Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Edmonton OilersMar 9, 2019

FinalSaturday, Mar 9, 2019· Rogers Place

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

3

@

home

Edmonton OilersEDM

2

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	1	1	1	3		TOR	16	12	12	40
EDM	0	0	2	2		EDM	10	9	14	33

: TOR 72EDM 62
: TOR 3.18EDM 4.23
PP goals: TOR 1EDM 0
Hits: TOR 21EDM 23
Blocks: TOR 12EDM 15
PIM: TOR 8EDM 4
: TOR 59%EDM 41%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Edmonton Oilers 3–2

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Edmonton Oilers 3–2 at EDM. John Tavares (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 2A. Anthony Stolarz (EDM) faced 40 shots and stopped 37 (.925), +12 against a season average of 27.9; the loss.

Points
John Tavares had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 5 shots in 18:29.Tavares
Points
Connor McDavid had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 24:30.McDavid
Points
Leon Draisaitl had 2 assists (2 points) on 6 shots in 26:20.Draisaitl
Goalie
Anthony Stolarz (EDM) faced 40 shots and stopped 37 (.925), +12 against a season average of 27.9; the loss.Stolarz
Luck
EDM scored 2 goals on 4.23 expected goals (62 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for TOR: Ennis–Brown–Gauthier skated 4:36 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (60% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Ennis Brown Gauthier
New line
New look for TOR: Marleau–Kadri–Nylander skated 9:36 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (60% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Marleau Kadri Nylander
Usage
Nikita Zaitsev (TOR) played 25:15, +4:50 up on his 20:25 season average over 80 games.Zaitsev

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)EDM attacks right (top on phones) →

EDM
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 134 of 134 attempts · EDM 62 · TOR 72

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

EDM
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

EDM pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 26% of the game, EDM 37%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

EDM

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	EDM
	74	49
	3.32	2.74
	3.24	2.66
	17	8
	7	2
	22	31
	+0.068	−0.068
	26%	37%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Johnsson – Kapanen – Matthews
13:1169% CF
L2Tavares – Hyman – Marner
11:5956% CF
L3Marleau – Kadri – Nylander
9:3660% CF
L4Ennis – Brown – Gauthier
4:3660% CF
D1Muzzin – Zaitsev
15:3454% CF
D2Hainsey – Rielly
13:3967% CF
D3Marincin – Ozhiganov
7:3850% CF

PP1Tavares – Kadri – Rielly – Marner – Matthews
2:2383% CF
PP2Marleau – Muzzin – Ennis – Johnsson – Nylander
1:34
PK1FBrown – Marner
1:53
PK2FHyman – Kapanen
1:38
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
3:27
PK2DMuzzin – Marincin
1:27

Current TOR line combinations →

Edmonton Oilers

L1Kassian – Draisaitl – McDavid
8:2953% CF
L2Khaira – Cave – Currie
3:4625% CF
L3Gagner – Chiasson – Nugent-Hopkins
2:1950% CF
L4Brodziak – Rieder – Rattie
1:550% CF
D1Larsson – Klefbom
13:3148% CF
D2Russell – Nurse
12:2133% CF
D3Sekera – Benning
9:2040% CF

PP1Chiasson – Nugent-Hopkins – Nurse – Draisaitl – McDavid
5:2980% CF
PP2Sekera – Gagner – Klefbom – Khaira – Cave
1:19100% CF
PK1FBrodziak – Cave
1:27
PK2FKassian – McDavid
1:09
PK1DRussell – Nurse
1:24
PK2DSekera – Benning
1:12

Current EDM line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

19:46
TORMorgan RiellyPP (John Tavares, Nazem Kadri)slap0.01 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Tavares, Kadri, Rielly, MatthewsEDM: Brodziak, Sekera, Benning, Cave
TOR 1 – 0 EDM

2nd period

12:28
TORJohn Tavares (Zach Hyman, Nikita Zaitsev)wrist0.11 xG
TOR: Tavares, Hyman, Marner, Zaitsev, OzhiganovEDM: Sekera, Russell, Khaira, Cave, Currie
TOR 2 – 0 EDM

3rd period

3:00
TORJake Muzzin (William Nylander, John Tavares)snap0.16 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, NylanderEDM: Gagner, Nugent-Hopkins, Larsson, Klefbom, Draisaitl
TOR 3 – 0 EDM
18:21
EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins (Leon Draisaitl, Connor McDavid)snap0.16 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, MarnerEDM: Kassian, Nugent-Hopkins, Klefbom, Nurse, Draisaitl, McDavid
TOR 3 – 1 EDM
19:07
EDMOscar Klefbom (Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl)snap0.16 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Johnsson, Kapanen, Matthews, ZaitsevEDM: Kassian, Nugent-Hopkins, Klefbom, Nurse, Draisaitl, McDavid
TOR 3 – 2 EDM

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.34	1	0	0	18:50	—	—	71	63
Kasperi Kapanen R	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.12	1	0	0	18:50	—	—	65	54
Andreas Johnsson L	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.09	0	1	0	16:30	—	—	72	60
Mitch Marner R	L2	0	0	0	0	5	0.27	1	0	0	19:23	—	—	53	72
John Tavares C	L2	1	2	3	+1	5	0.97	1	1	0	18:29	—	—	59	63
Zach Hyman L	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.26	1	0	2	17:47	—	—	57	74
Patrick Marleau C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.24	2	2	0	13:18	—	—	52	26
Nazem Kadri C	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.30	2	0	0	12:50	—	—	59	39
William Nylander R	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.13	1	0	0	12:39	—	—	53	34
Connor Brown R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	10:53	—	—	56	24
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	2	7:53	—	—	50	17
Tyler Ennis R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	3	0	0	7:35	—	—	67	42
Nikita Zaitsev D	D1	0	1	1	0	2	0.03	1	1	0	25:15	—	—	57	50
Jake Muzzin D	D1	1	0	1	0	4	0.23	1	2	2	22:44	—	—	55	57
Ron Hainsey D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	0	2	0	22:55	—	—	64	66
Morgan Rielly D	D2	1	0	1	0	6	0.14	0	0	2	22:04	—	—	66	62
Martin Marincin D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	2	1	0	12:43	—	—	53	18
Igor Ozhiganov D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.01	1	1	0	11:22	—	—	57	30

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	33	31	2	.939	4.23	60:00

Edmonton Oilers

EDM skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Leon Draisaitl C	L1	0	2	2	+1	6	0.99	3	0	2	26:20	—	—	40	41
Connor McDavid C	L1	0	2	2	+2	4	0.40	1	0	0	24:30	—	—	45	36
Zack Kassian R	L1	0	0	0	+2	2	0.23	1	0	0	19:13	—	—	45	38
Colby Cave C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	1	1	0	15:32	—	—	30	61
Jujhar Khaira L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.80	0	0	0	12:51	—	—	39	68
Josh Currie R	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	0	0	8:30	—	—	33	56
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C	L3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.65	0	0	2	21:21	—	—	41	30
Alex Chiasson R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.36	1	2	0	17:42	—	—	28	30
Sam Gagner C	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.12	0	0	0	14:12	—	—	49	43
Tobias Rieder L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	9:23	—	—	31	40
Kyle Brodziak C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	8:27	—	—	33	46
Ty Rattie R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	4:54	—	—	56	85
Oscar Klefbom D	D1	1	0	1	+1	4	0.29	1	1	0	23:00	—	—	42	36
Adam Larsson D	D1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.19	5	0	0	19:46	—	—	57	56
Darnell Nurse D	D2	0	0	0	+2	1	0.07	2	0	0	25:25	—	—	34	45
Kris Russell D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.06	2	9	0	16:52	—	—	27	40
Andrej Sekera D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	0	0	0	17:24	—	—	43	50
Matt Benning D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	0	2	0	11:49	—	—	40	49

EDM goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anthony Stolarz(start)	L	40	37	3	.925	3.18	58:52

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.