Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Detroit Red WingsNov 28, 2022

FinalMonday, Nov 28, 2022· Little Caesars Arena

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

4

@

home

Detroit Red WingsDET

2

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	2	2	0	4		TOR	5	14	6	25
DET	1	0	1	2		DET	10	15	19	44

: TOR 33DET 73
: TOR 1.90DET 2.67
PP goals: TOR 1DET 0
Hits: TOR 18DET 25
Blocks: TOR 23DET 5
PIM: TOR 4DET 4
: TOR 56%DET 44%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Detroit Red Wings 4–2

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Detroit Red Wings 4–2 at DET. Auston Matthews (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 1A. TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Matthews and Sandin) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 1:26 together.

Points
Auston Matthews had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 18:05.Matthews
Points
Moritz Seider had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 22:38.Seider
Points
Rasmus Sandin had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:48.Sandin
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Matthews and Sandin) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 1:26 together.Tavares Nylander Marner Matthews Sandin
Goalie
Matt Murray (TOR) faced 44 shots and stopped 42 (.955), +15 against a season average of 29.3; the win.Murray
Luck
TOR scored 4 goals on 1.90 expected goals (33 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Mark Giordano (TOR) played 22:43, +3:49 up on his 18:54 season average over 77 games.Giordano
Usage
Victor Mete (TOR) played 18:32, +6:00 up on his 12:32 season average over 10 games.Mete

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)DET attacks right (top on phones) →

DET
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 106 of 106 attempts · DET 73 · TOR 33

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DET
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DET pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 19% of the game, DET 42%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DET

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	DET
	34	73
	1.81	2.33
	1.71	2.22
	7	11
	2	0
	5	10
	+0.035	−0.035
	19%	42%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Jarnkrok – Marner
11:5248% CF
L2Nylander – Bunting – Matthews
11:4332% CF
L3Malgin – Aston-Reese – Kampf
11:1813% CF
L4Kerfoot – Engvall – Holmberg
7:2545% CF
D1Giordano – Holl
16:4035% CF
D2Liljegren – Sandin
14:0424% CF
D3Mete – Hollowell
12:1022% CF

PP1Tavares – Nylander – Marner – Matthews – Sandin
1:26100% CF
PK1FMarner – Kampf
2:27
PK2FJarnkrok – Kerfoot
0:36
PK1DGiordano – Holl
3:08
PK2DMete – Liljegren
1:15

Current TOR line combinations →

Detroit Red Wings

L1Suter – Veleno – Berggren
9:4664% CF
L2Perron – Kubalik – Larkin
8:2567% CF
L3Copp – Bertuzzi – Raymond
8:2350% CF
L4Sundqvist – Erne – Rasmussen
8:1887% CF
D1Oesterle – Walman
16:0861% CF
D2Chiarot – Seider
14:0852% CF
D3Maatta – Hronek
13:5880% CF

PP1Perron – Sundqvist – Kubalik – Larkin – Seider
2:18100% CF
PP2Copp – Bertuzzi – Hronek – Berggren – Raymond
1:59
PK1FCopp – Erne
0:52
PK2FSundqvist – Larkin
0:38
PK1DChiarot – Seider
1:30

Current DET line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

4:45
DETMoritz Seider (Dylan Larkin, Dominik Kubalik)wrist0.02 xG
TOR: Nylander, Bunting, Matthews, Mete, HollowellDET: Perron, Maatta, Kubalik, Larkin, Seider
TOR 0 – 1 DET
8:24
TORAuston Matthews (Michael Bunting, Mac Hollowell)wrist0.11 xG
TOR: Nylander, Bunting, Matthews, Liljegren, HollowellDET: Chiarot, Erne, Rasmussen, Veleno, Seider
TOR 1 – 1 DET
9:15
TORWilliam NylanderPP (John Tavares, Rasmus Sandin)wrist0.02 xG
TOR: Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Matthews, SandinDET: Chiarot, Sundqvist, Larkin, Seider
TOR 2 – 1 DET

2nd period

0:52
TORMitch Marner (Mark Giordano, Calle Jarnkrok)wrist0.05 xG
TOR: Giordano, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, SandinDET: Perron, Chiarot, Kubalik, Larkin, Seider
TOR 3 – 1 DET
8:37
TORRasmus Sandin (Auston Matthews, Alexander Kerfoot)wrist0.03 xG
TOR: Nylander, Bunting, Matthews, Liljegren, SandinDET: Chiarot, Suter, Veleno, Berggren, Seider
TOR 4 – 1 DET

3rd period

12:41
DETAdam Erne (Moritz Seider, Ben Chiarot)tip-in0.04 xG
TOR: Giordano, Holl, Malgin, Aston-Reese, KampfDET: Chiarot, Sundqvist, Erne, Rasmussen, Seider
TOR 4 – 2 DET

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.18	0	3	0	19:33	—	—	46	56
John Tavares C	L1	0	1	1	0	4	0.34	1	0	0	16:10	—	—	48	58
Calle Jarnkrok C	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.18	1	0	0	14:37	—	—	44	54
Auston Matthews C	L2	1	1	2	+2	5	0.37	0	5	0	18:05	—	—	32	38
William Nylander R	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.05	0	0	0	17:36	—	—	32	38
Michael Bunting L	L2	0	1	1	+2	1	0.03	0	2	2	15:43	—	—	35	41
David Kampf C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	16:57	—	—	12	24
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	3	0	12:48	—	—	13	26
Denis Malgin C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.23	2	0	0	12:40	—	—	12	25
Alexander Kerfoot C	L4	0	1	1	0	1	0.10	1	1	0	11:53	—	—	39	60
Pierre Engvall L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	10:33	—	—	42	67
Pontus Holmberg R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	8:29	—	—	46	70
Justin Holl D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.20	2	2	0	23:57	—	—	48	63
Mark Giordano D	D1	0	1	1	0	1	0.01	2	0	0	22:43	—	—	41	51
Timothy Liljegren D	D2	0	0	0	+2	1	0.12	2	3	0	21:19	—	—	24	35
Rasmus Sandin D	D2	1	1	2	+2	2	0.09	2	1	2	17:48	—	—	36	52
Victor Mete D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	1	0	18:32	—	—	20	27
Mac Hollowell D	D3	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	14:37	—	—	27	36

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Matt Murray(start)	W	44	42	2	.955	2.67	60:00

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Joseph Veleno C	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.23	3	1	0	13:52	—	—	64	43
Jonatan Berggren R	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.11	1	0	0	13:45	—	—	64	48
Pius Suter C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	2	0	0	10:59	—	—	67	48
Dylan Larkin C	L2	0	1	1	0	4	0.18	0	0	0	19:28	—	—	65	64
David Perron L	L2	0	0	0	0	5	0.33	0	0	2	17:58	—	—	71	75
Dominik Kubalik L	L2	0	1	1	0	7	0.59	0	0	0	17:40	—	—	65	64
Lucas Raymond L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	18:36	—	—	53	17
Andrew Copp C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	2	0	0	18:06	—	—	71	34
Tyler Bertuzzi L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.21	1	0	0	17:22	—	—	67	30
Oskar Sundqvist C	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.10	1	0	2	14:33	—	—	87	100
Adam Erne L	L4	1	0	1	0	4	0.43	4	1	0	13:10	—	—	83	78
Michael Rasmussen C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.19	5	0	0	10:53	—	—	81	77
Jordan Oesterle D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	18:46	—	—	65	43
Jake Walman D	D1	0	0	0	0	4	0.11	0	0	0	16:50	—	—	61	39
Moritz Seider D	D2	1	1	2	-1	3	0.04	1	1	0	22:38	—	—	64	52
Ben Chiarot D	D2	0	1	1	-2	0	0.02	3	0	0	19:22	—	—	61	33
Filip Hronek D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	18:59	—	—	80	96
Olli Maatta D	D3	0	0	0	+1	3	0.04	1	1	0	17:14	—	—	86	97

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ville Husso(start)	L	13	9	4	.692	1.02	28:37
Alex Nedeljkovic	—	12	12	0	.1000	0.88	28:34

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.