	64	52
Bobby McMann C	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.18	2	0	0	9:49	—	—	76	63
Max Domi C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	2	0	14:37	—	—	39	14
Calle Jarnkrok C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:06	—	—	33	12
Pontus Holmberg R	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	2	9:27	—	—	46	45
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	0	0	+3	4	0.14	0	1	0	23:42	—	—	64	68
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	1	1	+3	1	0.01	2	1	0	23:30	—	—	69	70
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	2	0	20:28	—	—	47	54
Simon Benoit D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.04	1	3	0	18:35	—	—	47	65
Timothy Liljegren D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	2	1	2	17:24	—	—	49	47
Mark Giordano D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	2	0	15:59	—	—	38	38

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Martin Jones(start)	O	30	26	4	.867	2.48	60:21

New York Islanders

NYI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brock Nelson C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	0	0	19:25	—	—	48	45
Pierre Engvall L	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.29	0	0	0	15:00	—	—	40	41
Hudson Fasching R	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.28	2	0	0	14:30	—	—	38	41
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.02	4	1	0	16:21	—	—	31	17
Cal Clutterbuck R	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	5	2	0	13:05	—	—	37	12
Matt Martin L	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	7	0	2	12:20	—	—	44	17
Mathew Barzal C	L3	1	3	4	+2	5	0.43	1	2	0	21:05	—	—	58	63
Kyle Palmieri C	L3	1	0	1	0	2	0.12	2	1	0	14:32	—	—	45	55
Simon Holmstrom R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.08	0	1	0	12:41	—	—	43	49
Bo Horvat C	L4	1	0	1	+1	6	0.40	0	0	0	18:20	—	—	55	47
Anders Lee L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	3	0	0	15:48	—	—	52	45
Oliver Wahlstrom R	L4	0	0	0	-1	4	0.38	0	2	0	8:03	—	—	48	39
Noah Dobson D	D1	0	4	4	+1	2	0.20	0	3	0	26:01	—	—	46	27
Alexander Romanov D	D1	1	0	1	0	3	0.08	0	1	0	21:26	—	—	42	21
Scott Mayfield D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	4	1	0	20:05	—	—	50	41
Adam Pelech D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.06	0	1	0	19:03	—	—	41	32
Sebastian Aho D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	2	0	15:56	—	—	47	69
Mike Reilly D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.07	1	2	0	15:22	—	—	51	71

NYI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Sorokin(start)	W	35	32	3	.914	2.59	60:21

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Kyle Palmieri (NYI PP) 1st 0:40 · assists Noah Dobson, Mathew Barzal · Deflection · 34.5 mph shot.

Kyle Palmieri · 1st 0:40 · NYI PP

Play: deflection
Passes: 0
Shot: 34.5 mph
Distance: 6 ft
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Bobby McMann · 1st 12:39 · TOR

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 1
Shot: 69.9 mph
Distance: 19 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Auston Matthews · 2nd 0:26 · TOR

Play: rebound
Passes: 0
Shot: 15.6 mph
Distance: 3 ft
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Auston Matthews · 2nd 2:40 · TOR

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 16.8 mph
Distance: 6 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Alexander Romanov · 2nd 4:18 · NYI

Play: cycle
Passes: 1 (royal road)
Shot: 61.1 mph
Distance: 25 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Bo Horvat · 2nd 13:51 · NYI PP

Play: deflection
Passes: 1
Shot: 57.1 mph
Distance: 15 ft
Type: deflection

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Mathew Barzal · OT 0:21 · NYI

Play: deflection
Passes: 0
Shot: 16.4 mph
Distance: 7 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New York IslandersJan 11, 2024

Fantasy takeaways

New York Islanders edge Toronto Maple Leafs 4–3 (OT)

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Toronto Maple Leafs

New York Islanders

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

OT period

Box score

Toronto Maple Leafs

New York Islanders

Goal anatomy

Kyle Palmieri · 1st 0:40 · NYI PP

Bobby McMann · 1st 12:39 · TOR

Auston Matthews · 2nd 0:26 · TOR

Auston Matthews · 2nd 2:40 · TOR

Alexander Romanov · 2nd 4:18 · NYI

Bo Horvat · 2nd 13:51 · NYI PP

Mathew Barzal · OT 0:21 · NYI