Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida PanthersFeb 27, 2020

FinalThursday, Feb 27, 2020· BB&T Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	3	0	2	5		TOR	9	14	6	29
FLA	3	0	0	3		FLA	9	4	14	27

: TOR 54FLA 54
: TOR 2.84FLA 2.04
PP goals: TOR 0FLA 0
Hits: TOR 16FLA 19
Blocks: TOR 16FLA 13
PIM: TOR 7FLA 5
: TOR 45%FLA 55%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Florida Panthers 5–3

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Florida Panthers 5–3 at FLA. Auston Matthews (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 1A. New look for TOR: Spezza–Tavares–Nylander skated 5:05 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (40% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Auston Matthews had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 6 shots in 23:18.Matthews
Points
Justin Holl had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 21:44.Holl
Points
Zach Hyman had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 23:15.Hyman
Points
Keith Yandle had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 17:22.Yandle
New line
New look for TOR: Spezza–Tavares–Nylander skated 5:05 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (40% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Spezza Tavares Nylander
Luck
TOR scored 5 goals on 2.84 expected goals (54 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Erik Haula (FLA) played 10:53, −5:03 down on his 15:56 season average over 47 games.Haula
Usage
Martin Marincin (TOR) played 20:02, +5:02 up on his 15:00 season average over 25 games.Marincin

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)FLA attacks right (top on phones) →

FLA
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 108 of 108 attempts · FLA 54 · TOR 54

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

FLA
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

FLA pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 45% of the game, FLA 22%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

FLA

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	FLA
	54	54
	2.42	1.38
	2.31	1.36
	8	8
	5	6
	24	28
	−0.028	+0.028
	45%	22%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Hyman – Marner – Matthews
16:1938% CF
L2Spezza – Tavares – Nylander
5:0540% CF
L3Kerfoot – Kapanen – Engvall
3:0550% CF
D1Holl – Dermott
14:2748% CF
D2Barrie – Sandin
11:0080% CF
D3Marincin – Rosen
6:3050% CF

PP1Tavares – Barrie – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
1:1967% CF
PP2Spezza – Hyman – Kerfoot – Kapanen – Sandin
0:41
PK1FHyman – Marner
1:03
PK2FKapanen – Engvall
0:51
PK1DHoll – Dermott
1:54

Current TOR line combinations →

Florida Panthers

L1Dadonov – Huberdeau – Barkov
13:5641% CF
L2Connolly – Wallmark – Saarela
9:5350% CF
L3Hoffman – Haula – Vatrano
8:4342% CF
D1Stralman – Stillman
18:5155% CF
D2Weegar – Ekblad
14:1741% CF
D3Yandle – Matheson
12:4253% CF

PP1Yandle – Dadonov – Hoffman – Huberdeau – Barkov
1:320% CF
PP2Haula – Connolly – Weegar – Ekblad – Vatrano
0:15
PK1FWallmark – Acciari
0:41
PK2FSceviour – Haula
0:34
PK1DWeegar – Ekblad
1:06
PK2DStralman – Stillman
0:47

Current FLA line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

2:23
FLAMark Pysyk (Aaron Ekblad, Keith Yandle)slap0.06 xG
TOR: Tavares, Barrie, Hyman, Nylander, SandinFLA: Yandle, Sceviour, Pysyk, Ekblad, Acciari
TOR 0 – 1 FLA
3:32
TORZach Hyman (Auston Matthews, Justin Holl)backhand0.31 xG
TOR: Holl, Hyman, Dermott, Marner, MatthewsFLA: Stralman, Dadonov, Huberdeau, Barkov, Stillman
TOR 1 – 1 FLA
7:25
FLAMike Hoffman (Frank Vatrano, Erik Haula)wrist0.10 xG
TOR: Marincin, Kerfoot, Kapanen, Engvall, LiljegrenFLA: Yandle, Hoffman, Haula, Matheson, Vatrano
TOR 1 – 2 FLA
12:36
FLANoel Acciari (Keith Yandle)wrist0.02 xG
TOR: Clifford, Marincin, Kerfoot, Gauthier, LiljegrenFLA: Yandle, Sceviour, Pysyk, Matheson, Acciari
TOR 1 – 3 FLA
17:43
TORKasperi Kapanen (Jason Spezza, Alexander Kerfoot)snap0.02 xG
TOR: Spezza, Hyman, Kerfoot, Kapanen, SandinFLA: Weegar, Ekblad, Wallmark, Acciari, Saarela
TOR 2 – 3 FLA
18:58
TORAuston Matthews (Zach Hyman, Mitch Marner)slap0.07 xG
TOR: Barrie, Marincin, Hyman, Marner, MatthewsFLA: Hoffman, Haula, Weegar, Ekblad, Vatrano
TOR 3 – 3 FLA

3rd period

9:00
TORWilliam Nylander (Kyle Clifford, Martin Marincin)wrist0.08 xG
TOR: Clifford, Marincin, Kerfoot, Nylander, RosenFLA: Stralman, Hoffman, Haula, Vatrano, Stillman
TOR 4 – 3 FLA
19:39
TORJustin HollEN (John Tavares)wrist0.20 xG
TOR: Tavares, Holl, Hyman, Dermott, MarnerFLA: Yandle, Dadonov, Hoffman, Huberdeau, Barkov, Ekblad
TOR 5 – 3 FLA

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	1	1	+3	5	0.48	0	1	0	23:35	—	—	35	58
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	1	2	+2	6	0.64	2	1	0	23:18	—	—	49	69
Zach Hyman L	L1	1	1	2	+3	3	0.38	0	0	0	23:15	—	—	50	65
John Tavares C	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.27	1	2	0	19:34	—	—	52	69
William Nylander R	L2	1	0	1	0	3	0.09	0	0	0	17:30	—	—	62	70
Jason Spezza C	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.03	0	0	0	14:08	—	—	47	43
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	1	1	0	0	0.15	2	0	0	13:06	—	—	67	75
Kasperi Kapanen R	L3	1	0	1	0	3	0.23	1	0	5	12:59	—	—	53	51
Pierre Engvall L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.20	0	1	0	12:28	—	—	42	43
Justin Holl D	D1	1	1	2	+2	1	0.20	2	1	0	21:44	—	—	39	59
Travis Dermott D	D1	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	2	2	0	20:49	—	—	53	73
Tyson Barrie D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	0	3	0	25:21	—	—	54	71
Rasmus Sandin D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	1	0	16:07	—	—	71	79
Martin Marincin D	D3	0	1	1	0	1	0.04	3	3	2	20:02	—	—	42	53
Calle Rosen D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:44	—	—	53	66
Frederik Gauthier C	—	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	10:47	—	—	42	58
Kyle Clifford L	—	0	1	1	0	2	0.05	2	0	0	9:15	—	—	59	68
Timothy Liljegren D	—	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	0	0	5:21	—	—	29	10

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	27	24	3	.889	2.04	59:57

Florida Panthers

FLA skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Aleksander Barkov C	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.06	0	1	0	19:57	—	—	39	20
Jonathan Huberdeau L	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.11	2	2	0	18:51	—	—	41	22
Evgenii Dadonov L	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.19	2	0	0	18:36	—	—	39	20
Lucas Wallmark C	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	3	1	0	14:09	—	—	50	19
Brett Connolly R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	1	0	0	13:22	—	—	56	22
Aleksi Saarela C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	0	0	0	12:02	—	—	47	14
Mike Hoffman C	L3	1	0	1	-2	6	0.55	0	1	0	15:58	—	—	42	36
Frank Vatrano R	L3	0	1	1	-1	2	0.09	1	2	0	12:19	—	—	39	30
Erik Haula L	L3	0	1	1	-1	1	0.06	2	0	0	10:53	—	—	40	36
Anton Stralman D	D1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.03	1	2	0	22:55	—	—	53	29
Riley Stillman D	D1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	3	0	0	20:49	—	—	54	30
Aaron Ekblad D	D2	0	1	1	-2	2	0.02	1	2	0	21:54	—	—	46	38
MacKenzie Weegar D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.04	1	1	5	18:08	—	—	41	38
Mike Matheson D	D3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.04	0	0	0	17:26	—	—	54	47
Keith Yandle D	D3	0	2	2	+2	1	0.03	0	0	0	17:22	—	—	52	59
Noel Acciari C	—	1	0	1	+1	5	0.40	1	1	0	16:26	—	—	74	73
Colton Sceviour C	—	0	0	0	+2	0	0.26	1	0	0	15:16	—	—	76	78
Mark Pysyk D	—	1	0	1	+2	1	0.12	0	0	0	13:10	—	—	82	95

FLA goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Sergei Bobrovsky(start)	L	28	24	4	.857	2.65	58:29

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.