Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Detroit Red WingsNov 17, 2023

FinalFriday, Nov 17, 2023· Avicii Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	0	0	3	3		TOR	5	9	15	29
DET	0	2	0	2		DET	7	12	10	29

: TOR 58DET 61
: TOR 2.57DET 3.11
PP goals: TOR 1DET 0
Hits: TOR 12DET 22
Blocks: TOR 20DET 17
PIM: TOR 10DET 10
: TOR 56%DET 44%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Detroit Red Wings 3–2

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Detroit Red Wings 3–2 at DET. William Nylander (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 2A. TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 2:53 together.

Points
John Tavares had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 1 shot in 16:59.Tavares
Points
William Nylander had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 4 shots in 20:31.Nylander
Points
Tyler Bertuzzi had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 7 shots in 15:48.Bertuzzi
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 2:53 together.Tavares Rielly Nylander Marner Matthews
Usage
Jake Walman (DET) played 12:29, −7:24 down on his 19:53 season average over 62 games.Walman
Usage
Simon Benoit (TOR) played 10:09, −7:11 down on his 17:20 season average over 63 games.Benoit
Usage
Ben Chiarot (DET) played 23:57, +4:14 up on his 19:43 season average over 76 games.Chiarot
Usage
Justin Holl (DET) played 20:21, +5:25 up on his 14:56 season average over 37 games.Holl

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)DET attacks right (top on phones) →

DET
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 119 of 119 attempts · DET 61 · TOR 58

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DET
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DET pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 36% of the game, DET 35%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DET

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	DET
	56	44
	2.16	2.05
	2.12	1.94
	17	7
	4	2
	10	14
	+0.015	−0.015
	36%	35%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Marner – Matthews – Knies
11:3643% CF
L2Tavares – Bertuzzi – Nylander
11:1978% CF
L3Gregor – Kampf – McMann
8:0545% CF
L4Jarnkrok – Domi – Robertson
7:0367% CF
D1Brodie – Rielly
15:4763% CF
D2Giordano – McCabe
14:5650% CF
D3Lagesson – Benoit
7:0056% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
2:5363% CF
PP2Giordano – Jarnkrok – Bertuzzi – Domi – Knies
0:32100% CF
PK1FMarner – Kampf
2:38
PK2FJarnkrok – Gregor
1:27
PK1DGiordano – Brodie
3:25
PK2DMcCabe – Lagesson
1:48

Current TOR line combinations →

Detroit Red Wings

L1Fabbri – Fischer – Veleno
11:5519% CF
L2Larkin – DeBrincat – Raymond
11:0955% CF
L3Sprong – Rasmussen – Kostin
8:3356% CF
L4Perron – Copp – Compher
7:5518% CF
D1Chiarot – Holl
11:4162% CF
D2Maatta – Gostisbehere
9:5946% CF
D3Walman – Seider
6:0350% CF

PP1Perron – Gostisbehere – Larkin – DeBrincat – Seider
3:5880% CF
PP2Copp – Compher – Walman – Sprong – Raymond
3:2983% CF
PK1FCopp – Compher
1:33
PK2FRasmussen – Veleno
0:49
PK1DChiarot – Holl
2:22
PK2DWalman – Seider
1:38

Current DET line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

12:52
DETDaniel SprongPSwrist0.30 xG
TOR: Brodie, Rielly, Marner, Matthews, KniesDET: Chiarot, Sprong, Rasmussen, Kostin, Seider
TOR 0 – 1 DET
14:44
DETLucas Raymond (Ben Chiarot, Alex DeBrincat)snap0.03 xG
TOR: Brodie, Jarnkrok, Rielly, Domi, RobertsonDET: Chiarot, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond
TOR 0 – 2 DET

3rd period

3:50
TORTyler Bertuzzi (William Nylander, John Tavares)tip-in0.10 xG
TOR: Giordano, Tavares, McCabe, Bertuzzi, NylanderDET: Perron, Maatta, Gostisbehere, Copp, Compher
TOR 1 – 2 DET
13:03
TORWilliam NylanderPP (Mitch Marner, John Tavares)snap0.15 xG
TOR: Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, MatthewsDET: Chiarot, Holl, Copp, Compher
TOR 2 – 2 DET
14:27
TORJohn Tavares (Tyler Bertuzzi, William Nylander)snap0.09 xG
TOR: Giordano, Tavares, McCabe, Bertuzzi, NylanderDET: Perron, Holl, Maatta, Copp, Compher
TOR 3 – 2 DET

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.40	0	2	2	20:56	—	—	37	31
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.23	1	1	0	19:14	—	—	41	38
Matthew Knies L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	0	0	0	14:17	—	—	42	36
William Nylander R	L2	1	2	3	+2	4	0.22	1	0	0	20:31	—	—	70	88
John Tavares C	L2	1	2	3	+2	1	0.23	1	1	0	16:59	—	—	76	88
Tyler Bertuzzi L	L2	1	1	2	+2	7	0.51	2	0	2	15:48	—	—	73	88
David Kampf C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.21	2	0	0	14:55	—	—	53	42
Noah Gregor L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	2	2	0	12:03	—	—	50	22
Bobby McMann C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:58	—	—	50	21
Calle Jarnkrok C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.34	0	0	0	13:09	—	—	44	41
Max Domi C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.12	0	0	4	10:37	—	—	50	64
Nick Robertson L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:43	—	—	70	68
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	4	0	23:44	—	—	61	41
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	0	2	0	23:43	—	—	58	34
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	0	0	+2	1	0.07	1	0	0	23:04	—	—	52	58
Mark Giordano D	D2	0	0	0	+2	2	0.01	0	6	2	21:13	—	—	52	76
William Lagesson D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	14:03	—	—	56	91
Simon Benoit D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	10:09	—	—	54	88

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Samsonov(start)	W	29	27	2	.931	3.11	59:56

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Joseph Veleno C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.44	0	0	0	15:27	—	—	38	63
Christian Fischer R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	2	0	0	14:10	—	—	22	50
Robby Fabbri C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	0	0	0	13:50	—	—	38	63
Dylan Larkin C	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.31	2	0	0	19:33	—	—	52	43
Lucas Raymond L	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.14	3	0	0	18:58	—	—	59	50
Alex DeBrincat R	L2	0	1	1	+1	4	0.37	1	0	0	17:43	—	—	57	47
Daniel Sprong R	L3	1	0	1	+1	5	0.60	0	0	0	13:28	—	—	67	82
Michael Rasmussen C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.45	0	1	2	10:31	—	—	56	77
Klim Kostin C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	1	0	0	9:59	—	—	53	76
Andrew Copp C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	0	0	16:18	—	—	25	4
J.T. Compher L	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.13	0	0	2	15:08	—	—	29	4
David Perron L	L4	0	0	0	-2	2	0.17	1	0	0	14:46	—	—	27	4
Ben Chiarot D	D1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.01	4	3	0	23:57	—	—	57	77
Justin Holl D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	2	0	20:21	—	—	36	28
Shayne Gostisbehere D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	0	2	0	20:21	—	—	38	44
Olli Maatta D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	3	0	16:29	—	—	39	30
Moritz Seider D	D3	0	0	0	+1	3	0.10	5	5	6	23:47	—	—	47	59
Jake Walman D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	12:29	—	—	46	36

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Alex Lyon(start)	L	29	26	3	.897	2.57	58:28

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.