Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Winnipeg JetsMay 14, 2021

FinalFriday, May 14, 2021· Bell MTS Place

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

2

@

home

Winnipeg JetsWPG

4

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	1	1	0	2		TOR	10	11	15	36
WPG	0	2	2	4		WPG	10	10	4	24

: TOR 60WPG 41
: TOR 3.38WPG 4.26
PP goals: TOR 0WPG 0
Hits: TOR 16WPG 27
Blocks: TOR 5WPG 11
PIM: TOR 2WPG 4
: TOR 52%WPG 48%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Winnipeg Jets beat Toronto Maple Leafs 4–2

Winnipeg Jets beat Toronto Maple Leafs 4–2 at home. Kyle Connor (WPG) led the scoring with 2G 0A. New look for WPG: Lowry–Toninato–Appleton skated 11:11 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (30% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Kyle Connor had two goals (2 points) on 3 shots in 16:24.Connor
Points
Blake Wheeler had 2 assists (2 points) in 17:12.Wheeler
Points
Mark Scheifele had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 18:33.Scheifele
New line
New look for WPG: Lowry–Toninato–Appleton skated 11:11 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (30% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Lowry Toninato Appleton
Usage
Paul Stastny (WPG) played 7:47, −9:48 down on his 17:35 season average over 55 games.Stastny
Goalie
Connor Hellebuyck (WPG) faced 36 shots and stopped 34 (.944), +6 against a season average of 29.7; the win.Hellebuyck
Usage
Trevor Lewis (WPG) played 15:10, +5:24 up on his 9:46 season average over 55 games.Lewis
Usage
Jansen Harkins (WPG) played 13:26, +5:14 up on his 8:12 season average over 25 games.Harkins

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)WPG attacks right (top on phones) →

WPG
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 101 of 101 attempts · WPG 41 · TOR 60

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WPG
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WPG pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 27% of the game, WPG 28%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WPG

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	WPG
	61	42
	3.15	3.42
	2.68	3.32
	11	7
	4	0
	17	20
	+0.011	−0.011
	27%	28%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Kerfoot – Engvall – Mikheyev
11:2765% CF
L2Foligno – Tavares – Nylander
10:3359% CF
L3Galchenyuk – Brooks – Matthews
9:3427% CF
L4Thornton – Spezza – Simmonds
9:1756% CF
D1Brodie – Rielly
18:0746% CF
D2Muzzin – Holl
14:3867% CF
D3Hutton – Dermott
14:3769% CF

PP1Foligno – Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Matthews
3:1288% CF
PP2Thornton – Spezza – Muzzin – Simmonds – Kerfoot
0:44100% CF
PK1FEngvall – Mikheyev
0:48
PK2FKerfoot – Brooks
0:36
PK1DMuzzin – Holl
1:10
PK2DBrodie – Dermott
0:36

Current TOR line combinations →

Winnipeg Jets

L1Wheeler – Scheifele – Connor
14:1542% CF
L2Lowry – Toninato – Appleton
11:1130% CF
L3Thompson – Lewis – Harkins
11:0148% CF
L4Stastny – Perreault – Dubois
6:0663% CF
D1Forbort – Pionk
17:4641% CF
D2DeMelo – Morrissey
16:2344% CF
D3Benn – Stanley
16:2040% CF

PP1Wheeler – Stastny – Scheifele – Connor – Pionk
1:10100% CF
PP2Perreault – Lowry – Morrissey – Appleton – Dubois
1:03
PK1FLowry – Appleton
1:56
PK2FThompson – Toninato
0:11
PK1DForbort – DeMelo
3:10
PK2DBenn – Stanley
0:46

Current WPG line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

7:15
TORPierre Engvall (Alex Galchenyuk, Morgan Rielly)wrist0.02 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Holl, Kerfoot, Engvall, MikheyevWPG: Thompson, Perreault, Benn, Stanley, Dubois
TOR 1 – 0 WPG

2nd period

1:13
WPGMason Appleton (Dominic Toninato, Adam Lowry)wrist0.31 xG
TOR: Brodie, Rielly, Kerfoot, Engvall, MikheyevWPG: Benn, Lowry, Toninato, Appleton, Stanley
TOR 1 – 1 WPG
5:25
TORIlya Mikheyev (Jake Muzzin, Alexander Kerfoot)wrist0.49 xG
TOR: Spezza, Muzzin, Holl, Kerfoot, MikheyevWPG: Benn, Lowry, Toninato, Appleton, Stanley
TOR 2 – 1 WPG
13:52
WPGKyle Connor (Mark Scheifele, Blake Wheeler)backhand0.16 xG
TOR: Foligno, Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, NylanderWPG: Wheeler, DeMelo, Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor
TOR 2 – 2 WPG

3rd period

4:21
WPGKyle Connor (Blake Wheeler, Mark Scheifele)slap0.19 xG
TOR: Brodie, Rielly, Kerfoot, Engvall, MikheyevWPG: Wheeler, Benn, Scheifele, Connor, Stanley
TOR 2 – 3 WPG
19:08
WPGJansen HarkinsEN (Trevor Lewis, Dylan DeMelo)wrist0.98 xG
TOR: Spezza, Muzzin, Simmonds, Kerfoot, Engvall, MatthewsWPG: Thompson, Lewis, DeMelo, Morrissey, Harkins
TOR 2 – 4 WPG

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alexander Kerfoot C	L1	0	1	1	-1	0	0.41	0	0	0	16:01	—	—	72	62
Ilya Mikheyev R	L1	1	0	1	0	3	0.73	0	0	0	15:58	—	—	64	56
Pierre Engvall L	L1	1	0	1	-2	3	0.13	1	0	0	15:04	—	—	64	51
John Tavares C	L2	0	0	0	-1	7	0.56	1	0	0	16:38	—	—	61	26
William Nylander R	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.12	0	0	0	16:22	—	—	60	28
Nick Foligno L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	2	0	0	16:05	—	—	64	29
Auston Matthews C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.16	0	1	0	19:05	—	—	53	55
Adam Brooks C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	0	0	14:08	—	—	39	37
Alex Galchenyuk C	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.17	0	0	0	12:15	—	—	29	32
Jason Spezza C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	1	1	0	14:02	—	—	63	63
Wayne Simmonds R	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.36	1	0	0	13:39	—	—	62	56
Joe Thornton C	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.08	0	0	0	13:18	—	—	62	49
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	1	1	-3	1	0.11	0	1	2	22:22	—	—	48	28
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	-3	0	0.05	0	0	0	21:02	—	—	50	30
Jake Muzzin D	D2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.15	1	0	0	19:02	—	—	62	60
Justin Holl D	D2	0	0	0	+2	5	0.13	3	1	0	18:01	—	—	64	58
Ben Hutton D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	17:52	—	—	65	56
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	2	1	0	17:09	—	—	67	79

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jack Campbell(start)	L	23	20	3	.870	3.28	59:44

Winnipeg Jets

WPG skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mark Scheifele C	L1	0	2	2	+2	1	0.13	1	1	0	18:33	—	—	43	63
Blake Wheeler R	L1	0	2	2	+2	0	0.00	1	2	2	17:12	—	—	41	61
Kyle Connor L	L1	2	0	2	+2	3	0.66	0	0	0	16:24	—	—	42	61
Mason Appleton C	L2	1	0	1	0	1	0.31	1	0	0	19:14	—	—	26	43
Adam Lowry C	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.42	4	0	0	17:51	—	—	26	43
Dominic Toninato C	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.20	2	1	0	13:44	—	—	30	44
Nate Thompson C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	1	0	0	15:31	—	—	44	45
Trevor Lewis C	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.47	2	1	2	15:10	—	—	50	52
Jansen Harkins C	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.98	0	0	0	13:26	—	—	48	51
Mathieu Perreault C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.11	6	0	0	13:07	—	—	44	59
Pierre-Luc Dubois C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	1	0	0	10:02	—	—	50	67
Paul Stastny C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	0	1	0	7:47	—	—	63	88
Derek Forbort D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.18	1	2	0	22:01	—	—	38	61
Neal Pionk D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	2	2	0	20:21	—	—	42	67
Josh Morrissey D	D2	0	0	0	+2	2	0.18	1	0	0	20:12	—	—	42	46
Dylan DeMelo D	D2	0	1	1	+2	1	0.05	0	1	0	20:05	—	—	43	47
Logan Stanley D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	3	0	0	17:56	—	—	40	51
Jordie Benn D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	1	0	0	17:24	—	—	39	47

WPG goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Connor Hellebuyck(start)	W	36	34	2	.944	3.38	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.