Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa SenatorsOct 21, 2017

FinalSaturday, Oct 21, 2017· Canadian Tire Centre

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

3

@

home

Ottawa SenatorsOTT

6

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	0	0	3	3		TOR	8	11	12	31
OTT	1	2	3	6		OTT	13	11	11	35

: TOR 66OTT 58
: TOR 2.67OTT 4.83
PP goals: TOR 1OTT 0
Hits: TOR 24OTT 16
Blocks: TOR 11OTT 23
PIM: TOR 2OTT 4
: TOR 45%OTT 55%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Ottawa Senators beat Toronto Maple Leafs 6–3

Ottawa Senators beat Toronto Maple Leafs 6–3 at home. Mark Stone (OTT) led the scoring with 2G 1A. Alexandre Burrows (OTT) played 16:37, +5:00 up on his 11:37 season average over 70 games.

Points
Derick Brassard had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 4 shots in 18:29.Brassard
Points
Mark Stone had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 7 shots in 18:30.Stone
Points
Erik Karlsson had 3 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 24:17.Karlsson
Points
Auston Matthews had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 18:33.Matthews
Points
William Nylander had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:19.Nylander
Points
Ron Hainsey had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 21:57.Hainsey
Usage
Alexandre Burrows (OTT) played 16:37, +5:00 up on his 11:37 season average over 70 games.Burrows
Usage
Bobby Ryan (OTT) played 11:45, −4:46 down on his 16:31 season average over 61 games.Ryan

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 124 of 124 attempts · OTT 58 · TOR 66

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 19% of the game, OTT 42%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	OTT
	70	60
	2.85	4.21
	2.81	4.07
	11	14
	8	7
	22	26
	−0.072	+0.073
	19%	42%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Hyman – Nylander – Matthews
13:3965% CF
L2van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Brown
11:4959% CF
L3Marleau – Komarov – Kadri
8:3243% CF
L4Moore – Martin – Marner
5:4956% CF
D1Gardiner – Zaitsev
18:0147% CF
D2Hainsey – Rielly
16:2759% CF
D3Carrick – Borgman
13:0553% CF

PP1Marleau – Gardiner – Brown – Nylander – Matthews
0:56100% CF
PP2van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Kadri – Rielly – Marner
0:20100% CF
PK1FKomarov – Hyman
2:25
PK2FMoore – Brown
1:12
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
2:43
PK2DGardiner – Rielly
0:00

Current TOR line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Ryan – Brassard – Stone
7:5844% CF
L2Pyatt – Hoffman – Pageau
6:5660% CF
L3Burrows – Thompson – Brown
3:4075% CF
L4DiDomenico – Turris – Dzingel
3:0117% CF
D1Oduya – Karlsson
15:1758% CF
D2Phaneuf – Ceci
13:2229% CF
D3Wideman – Claesson
5:4644% CF

PP1Burrows – Turris – Karlsson – Hoffman – Dzingel
1:08100% CF
PP2Ryan – Brassard – Wideman – Stone – Brown
1:05100% CF
PK1FThompson – Pyatt
0:56
PK1DPhaneuf – Ceci
0:56

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

12:01
OTTNate Thompson (Alexandre Burrows, Logan Brown)tip-in0.28 xG
TOR: Marleau, Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, ZaitsevOTT: Oduya, Burrows, Thompson, Karlsson, Brown
TOR 0 – 1 OTT

2nd period

14:20
OTTRyan Dzingel (Erik Karlsson, Chris Wideman)deflected0.11 xG
TOR: Moore, Komarov, Martin, Carrick, BorgmanOTT: Thompson, Karlsson, Wideman, Dzingel, Brown
TOR 0 – 2 OTT
19:48
OTTDerick Brassard (Bobby Ryan, Erik Karlsson)wrist0.10 xG
TOR: Marleau, Hainsey, Komarov, Kadri, RiellyOTT: Oduya, Ryan, Brassard, Karlsson, Stone
TOR 0 – 3 OTT

3rd period

6:00
TORJames van Riemsdyk (Ron Hainsey, Connor Brown)deflected0.14 xG
TOR: Hainsey, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, BrownOTT: DiDomenico, Turris, Dzingel, Claesson, Ceci
TOR 1 – 3 OTT
8:34
TORAuston Matthews (William Nylander, Ron Hainsey)snap0.17 xG
TOR: Gardiner, Hyman, Rielly, Nylander, MatthewsOTT: Phaneuf, Turris, Karlsson, Dzingel, Brown
TOR 2 – 3 OTT
8:41
OTTMark Stonesnap0.31 xG
TOR: Moore, Komarov, Gardiner, Martin, ZaitsevOTT: Brassard, DiDomenico, Wideman, Stone, Claesson
TOR 2 – 4 OTT
12:52
TORWilliam NylanderPP (Jake Gardiner, Auston Matthews)wrist0.08 xG
TOR: Marleau, Gardiner, Brown, Nylander, MatthewsOTT: Phaneuf, Thompson, Pyatt, Ceci
TOR 3 – 4 OTT
16:30
OTTDerick Brassard (Mark Stone, Erik Karlsson)snap0.06 xG
TOR: Gardiner, Kadri, Hyman, Marner, ZaitsevOTT: Oduya, Thompson, Brassard, Karlsson, Stone
TOR 3 – 5 OTT
18:21
OTTMark StoneEN (Derick Brassard, Dion Phaneuf)wrist0.53 xG
TOR: Marleau, Gardiner, Rielly, Brown, Nylander, MatthewsOTT: Phaneuf, Thompson, Brassard, Stone, Ceci
TOR 3 – 6 OTT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	1	2	0	3	0.48	1	0	0	18:33	—	—	58	59
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.74	1	0	0	18:06	—	—	59	64
William Nylander R	L1	1	1	2	0	2	0.10	0	0	0	17:19	—	—	68	81
Connor Brown R	L2	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	16:03	—	—	52	29
Tyler Bozak C	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.16	1	0	0	15:14	—	—	58	38
James van Riemsdyk L	L2	1	0	1	+1	4	0.20	1	0	0	14:30	—	—	58	38
Patrick Marleau C	L3	0	0	0	-3	3	0.06	3	0	0	15:39	—	—	47	16
Nazem Kadri C	L3	0	0	0	-3	4	0.26	1	0	0	15:22	—	—	48	27
Leo Komarov R	L3	0	0	0	-4	1	0.00	6	1	0	13:27	—	—	43	13
Mitch Marner R	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.26	1	1	0	15:36	—	—	57	41
Dominic Moore C	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.02	0	1	0	9:48	—	—	43	13
Matt Martin L	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.09	4	1	0	8:39	—	—	41	13
Jake Gardiner D	D1	0	1	1	-3	2	0.09	0	0	0	23:19	—	—	50	39
Nikita Zaitsev D	D1	0	0	0	-3	0	0.04	1	4	0	22:50	—	—	46	33
Ron Hainsey D	D2	0	2	2	0	2	0.06	1	0	0	21:57	—	—	60	46
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	1	0	21:00	—	—	58	50
Andreas Borgman D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	3	0	0	15:23	—	—	52	23
Connor Carrick D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	2	2	14:15	—	—	53	26

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	L	34	29	5	.853	4.29	59:00

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mark Stone R	L1	2	1	3	+4	7	1.64	3	1	0	18:30	—	—	45	58
Derick Brassard C	L1	2	1	3	+4	4	0.39	0	1	0	18:29	—	—	40	58
Bobby Ryan R	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.16	0	2	0	11:45	—	—	38	44
Mike Hoffman C	L2	0	0	0	0	5	0.32	0	0	0	18:56	—	—	50	75
Tom Pyatt L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	2	0	16:12	—	—	39	39
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	1	1	0	15:09	—	—	48	54
Alexandre Burrows R	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.24	1	0	2	16:37	—	—	62	82
Nate Thompson C	L3	1	0	1	+4	3	0.34	2	1	0	14:50	—	—	52	57
Logan Brown C	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.47	1	0	0	10:49	—	—	65	64
Kyle Turris C	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.12	0	1	0	20:17	—	—	39	62
Ryan Dzingel C	L4	1	0	1	-1	2	0.29	0	0	0	15:53	—	—	48	49
Christopher DiDomenico L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	5:26	—	—	39	70
Erik Karlsson D	D1	0	3	3	+3	2	0.45	0	1	0	24:17	—	—	58	71
Johnny Oduya D	D1	0	0	0	+3	2	0.09	1	2	2	20:24	—	—	57	79
Cody Ceci D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	1	5	0	22:45	—	—	36	31
Dion Phaneuf D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	3	2	0	19:43	—	—	33	25
Fredrik Claesson D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	3	0	16:36	—	—	36	76
Chris Wideman D	D3	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	1	1	0	12:20	—	—	56	95

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	W	31	28	3	.903	2.67	59:46

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.