Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Winnipeg JetsApr 2, 2021

Final / SOFriday, Apr 2, 2021· Bell MTS Place

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
TOR	0	1	0	0	1	2		TOR	7	17	9	5	38
WPG	0	1	0	0	0	1		WPG	10	10	11	1	32

: TOR 62WPG 61
: TOR 3.91WPG 2.63
PP goals: TOR 0WPG 0
Hits: TOR 17WPG 38
Blocks: TOR 17WPG 11
PIM: TOR 4WPG 6
: TOR 58%WPG 42%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Winnipeg Jets 2–1 (SO)

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Winnipeg Jets 2–1 in a shootout at WPG. Travis Dermott (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 0A. TOR scored 1 goal on 3.91 expected goals (62 attempts), well short of its chances.

Luck
TOR scored 1 goal on 3.91 expected goals (62 attempts), well short of its chances.
Goalie
Connor Hellebuyck (WPG) faced 38 shots and stopped 37 (.974), +8 against a season average of 29.7; the overtime loss.Hellebuyck
Usage
Tucker Poolman (WPG) played 24:50, +6:42 up on his 18:08 season average over 38 games.Poolman
Luck
WPG scored 1 goal on 2.63 expected goals (61 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Adam Lowry (WPG) played 18:46, +3:18 up on his 15:28 season average over 51 games.Lowry
Usage
Derek Forbort (WPG) played 24:34, +3:54 up on his 20:40 season average over 55 games.Forbort
Usage
Blake Wheeler (WPG) played 15:05, −3:19 down on his 18:24 season average over 49 games.Wheeler
Shots
Auston Matthews (TOR) led everyone with 8 shot on goals without scoring.Matthews

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)WPG attacks right (top on phones) →

WPG
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 123 of 123 attempts · WPG 61 · TOR 62

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WPG
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WPG pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 49% of the game, WPG 29%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WPG

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	WPG
	61	60
	3.62	2.54
	3.47	2.33
	18	10
	1	1
	11	19
	+0.066	−0.066
	49%	29%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Hyman – Marner – Matthews
13:5069% CF
L2Tavares – Galchenyuk – Nylander
12:4727% CF
L3Simmonds – Engvall – Mikheyev
8:2050% CF
L4Thornton – Spezza – Kerfoot
7:2257% CF
D1Brodie – Rielly
17:4155% CF
D2Muzzin – Holl
14:0539% CF
D3Bogosian – Dermott
11:1461% CF

PP1Simmonds – Tavares – Rielly – Marner – Matthews
1:5960% CF
PP2Thornton – Spezza – Muzzin – Hyman – Nylander
1:4150% CF
PK1FHyman – Kerfoot
1:09
PK2FEngvall – Mikheyev
0:43
PK1DBrodie – Holl
1:19
PK2DBogosian – Rielly
0:32

Current TOR line combinations →

Winnipeg Jets

L1Scheifele – Ehlers – Connor
14:1663% CF
L2Lowry – Copp – Appleton
12:4135% CF
L3Wheeler – Stastny – Dubois
11:0446% CF
L4Thompson – Lewis – Perreault
7:2063% CF
D1Poolman – Morrissey
18:4163% CF
D2Forbort – Pionk
17:4735% CF
D3DeMelo – Stanley
11:1257% CF

PP1Wheeler – Stastny – Scheifele – Morrissey – Connor
2:42100% CF
PP2Perreault – Copp – Ehlers – Dubois – Pionk
1:18100% CF
PK1FLowry – Copp
2:35
PK2FThompson – Lewis
0:53
PK1DForbort – DeMelo
1:25
PK2DPoolman – Stanley
1:03

Current WPG line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

5:16
TORTravis Dermott (Jason Spezza, Zach Bogosian)snap0.02 xG
TOR: Thornton, Spezza, Bogosian, Kerfoot, DermottWPG: Wheeler, Stastny, DeMelo, Stanley, Dubois
TOR 1 – 0 WPG
11:50
WPGAndrew Copp (Adam Lowry, Mason Appleton)wrist0.11 xG
TOR: Thornton, Spezza, Brodie, Rielly, KerfootWPG: Forbort, Lowry, Copp, Appleton, Pionk
TOR 1 – 1 WPG

Decided in the shootout: TOR 2 – 1 WPG.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	0	0	0	8	0.76	0	2	0	23:15	—	—	63	66
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.27	0	1	2	21:44	—	—	64	70
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.29	2	0	0	21:37	—	—	68	74
John Tavares C	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.71	1	1	0	20:18	—	—	33	55
William Nylander R	L2	0	0	0	0	6	0.45	0	1	0	19:29	—	—	31	37
Alex Galchenyuk C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.14	3	0	0	13:50	—	—	27	42
Ilya Mikheyev R	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.30	0	1	0	14:19	—	—	58	67
Pierre Engvall L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	2	0	0	11:25	—	—	53	58
Wayne Simmonds R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	4	0	0	11:17	—	—	56	71
Alexander Kerfoot C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.12	0	0	0	14:00	—	—	63	57
Joe Thornton C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.18	0	0	0	11:50	—	—	63	57
Jason Spezza C	L4	0	1	1	0	1	0.03	1	0	0	11:02	—	—	60	53
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.07	0	0	0	25:39	—	—	52	64
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.27	1	5	0	22:58	—	—	58	67
Justin Holl D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	1	1	0	20:47	—	—	39	59
Jake Muzzin D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	3	2	19:41	—	—	36	55
Zach Bogosian D	D3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.01	1	0	0	17:00	—	—	58	44
Travis Dermott D	D3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.05	1	2	0	14:08	—	—	50	47

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jack Campbell(start)	W	32	31	1	.969	2.63	65:00

Winnipeg Jets

WPG skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mark Scheifele C	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.20	2	1	0	20:43	—	—	61	45
Kyle Connor L	L1	0	0	0	0	6	0.49	0	0	2	20:22	—	—	61	47
Nikolaj Ehlers L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	2	0	0	17:45	—	—	60	44
Andrew Copp C	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.28	4	1	0	20:08	—	—	35	10
Adam Lowry C	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.13	2	1	0	18:46	—	—	36	22
Mason Appleton C	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.06	2	0	0	15:21	—	—	36	20
Paul Stastny C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.27	2	1	0	16:18	—	—	39	31
Pierre-Luc Dubois C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.23	1	1	2	15:43	—	—	42	33
Blake Wheeler R	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.13	0	0	0	15:05	—	—	50	39
Trevor Lewis C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	2	1	0	10:04	—	—	55	84
Nate Thompson C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	1	0	0	10:03	—	—	67	91
Mathieu Perreault C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.38	1	1	0	9:44	—	—	60	87
Tucker Poolman D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	4	1	0	24:50	—	—	57	58
Josh Morrissey D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	4	0	2	23:22	—	—	63	59
Derek Forbort D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	3	2	0	24:34	—	—	33	21
Neal Pionk D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	5	1	0	21:29	—	—	35	24
Dylan DeMelo D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	14:02	—	—	57	57
Logan Stanley D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	1	0	0	14:00	—	—	55	53

WPG goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Connor Hellebuyck(start)	O	38	37	1	.974	3.91	65:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.