Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Winnipeg JetsJan 27, 2024

FinalSaturday, Jan 27, 2024· Canada Life Centre

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	1	0	3	4		TOR	8	14	8	30
WPG	1	0	1	2		WPG	7	12	7	26

: TOR 51WPG 60
: TOR 3.28WPG 3.17
PP goals: TOR 2WPG 0
Hits: TOR 18WPG 13
Blocks: TOR 12WPG 9
PIM: TOR 12WPG 12
: TOR 62%WPG 38%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Winnipeg Jets 4–2

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Winnipeg Jets 4–2 at WPG. Morgan Rielly (TOR) led the scoring with 0G 2A. TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner and Matthews) scored 2 power-play goals on 5 attempts in 2:24 together.

Points
Mitch Marner had 2 assists (2 points) in 22:18.Marner
Points
Morgan Rielly had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 20:21.Rielly
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner and Matthews) scored 2 power-play goals on 5 attempts in 2:24 together.Tavares Rielly Nylander Marner Matthews
Usage
Brenden Dillon (WPG) played 1:59, −16:59 down on his 18:58 season average over 76 games.Dillon
Usage
Dylan Samberg (WPG) played 22:44, +7:12 up on his 15:32 season average over 77 games.Samberg
New line
New look for TOR: Domi–Holmberg–Robertson skated 7:48 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (52.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Domi Holmberg Robertson
New line
New look for TOR: Reaves–Gregor–Kampf skated 7:14 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (30.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Reaves Gregor Kampf
New line
New look for WPG: Toninato–Iafallo–Barron skated 5:08 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (40% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Toninato Iafallo Barron

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)WPG attacks right (top on phones) →

WPG
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 111 of 111 attempts · WPG 60 · TOR 51

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WPG
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WPG pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 34% of the game, WPG 31%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WPG

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	WPG
	52	58
	2.70	2.70
	2.60	2.58
	13	8
	5	4
	16	14
	+0.049	−0.049
	34%	31%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Marner – Matthews – Knies
11:0340% CF
L2Tavares – Bertuzzi – Nylander
10:1574% CF
L3Domi – Holmberg – Robertson
7:4852% CF
L4Reaves – Gregor – Kampf
7:1431% CF
D1Brodie – Rielly
13:4848% CF
D2McCabe – Benoit
12:0762% CF
D3Giordano – Liljegren
9:5238% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
2:24100% CF
PP2Giordano – Bertuzzi – Domi – Liljegren – Robertson
0:25
PK1FMarner – Kampf
3:46
PK2FNylander – Gregor
2:12
PK1DGiordano – Brodie
3:45
PK2DMcCabe – Benoit
2:53

Current TOR line combinations →

Winnipeg Jets

L1Niederreiter – Lowry – Appleton
9:5252% CF
L2Namestnikov – Ehlers – Connor
8:1847% CF
L3Vilardi – Kupari – Perfetti
7:2950% CF
L4Toninato – Iafallo – Barron
5:0840% CF
D1DeMelo – Morrissey
11:5342% CF
D2Schmidt – Samberg
7:0860% CF

PP1Morrissey – Ehlers – Connor – Vilardi – Iafallo
3:56100% CF
PP2Niederreiter – Namestnikov – Schmidt – Pionk – Perfetti
2:12100% CF
PK1FLowry – Iafallo
1:10
PK2FNamestnikov – Appleton
0:33
PK1DSamberg – Pionk
0:35
PK2DDeMelo – Schmidt
0:33

Current WPG line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

4:13
WPGDylan Sambergwrist0.03 xG
TOR: Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Bertuzzi, NylanderWPG: Namestnikov, Schmidt, Ehlers, Connor, Samberg
TOR 0 – 1 WPG
19:11
TORRyan Reaves (Noah Gregor)tip-in0.04 xG
TOR: Reaves, Tavares, McCabe, Gregor, LiljegrenWPG: Niederreiter, Lowry, Morrissey, Appleton, Pionk
TOR 1 – 1 WPG

3rd period

1:54
TORJohn TavaresPP (Morgan Rielly, Mitch Marner)tip-in0.09 xG
TOR: Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, MatthewsWPG: Samberg, Iafallo, Pionk, Barron
TOR 2 – 1 WPG
15:28
TORAuston MatthewsPP (Mitch Marner, Morgan Rielly)slap0.14 xG
TOR: Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, MatthewsWPG: DeMelo, Lowry, Pionk
TOR 3 – 1 WPG
18:22
TORSimon BenoitENwrist0.38 xG
TOR: McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Benoit, KniesWPG: Namestnikov, Morrissey, Ehlers, Vilardi, Samberg, Perfetti
TOR 4 – 1 WPG
19:48
WPGMason Appleton (Alex Iafallo, Josh Morrissey)wrist0.66 xG
TOR: Reaves, McCabe, Gregor, Liljegren, KampfWPG: Niederreiter, Morrissey, Appleton, Iafallo, Pionk
TOR 4 – 2 WPG

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	2	2	+1	0	0.02	1	0	0	22:18	—	—	43	35
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.24	0	1	0	19:06	—	—	39	29
Matthew Knies L	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.13	2	1	2	13:00	—	—	35	37
William Nylander R	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.35	0	0	0	19:21	—	—	55	67
John Tavares C	L2	1	0	1	0	4	0.82	1	0	0	14:28	—	—	71	90
Tyler Bertuzzi L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.55	1	0	0	13:18	—	—	67	88
Nick Robertson L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	0	0	2	11:48	—	—	48	62
Max Domi C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	0	0	0	11:35	—	—	48	63
Pontus Holmberg R	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.14	0	1	0	10:13	—	—	52	65
David Kampf C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	0	0	14:42	—	—	31	13
Noah Gregor L	L4	0	1	1	0	0	0.13	3	0	0	13:05	—	—	33	16
Ryan Reaves R	L4	1	0	1	0	1	0.04	3	1	2	9:33	—	—	39	16
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	2	2	21:23	—	—	44	39
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	2	2	-1	2	0.04	0	0	0	20:21	—	—	47	59
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.11	3	0	2	21:53	—	—	59	55
Simon Benoit D	D2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.43	3	1	0	18:43	—	—	55	69
Timothy Liljegren D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	0	1	2	18:49	—	—	37	37
Mark Giordano D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	4	0	16:24	—	—	39	43

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Samsonov(start)	W	26	24	2	.923	3.17	60:00

Winnipeg Jets

WPG skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Adam Lowry C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.13	1	1	0	19:23	—	—	54	35
Mason Appleton C	L1	1	0	1	0	1	0.66	1	1	2	15:50	—	—	53	50
Nino Niederreiter R	L1	0	0	0	0	5	0.12	0	0	6	15:19	—	—	65	60
Kyle Connor L	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.32	0	0	0	19:31	—	—	45	35
Nikolaj Ehlers L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	0	0	16:58	—	—	59	47
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	1	1	0	15:55	—	—	50	43
Gabriel Vilardi C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.15	0	0	0	17:30	—	—	43	49
Cole Perfetti C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.31	1	0	0	14:56	—	—	56	69
Rasmus Kupari C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	10:07	—	—	50	75
Alex Iafallo L	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.05	0	0	0	15:09	—	—	47	74
Morgan Barron C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	1	0	11:13	—	—	47	36
Dominic Toninato C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	7:15	—	—	50	23
Josh Morrissey D	D1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.70	1	2	0	27:40	—	—	43	50
Dylan DeMelo D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	0	0	2	22:21	—	—	49	28
Dylan Samberg D	D2	1	0	1	0	3	0.10	1	1	2	22:44	—	—	69	69
Nate Schmidt D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.08	1	1	0	19:02	—	—	44	30
Neal Pionk D	—	0	0	0	0	5	0.29	2	0	0	22:01	—	—	59	60
Brenden Dillon D	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	1:59	—	—	0	0

WPG goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Connor Hellebuyck(start)	L	29	26	3	.897	2.91	59:43

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Dylan Samberg (WPG) 1st 4:13 · unassisted · Dump and chase · dumped in · 68.2 mph shot · 6.8 s from entry to goal.

Dylan Samberg · 1st 4:13 · WPG

Play: dump-and-chase
Entry: dump
Odd man: No
Passes: 1
Shot: 68.2 mph
Distance: 49 ft
Entry to goal: 6.8 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Simon Benoit · 3rd 18:22 · TOR EN

Play: deflection
Passes: 0
Shot: 28.6 mph
Distance: 15 ft
Type: deflection

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Ryan Reaves · 1st 19:11 · TOR

Play: deflection
Entry: loose
Odd man: 1-on-0
Passes: 1
Shot: 24.6 mph
Distance: 9 ft
Entry to goal: 6.5 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

John Tavares · 3rd 1:54 · TOR PP

Play: deflection
Passes: 3
Shot: 50.1 mph
Distance: 13 ft
Type: deflection

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Auston Matthews · 3rd 15:28 · TOR PP

Play: rebound
Passes: 1
Shot: 78.8 mph
Distance: 22 ft
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Mason Appleton · 3rd 19:48 · WPG

Play: rebound
Passes: 0
Shot: 10.1 mph
Distance: 2 ft
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.