Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Edmonton OilersMar 1, 2021

FinalMonday, Mar 1, 2021· Rogers Place

away

home

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	3	0	0	3		TOR	10	5	8	23
EDM	0	0	0	0		EDM	9	8	14	31

: TOR 41EDM 56
: TOR 3.03EDM 2.53
PP goals: TOR 1EDM 0
Hits: TOR 16EDM 22
Blocks: TOR 14EDM 7
PIM: TOR 23EDM 38
: TOR 42%EDM 58%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Edmonton Oilers 3–0

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Edmonton Oilers 3–0 at EDM. Morgan Rielly (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 1A. TOR's first power-play unit (Thornton, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander and Marner) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 3:35 together.

Points
Morgan Rielly had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 21:25.Rielly
Points
William Nylander had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 13:25.Nylander
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Thornton, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander and Marner) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 3:35 together.Thornton Tavares Rielly Nylander Marner
New line
New look for EDM: Nugent-Hopkins–McDavid–Yamamoto skated 6:14 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (76.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Nugent-Hopkins McDavid Yamamoto
Luck
EDM scored 0 goals on 2.53 expected goals (56 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
William Nylander (TOR) played 13:25, −3:15 down on his 16:40 season average over 50 games.Nylander
Usage
Caleb Jones (EDM) played 18:07, +4:39 up on his 13:28 season average over 32 games.Jones
Usage
Darnell Nurse (EDM) played 29:23, +3:50 up on his 25:33 season average over 55 games.Nurse

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)EDM attacks right (top on phones) →

EDM
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 97 of 97 attempts · EDM 56 · TOR 41

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

EDM
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

EDM pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 28% of the game, EDM 33%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

EDM

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	EDM
	30	58
	2.06	2.44
	1.99	2.37
	6	10
	2	4
	16	16
	−0.023	+0.023
	28%	33%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Thornton – Tavares – Marner
8:5536% CF
L2Hyman – Engvall – Mikheyev
5:3525% CF
L3Kerfoot – Nylander – Barabanov
3:3375% CF
L4Spezza – Boyd – Vesey
3:0140% CF
D1Muzzin – Holl
15:4524% CF
D2Brodie – Rielly
13:2426% CF
D3Bogosian – Dermott
10:5367% CF

PP1Thornton – Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner
3:3586% CF
PP2Spezza – Brodie – Holl – Hyman – Kerfoot
0:35
PK1FHyman – Marner
1:59
PK2FKerfoot – Mikheyev
1:45
PK1DMuzzin – Holl
3:29
PK2DBogosian – Brodie
2:14

Current TOR line combinations →

Edmonton Oilers

L1Ennis – Archibald – Khaira
8:1340% CF
L2Nugent-Hopkins – McDavid – Yamamoto
6:1477% CF
L3Chiasson – Russell – Haas
5:3263% CF
L4Draisaitl – Puljujarvi – Kahun
4:28100% CF
D1Barrie – Nurse
13:4961% CF
D2Larsson – Jones
13:3456% CF
D3Bear – Bouchard
8:1488% CF

PP1Chiasson – Barrie – Nugent-Hopkins – Draisaitl – McDavid
2:4150% CF
PP2Nugent-Hopkins – Nurse – Draisaitl – McDavid – Puljujarvi
1:1450% CF
PK1FArchibald – Khaira
1:08
PK2FYamamoto – Haas
0:36
PK1DNurse – Bear
2:45
PK2DLarsson – Jones
1:32

Current EDM line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

7:19
TORZach Hyman (Morgan Rielly, Ilya Mikheyev)backhand0.12 xG
TOR: Brodie, Hyman, Rielly, Engvall, MikheyevEDM: Draisaitl, Bear, Yamamoto, Bouchard, Kahun
TOR 1 – 0 EDM
10:20
TORWilliam Nylanderbackhand0.02 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Holl, Kerfoot, Nylander, BarabanovEDM: Draisaitl, Bear, Yamamoto, Bouchard, Kahun
TOR 2 – 0 EDM
18:07
TORMorgan RiellyPP (Mitch Marner, William Nylander)slap0.07 xG
TOR: Thornton, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, MarnerEDM: Khaira, Nurse, Bear, Haas
TOR 3 – 0 EDM

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.39	0	2	0	20:53	—	—	35	40
John Tavares C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.39	0	2	0	19:35	—	—	32	43
Joe Thornton C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.14	0	0	0	14:48	—	—	39	38
Zach Hyman L	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.40	1	1	0	19:53	—	—	22	35
Ilya Mikheyev R	L2	0	1	1	+1	4	0.42	0	1	0	14:42	—	—	26	42
Pierre Engvall L	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.15	1	0	0	14:11	—	—	31	35
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:30	—	—	46	54
William Nylander R	L3	1	1	2	+1	3	0.17	0	0	0	13:25	—	—	63	79
Alexander Barabanov L	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	2	11:57	—	—	44	79
Jason Spezza C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	0	2	0	11:26	—	—	32	61
Jimmy Vesey L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	2	0	0	10:48	—	—	38	35
Travis Boyd C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:25	—	—	31	74
Justin Holl D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.17	3	0	0	22:25	—	—	23	30
Jake Muzzin D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.11	2	1	2	21:06	—	—	32	44
Morgan Rielly D	D2	1	1	2	+1	4	0.48	3	2	2	21:25	—	—	27	44
TJ Brodie D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.09	2	1	0	21:13	—	—	29	39
Zach Bogosian D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	1	1	10	16:33	—	—	63	82
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	7	13:59	—	—	50	75

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Michael Hutchinson(start)	W	31	31	0	.1000	2.53	59:46

Edmonton Oilers

EDM skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jujhar Khaira L	L1	0	1	0.04	2	1	0	15:26	—	—	60	29
Josh Archibald R	L1	0	1	0.08	6	0	5	15:00	—	—	55	48
Tyler Ennis R	L1	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:44	—	—	40	22
Connor McDavid C	L2	0	6	0.45	1	0	2	20:59	—	—	74	70
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C	L2	0	2	0.27	2	0	4	19:12	—	—	78	79
Kailer Yamamoto R	L2	-2	1	0.23	1	0	0	14:45	—	—	70	60
Gaetan Haas C	L3	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	13:02	—	—	73	26
Alex Chiasson R	L3	0	2	0.22	0	0	15	12:03	—	—	63	21
Patrick Russell R	L3	0	2	0.03	1	0	0	9:54	—	—	71	23
Leon Draisaitl C	L4	-2	3	0.33	2	0	0	19:10	—	—	54	51
Jesse Puljujarvi R	L4	0	2	0.23	1	0	0	14:37	—	—	67	73
Dominik Kahun C	L4	-2	3	0.29	0	0	0	13:03	—	—	65	58
Darnell Nurse D	D1	0	3	0.17	2	2	10	29:23	—	—	61	49
Tyson Barrie D	D1	0	1	0.02	0	0	0	19:48	—	—	63	55
Adam Larsson D	D2	0	1	0.00	2	3	2	20:05	—	—	61	65
Caleb Jones D	D2	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	18:07	—	—	50	53
Ethan Bear D	D3	-2	1	0.07	0	0	0	14:45	—	—	75	48
Evan Bouchard D	D3	-2	2	0.10	0	0	0	13:09	—	—	86	58

EDM goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mike Smith	—	13	13	0	.1000	1.88	40:00
Mikko Koskinen(start)	L	10	7	3	.700	1.15	20:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.