Edmonton Oilers vs. Buffalo SabresMar 4, 2019

FinalMonday, Mar 4, 2019· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
EDM	1	3	0	4		EDM	7	13	7	27
BUF	3	0	0	3		BUF	14	12	12	38

: EDM 47BUF 64
: EDM 2.78BUF 3.12
PP goals: EDM 0BUF 1
Hits: EDM 21BUF 15
Blocks: EDM 14BUF 12
PIM: EDM 6BUF 4
: EDM 58%BUF 42%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Edmonton Oilers edge Buffalo Sabres 4–3

Edmonton Oilers beat Buffalo Sabres 4–3 at BUF. Jack Eichel (BUF) led the scoring with 2G 0A. New look for EDM: Gagner–Chiasson–Draisaitl skated 8:03 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (60% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Jack Eichel had two goals (2 points) on 5 shots in 21:43.Eichel
Points
Darnell Nurse had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 22:34.Nurse
Points
Leon Draisaitl had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 24:03.Draisaitl
Points
Connor McDavid had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 21:32.McDavid
New line
New look for EDM: Gagner–Chiasson–Draisaitl skated 8:03 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (60% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Gagner Chiasson Draisaitl
Goalie
Mikko Koskinen (EDM) faced 38 shots and stopped 35 (.921), +10 against a season average of 28.2; the win.Koskinen
New line
New look for BUF: Larsson–Girgensons–Thompson skated 8:15 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (40% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Larsson Girgensons Thompson
New line
New look for BUF: Pominville–Wilson–Mittelstadt skated 10:03 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (73.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Pominville Wilson Mittelstadt

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← EDM attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
EDM
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 111 of 111 attempts · BUF 64 · EDM 47

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
EDM
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
EDM pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: EDM 24% of the game, BUF 30%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

EDM

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	EDM	BUF
	50	59
	2.27	2.55
	2.20	2.51
	8	13
	4	7
	12	14
	+0.065	−0.065
	24%	30%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Edmonton Oilers

L1Kassian – Nugent-Hopkins – McDavid
8:5541% CF
L2Gagner – Chiasson – Draisaitl
8:0360% CF
L3Rieder – Cave – Currie
3:380% CF
L4Brodziak – Lucic – Rattie
0:44
D1Larsson – Klefbom
18:0850% CF
D2Russell – Nurse
17:1559% CF
D3Sekera – Benning
10:4633% CF

PP1Chiasson – Nugent-Hopkins – Nurse – Draisaitl – McDavid
0:53
PP2Sekera – Lucic – Gagner – Klefbom – Cave
0:42
PK1FBrodziak – Kassian
1:18
PK2FDraisaitl – McDavid
0:47
PK1DRussell – Nurse
1:07
PK2DSekera – Benning
1:01

Current EDM line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Reinhart – Eichel
14:4950% CF
L2Okposo – Sheary – Rodrigues
12:5647% CF
L3Pominville – Wilson – Mittelstadt
10:0373% CF
L4Larsson – Girgensons – Thompson
8:1540% CF
D1Scandella – Ristolainen
15:2939% CF
D2Nelson – Dahlin
12:4880% CF
D3Hunwick – Montour
11:2854% CF

PP1Okposo – Sheary – Montour – Rodrigues – Mittelstadt
1:5771% CF
PP2Skinner – Ristolainen – Reinhart – Eichel – Dahlin
1:5283% CF
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
1:14
PK2FWilson – Rodrigues
0:46
PK1DHunwick – Ristolainen
1:40
PK2DMontour – Nelson
0:20

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

1:28
EDMLeon DraisaitlSH (Connor McDavid, Darnell Nurse)wrist0.18 xG
EDM: Sekera, Benning, Draisaitl, McDavidBUF: Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel, Dahlin
EDM 1 – 0 BUF
2:42
BUFJack EichelPP (Rasmus Ristolainen, Jeff Skinner)wrist0.12 xG
EDM: Larsson, Klefbom, Draisaitl, McDavidBUF: Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel, Dahlin
EDM 1 – 1 BUF
13:29
BUFCasey Mittelstadt (Scott Wilson, Jason Pominville)wrist0.02 xG
EDM: Brodziak, Gagner, Rattie, Larsson, KlefbomBUF: Pominville, Wilson, Nelson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin
EDM 1 – 2 BUF
17:24
BUFJack Eichelwrist0.13 xG
EDM: Russell, Kassian, Nurse, Draisaitl, McDavidBUF: Scandella, Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel
EDM 1 – 3 BUF

2nd period

16:29
EDMZack Kassian (Connor McDavid, Kris Russell)slap0.11 xG
EDM: Russell, Kassian, Nugent-Hopkins, Nurse, McDavidBUF: Scandella, Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel
EDM 2 – 3 BUF
18:46
EDMDarnell Nurse (Leon Draisaitl, Sam Gagner)slap0.15 xG
EDM: Russell, Gagner, Chiasson, Nurse, DraisaitlBUF: Pominville, Scandella, Wilson, Ristolainen, Mittelstadt
EDM 3 – 3 BUF
19:55
EDMKyle Brodziak (Adam Larsson, Milan Lucic)tip-in0.09 xG
EDM: Brodziak, Lucic, Larsson, Klefbom, CurrieBUF: Larsson, Girgensons, Nelson, Thompson, Dahlin
EDM 4 – 3 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Edmonton Oilers

EDM skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Connor McDavid C	L1	0	2	2	+1	1	0.70	0	0	0	21:32	—	—	49	36
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.08	0	0	0	18:55	—	—	30	34
Zack Kassian R	L1	1	0	1	0	4	0.32	2	0	0	18:37	—	—	57	42
Leon Draisaitl C	L2	1	1	2	+1	2	0.36	0	0	2	24:03	—	—	58	54
Alex Chiasson R	L2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.23	2	1	2	19:43	—	—	35	51
Sam Gagner C	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.13	0	0	0	13:28	—	—	63	71
Tobias Rieder L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	0	12:57	—	—	40	50
Colby Cave C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	1	0	9:53	—	—	33	9
Josh Currie R	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.10	3	0	0	7:41	—	—	39	43
Kyle Brodziak C	L4	1	0	1	0	1	0.09	1	1	0	11:12	—	—	53	62
Milan Lucic L	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	3	1	0	10:37	—	—	29	33
Ty Rattie R	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.14	0	0	0	7:29	—	—	56	80
Oscar Klefbom D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	2	2	2	23:00	—	—	46	45
Adam Larsson D	D1	0	1	1	0	5	0.24	1	1	0	21:58	—	—	49	46
Kris Russell D	D2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	4	0	23:11	—	—	53	58
Darnell Nurse D	D2	1	1	2	+1	3	0.21	2	1	0	22:34	—	—	55	61
Andrej Sekera D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.02	0	0	0	15:40	—	—	33	27
Matt Benning D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	12:55	—	—	33	26

EDM goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mikko Koskinen(start)	W	38	35	3	.921	3.12	60:00

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	2	0	2	-1	5	0.40	0	1	0	21:43	—	—	54	56
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.33	0	0	0	21:20	—	—	51	55
Jeff Skinner L	L1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.34	1	0	2	20:54	—	—	51	53
Conor Sheary L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	2	0	0	17:30	—	—	57	53
Evan Rodrigues C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.32	0	0	0	17:12	—	—	50	50
Kyle Okposo R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	1	0	0	16:14	—	—	50	50
Casey Mittelstadt C	L3	1	0	1	0	5	0.35	1	0	0	14:29	—	—	75	63
Scott Wilson C	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.15	1	0	0	11:37	—	—	69	63
Jason Pominville R	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.19	0	0	0	10:43	—	—	77	63
Johan Larsson L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	11:06	—	—	38	36
Zemgus Girgensons C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.18	1	0	0	9:59	—	—	40	38
Tage Thompson C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	0	0	0	8:59	—	—	40	38
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	1	1	-2	3	0.20	3	2	0	22:41	—	—	41	48
Marco Scandella D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.09	0	3	2	17:54	—	—	37	44
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.12	2	2	0	25:02	—	—	63	58
Casey Nelson D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	1	2	0	15:33	—	—	83	85
Brandon Montour D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	1	0	0	22:26	—	—	55	54
Matt Hunwick D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	1	0	14:32	—	—	60	55

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Linus Ullmark(start)	L	20	16	4	.800	1.72	40:00
Carter Hutton	—	7	7	0	.1000	0.43	18:03

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.