Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Minnesota WildMar 15, 2026

FinalSunday, Mar 15, 2026· Grand Casino Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	0	3	1	4		TOR	5	16	5	26
MIN	0	0	2	2		MIN	10	11	17	38

: TOR 48MIN 90
: TOR 2.35MIN 4.64
PP goals: TOR 0MIN 0
Hits: TOR 14MIN 22
Blocks: TOR 28MIN 13
PIM: TOR 8MIN 6
: TOR 53%MIN 47%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Minnesota Wild 4–2

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Minnesota Wild 4–2 at MIN. Vladimir Tarasenko (MIN) led the scoring with 2G 0A. Anthony Stolarz (TOR) faced 38 shots and stopped 36 (.947), +11 against a season average of 27.2; the win.

Points
Bo Groulx had two goals (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:03.Groulx
Points
Vladimir Tarasenko had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 16:55.Tarasenko
Points
Mats Zuccarello had 2 assists (2 points) on 5 shots in 21:35.Zuccarello
Points
Ryan Hartman had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 16:52.Hartman
Goalie
Anthony Stolarz (TOR) faced 38 shots and stopped 36 (.947), +11 against a season average of 27.2; the win.Stolarz
Luck
MIN scored 2 goals on 4.64 expected goals (90 attempts), well short of its chances.
Luck
TOR scored 4 goals on 2.34 expected goals (48 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Brandon Carlo (TOR) played 25:07, +5:51 up on his 19:16 season average over 54 games.Carlo

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)MIN attacks right (top on phones) →

MIN
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 138 of 138 attempts · MIN 90 · TOR 48

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

MIN
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

MIN pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 13% of the game, MIN 59%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

MIN

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Head-to-head matchups

MIN skaters (rows) against TOR skaters (columns) at 5v5. Square size is time together; colour is xGF% from the MIN side.

Matchup matrix

MIN xGF% 4060square size = TOI together · blank = under 1:00

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	MIN
	46	86
	1.61	4.04
	1.60	3.42
	6	16
	5	8
	20	32
	+0.007	−0.007
	13%	59%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Nylander – Maccelli
11:3752% CF
L2Domi – Knies – Cowan
10:1820% CF
L3Joshua – Groulx – Robertson
8:4438% CF
L4Jarnkrok – Lorentz – Quillan
5:5131% CF
D1McCabe – Carlo
19:0818% CF
D2Rielly – Myers
12:5736% CF
D3Stecher – Benoit
12:2146% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Maccelli – Knies
1:0675% CF
PP2McCabe – Domi – Joshua – Robertson – Cowan
0:54100% CF
PK1FGroulx – Knies
1:15
PK2FJarnkrok – Lorentz
0:44
PK1DMcCabe – Carlo
2:32
PK2DStecher – Benoit
1:24

Current TOR line combinations →

Minnesota Wild

L1Zuccarello – Hartman – Kaprizov
9:4477% CF
L2Tarasenko – Trenin – Yurov
7:5369% CF
L3Johansson – Eriksson Ek – Boldy
6:3359% CF
L4Foligno – McCarron – Sturm
5:3227% CF
D1Hughes – Faber
19:2160% CF
D2Spurgeon – Brodin
13:4475% CF
D3Petry – Middleton
8:5283% CF

PP1Zuccarello – Eriksson Ek – Kaprizov – Hughes – Boldy
3:37100% CF
PP2Johansson – Zuccarello – Tarasenko – Kaprizov – Faber
0:19100% CF
PK1FJohansson – Sturm
1:08
PK2FFoligno – McCarron
0:35
PK1DSpurgeon – Brodin
1:08
PK2DMiddleton – Faber
0:46

Current MIN line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

1:07
TORMorgan Rielly (Matias Maccelli, John Tavares)wrist0.10 xG
TOR: Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Myers, MaccelliMIN: Foligno, Spurgeon, Brodin, McCarron, Sturm
TOR 1 – 0 MIN
2:19
TORBo Groulx (Troy Stecher, Nick Robertson)deflected0.15 xG
TOR: Joshua, Stecher, Groulx, Benoit, RobertsonMIN: Petry, Tarasenko, Middleton, Trenin, Yurov
TOR 2 – 0 MIN
8:18
TORBo Groulxwrist0.07 xG
TOR: Rielly, McCabe, Nylander, Groulx, MaccelliMIN: Johansson, Eriksson Ek, Hughes, Boldy, Faber
TOR 3 – 0 MIN

3rd period

4:51
MINVladimir Tarasenko (Mats Zuccarello, Ryan Hartman)snap0.27 xG
TOR: Tavares, Nylander, Stecher, Benoit, MaccelliMIN: Petry, Zuccarello, Tarasenko, Hartman, Middleton
TOR 3 – 1 MIN
5:14
MINVladimir Tarasenko (Ryan Hartman, Mats Zuccarello)wrist0.05 xG
TOR: Rielly, Joshua, Myers, Groulx, RobertsonMIN: Petry, Zuccarello, Tarasenko, Hartman, Middleton
TOR 3 – 2 MIN
19:23
TORMatthew KniesENwrist0.53 xG
TOR: McCabe, Domi, Carlo, Groulx, KniesMIN: Zuccarello, Tarasenko, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Hughes, Boldy
TOR 4 – 2 MIN

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
John Tavares C	L1	0	1	1	0	3	0.28	0	1	0	19:49	—	—	46	26
William Nylander R	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.13	0	1	0	17:42	—	—	56	45
Matias Maccelli L	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.25	0	0	0	14:19	—	—	55	42
Matthew Knies L	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.64	1	1	0	20:47	—	—	15	18
Easton Cowan R	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	16:39	—	—	19	15
Max Domi C	L2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	15:26	—	—	23	44
Bo Groulx C	L3	2	0	2	+2	2	0.22	1	0	0	17:03	—	—	29	22
Nick Robertson L	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.03	0	0	2	13:41	—	—	35	21
Dakota Joshua C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	4	0	0	11:51	—	—	36	21
Steven Lorentz C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	10:54	—	—	29	25
Calle Jarnkrok C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.25	0	0	2	10:22	—	—	30	24
Jacob Quillan C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	8:21	—	—	29	29
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	0	0	+2	1	0.02	2	9	2	26:49	—	—	23	11
Brandon Carlo D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	0	4	2	25:07	—	—	21	4
Morgan Rielly D	D2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.29	0	0	0	17:38	—	—	40	36
Philippe Myers D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	2	0	17:28	—	—	36	25
Troy Stecher D	D3	0	1	1	0	3	0.05	1	4	0	17:13	—	—	48	55
Simon Benoit D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	14:46	—	—	46	61

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anthony Stolarz(start)	W	38	36	2	.947	3.91	58:05

Minnesota Wild

MIN skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kirill Kaprizov L	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.35	1	1	2	22:41	—	—	78	86
Mats Zuccarello R	L1	0	2	2	+1	5	0.63	0	0	2	21:35	—	—	80	94
Ryan Hartman R	L1	0	2	2	+2	4	0.45	0	0	0	16:52	—	—	81	93
Vladimir Tarasenko R	L2	2	0	2	0	4	0.72	3	0	0	16:55	—	—	77	89
Danila Yurov R	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:48	—	—	61	79
Yakov Trenin C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.48	3	0	2	12:24	—	—	67	82
Matt Boldy L	L3	0	0	0	-2	4	0.32	0	1	0	19:28	—	—	58	43
Joel Eriksson Ek C	L3	0	0	0	-2	4	1.00	1	0	0	18:47	—	—	59	43
Marcus Johansson L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	1	1	0	13:13	—	—	58	46
Nick Foligno L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	5	0	0	11:10	—	—	39	23
Michael McCarron C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.23	3	1	0	9:20	—	—	50	56
Nico Sturm C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	2	0	0	7:49	—	—	31	24
Quinn Hughes D	D1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.18	0	0	0	31:17	—	—	60	68
Brock Faber D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.14	1	3	0	23:30	—	—	54	56
Jonas Brodin D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	0	1	0	19:18	—	—	72	84
Jared Spurgeon D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	4	0	18:02	—	—	67	73
Jake Middleton D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.05	1	1	0	12:11	—	—	75	76
Jeff Petry D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	1	0	0	10:14	—	—	77	81

MIN goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jesper Wallstedt(start)	L	25	22	3	.880	1.82	58:26

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Morgan Rielly (TOR) 2nd 1:07 · assists Matias Maccelli, John Tavares · Forecheck turnover · 52.5 mph shot.

Morgan Rielly · 2nd 1:07 · TOR

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 52.5 mph
Distance: 23 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Bo Groulx · 2nd 2:19 · TOR

Play: deflection
Entry: loose
Odd man: No
Passes: 1
Shot: 50.3 mph
Distance: 26 ft
Entry to goal: 9.0 s
Type: deflection

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Bo Groulx · 2nd 8:18 · TOR

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 67.3 mph
Distance: 38 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.