Edmonton Oilers vs. Toronto Maple LeafsJan 22, 2021

FinalFriday, Jan 22, 2021· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
EDM	0	1	1	2		EDM	11	10	11	32
TOR	0	2	2	4		TOR	12	9	8	29

: EDM 55TOR 54
: EDM 2.64TOR 2.92
PP goals: EDM 0TOR 2
Hits: EDM 34TOR 26
Blocks: EDM 17TOR 15
PIM: EDM 4TOR 4
: EDM 44%TOR 56%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Edmonton Oilers 4–2

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Edmonton Oilers 4–2 at home. Mitch Marner (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 1A. TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Nylander and Marner) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 2:15 together.

Points
Mitch Marner had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 22:42.Marner
Points
William Nylander had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 16:09.Nylander
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Nylander and Marner) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 2:15 together.Tavares Hyman Rielly Nylander Marner
New line
New look for TOR: Tavares–Hyman–Marner skated 15:22 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (37.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Tavares Hyman Marner
New line
New look for TOR: Vesey–Kerfoot–Nylander skated 9:47 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (88.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Vesey Kerfoot Nylander
New line
New look for EDM: Neal–Archibald–Shore skated 4:54 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (40% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Neal Archibald Shore
New line
New look for TOR: Simmonds–Engvall–Mikheyev skated 7:07 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (64.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Simmonds Engvall Mikheyev
New line
New look for TOR: Spezza–Brooks–Barabanov skated 4:57 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (28.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Spezza Brooks Barabanov

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← EDM attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
EDM
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 109 of 109 attempts · TOR 54 · EDM 55

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
EDM
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
EDM pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: EDM 40% of the game, TOR 26%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

EDM

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	EDM	TOR
	55	54
	2.02	1.70
	1.95	1.66
	8	6
	7	5
	20	17
	−0.026	+0.026
	40%	26%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Edmonton Oilers

L1Kassian – Nugent-Hopkins – McDavid
14:1763% CF
L2Draisaitl – Yamamoto – Kahun
13:3232% CF
L3Turris – Ennis – Puljujarvi
7:3450% CF
L4Neal – Archibald – Shore
4:5440% CF
D1Nurse – Bear
17:2355% CF
D2Russell – Barrie
16:2439% CF
D3Larsson – Koekkoek
9:0647% CF

PP1Neal – Barrie – Nugent-Hopkins – Draisaitl – McDavid
3:24100% CF
PP2Turris – Ennis – Nurse – Bear – Puljujarvi
0:23
PK1FArchibald – Shore
1:25
PK2FDraisaitl – Yamamoto
0:23
PK1DLarsson – Koekkoek
2:41
PK2DNurse – Bear
0:23

Current EDM line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Hyman – Marner
15:2238% CF
L2Vesey – Kerfoot – Nylander
9:4788% CF
L3Simmonds – Engvall – Mikheyev
7:0764% CF
L4Spezza – Brooks – Barabanov
4:5729% CF
D1Muzzin – Holl
16:0366% CF
D2Brodie – Rielly
13:2127% CF
D3Bogosian – Dermott
9:1158% CF

PP1Tavares – Hyman – Rielly – Nylander – Marner
2:15100% CF
PP2Spezza – Simmonds – Brodie – Kerfoot – Brooks
0:43100% CF
PK1FHyman – Marner
1:32
PK2FKerfoot – Mikheyev
1:08
PK1DMuzzin – Holl
2:03
PK2DBogosian – Brodie
1:41

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

5:12
EDMLeon DraisaitlSH (Kailer Yamamoto)wrist0.21 xG
EDM: Nurse, Draisaitl, Bear, YamamotoTOR: Simmonds, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Brooks
EDM 1 – 0 TOR
5:55
TORAdam BrooksPP (Jason Spezza, TJ Brodie)deflected0.11 xG
EDM: Archibald, Larsson, Koekkoek, ShoreTOR: Spezza, Simmonds, Brodie, Kerfoot, Brooks
EDM 1 – 1 TOR
11:16
TORJimmy Vesey (William Nylander, Alexander Kerfoot)wrist0.11 xG
EDM: Neal, Archibald, Larsson, Koekkoek, ShoreTOR: Bogosian, Vesey, Kerfoot, Nylander, Dermott
EDM 1 – 2 TOR

3rd period

0:50
EDMConnor McDavid (Ethan Bear, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins)tip-in0.06 xG
EDM: Kassian, Nugent-Hopkins, Nurse, McDavid, BearTOR: Brodie, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner
EDM 2 – 2 TOR
11:46
TORJohn TavaresPP (Mitch Marner, William Nylander)wrist0.14 xG
EDM: Turris, Larsson, Koekkoek, DraisaitlTOR: Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Nylander, Marner
EDM 2 – 3 TOR
19:59
TORMitch MarnerENwrist0.39 xG
EDM: Neal, Barrie, Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, McDavid, YamamotoTOR: Muzzin, Brodie, Tavares, Hyman, Marner
EDM 2 – 4 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Edmonton Oilers

EDM skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Connor McDavid C	L1	1	0	1	0	7	0.59	0	0	0	23:28	—	—	72	77
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C	L1	0	1	1	0	3	0.49	1	0	0	22:39	—	—	70	73
Zack Kassian R	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	1	0	0	16:47	—	—	65	63
Leon Draisaitl C	L2	1	0	1	0	2	0.33	2	1	0	21:52	—	—	34	26
Kailer Yamamoto R	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.08	2	4	0	17:41	—	—	34	28
Dominik Kahun C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	1	0	0	15:15	—	—	33	38
Kyle Turris C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	2	13:37	—	—	53	64
Jesse Puljujarvi R	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.30	2	0	0	11:56	—	—	70	91
Tyler Ennis R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	1	0	0	11:39	—	—	50	38
James Neal L	L4	0	0	0	-2	3	0.44	1	0	0	10:37	—	—	44	15
Josh Archibald R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	6	0	0	10:23	—	—	30	0
Devin Shore C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	2	7:24	—	—	29	0
Darnell Nurse D	D1	0	0	0	+2	2	0.03	1	1	0	24:00	—	—	64	72
Ethan Bear D	D1	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	3	1	0	18:12	—	—	55	69
Tyson Barrie D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	1	2	0	25:14	—	—	48	33
Kris Russell D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	3	4	0	18:08	—	—	41	40
Adam Larsson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	6	2	0	15:56	—	—	44	43
Slater Koekkoek D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	0	2	0	13:54	—	—	53	55

EDM goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mikko Koskinen(start)	L	28	25	3	.893	2.54	58:14

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.36	4	1	0	23:16	—	—	35	28
Mitch Marner R	L1	1	1	2	-1	2	0.54	0	0	0	22:42	—	—	39	30
John Tavares C	L1	1	0	1	0	4	0.85	2	1	0	22:30	—	—	36	26
William Nylander R	L2	0	2	2	0	1	0.09	0	0	0	16:09	—	—	73	73
Alexander Kerfoot C	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.01	0	1	0	14:52	—	—	67	69
Jimmy Vesey L	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.15	0	0	0	14:25	—	—	81	82
Ilya Mikheyev R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	13:47	—	—	52	78
Pierre Engvall L	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.37	1	0	2	12:37	—	—	57	74
Wayne Simmonds R	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.24	2	0	0	11:41	—	—	52	68
Jason Spezza C	L4	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	10:51	—	—	23	24
Adam Brooks C	L4	1	0	1	-1	1	0.11	1	0	0	8:30	—	—	30	31
Alexander Barabanov L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	2	0	7:56	—	—	33	42
Jake Muzzin D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.04	2	4	0	22:46	—	—	58	70
Justin Holl D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	0	20:46	—	—	66	62
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.02	1	0	0	21:42	—	—	26	23
TJ Brodie D	D2	0	1	1	0	2	0.04	2	4	0	20:06	—	—	33	26
Zach Bogosian D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.04	7	0	0	16:51	—	—	60	59
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.03	0	0	0	14:45	—	—	55	63

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	32	30	2	.938	2.64	59:51

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.