Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Colorado AvalancheNov 28, 2018

FinalWednesday, Nov 28, 2018· Pepsi Center

away

Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT

3

@

home

Colorado AvalancheCOL

6

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
PIT	0	2	1	3		PIT	5	12	8	25
COL	1	2	3	6		COL	8	9	9	26

: PIT 53COL 39
: PIT 1.38COL 2.05
PP goals: PIT 1COL 0
Hits: PIT 10COL 21
Blocks: PIT 9COL 17
PIM: PIT 2COL 8
: PIT 47%COL 53%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche beat Pittsburgh Penguins 6–3

Colorado Avalanche beat Pittsburgh Penguins 6–3 at home. Nathan MacKinnon (COL) led the scoring with 1G 3A. PIT's first power-play unit (Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Kessel and Guentzel) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 2:57 together.

Points
Nathan MacKinnon had a goal and 3 assists (4 points) on 2 shots in 20:55.MacKinnon
Points
Sidney Crosby had a hat trick (3 points) on 7 shots in 20:44.Crosby
Points
Gabriel Landeskog had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 21:30.Landeskog
Points
Mikko Rantanen had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 22:21.Rantanen
PP1
PIT's first power-play unit (Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Kessel and Guentzel) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 2:57 together.Malkin Crosby Letang Kessel Guentzel
Luck
COL scored 6 goals on 2.05 expected goals (39 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
New line
New look for COL: Andrighetto–Compher–Kamenev skated 5:59 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (62.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Andrighetto Compher Kamenev
Usage
Dominik Simon (PIT) played 17:31, +4:15 up on his 13:16 season average over 70 games.Simon

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← PIT attacks left (bottom on phones)COL attacks right (top on phones) →

COL
PIT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 92 of 92 attempts · COL 39 · PIT 53

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

COL
PIT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

COL pressure
PIT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: PIT 22% of the game, COL 14%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

COL

PIT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	PIT	COL
	56	43
	1.34	1.35
	1.31	1.33
	8	4
	5	1
	7	10
	−0.049	+0.049
	22%	14%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Pittsburgh Penguins

L1Crosby – Guentzel – Simon
14:1272% CF
L2Malkin – Rust – Pearson
11:4669% CF
L3Brassard – Kessel – Aston-Reese
10:5323% CF
L4Grant – Wilson – Sheahan
6:4963% CF
D1Letang – Dumoulin
17:0456% CF
D2Maatta – Riikola
14:2876% CF
D3Johnson – Oleksiak
14:0631% CF

PP1Malkin – Crosby – Letang – Kessel – Guentzel
2:57100% CF
PP2Brassard – Pearson – Maatta – Simon – Riikola
0:49
PK1FSheahan – Aston-Reese
0:19
PK1DJohnson – Maatta
0:19

Current PIT line combinations →

Colorado Avalanche

L1Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
16:2148% CF
L2Soderberg – Calvert – Nieto
9:0720% CF
L3Wilson – Kerfoot – Jost
8:3240% CF
L4Andrighetto – Compher – Kamenev
5:5963% CF
D1Barberio – Nemeth
12:4547% CF
D2Cole – Zadorov
12:3735% CF
D3Johnson – Girard
12:0960% CF

PP1Soderberg – Johnson – Kerfoot – Compher – Jost
0:19
PK1FCalvert – Compher
1:16
PK2FSoderberg – Nieto
1:04
PK1DJohnson – Cole
1:47
PK2DNemeth – Zadorov
0:56

Current COL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

11:19
COLSamuel Girard (Mikko Rantanen, Nathan MacKinnon)wrist0.05 xG
PIT: Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Guentzel, SimonCOL: Johnson, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard
PIT 0 – 1 COL

2nd period

5:13
COLErik Johnson (Sven Andrighetto)slap0.03 xG
PIT: Brassard, Kessel, Dumoulin, Aston-Reese, RiikolaCOL: Johnson, Andrighetto, Compher, Kamenev, Girard
PIT 0 – 2 COL
7:52
COLColin Wilson (Nathan MacKinnon, Tyson Jost)snap0.16 xG
PIT: Crosby, Johnson, Oleksiak, Guentzel, SimonCOL: Wilson, Barberio, Nemeth, MacKinnon, Jost
PIT 0 – 3 COL
19:08
PITSidney Crosby (Jake Guentzel)snap0.04 xG
PIT: Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Guentzel, SimonCOL: Cole, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen
PIT 1 – 3 COL
19:50
PITSidney CrosbyPPwrist0.03 xG
PIT: Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Kessel, GuentzelCOL: Soderberg, Johnson, Cole, Compher
PIT 2 – 3 COL

3rd period

4:43
PITSidney Crosby (Dominik Simon, Juuso Riikola)wrist0.02 xG
PIT: Crosby, Maatta, Guentzel, Simon, RiikolaCOL: Cole, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard
PIT 3 – 3 COL
10:05
COLGabriel Landeskog (Nathan MacKinnon, Mikko Rantanen)wrist0.05 xG
PIT: Brassard, Oleksiak, Pearson, Simon, RiikolaCOL: Johnson, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen
PIT 3 – 4 COL
19:31
COLNathan MacKinnonEN (Gabriel Landeskog)wrist0.86 xG
PIT: Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Kessel, Pearson, GuentzelCOL: Johnson, Cole, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen
PIT 3 – 5 COL
19:44
COLCarl Soderberg (Matt Calvert, Matt Nieto)wrist0.06 xG
PIT: Johnson, Grant, Wilson, Sheahan, OleksiakCOL: Soderberg, Calvert, Barberio, Nemeth, Nieto
PIT 3 – 6 COL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Pittsburgh Penguins

PIT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jake Guentzel C	L1	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	21:19	—	—	66	65
Sidney Crosby C	L1	3	0	3	-1	7	0.52	0	0	2	20:44	—	—	69	62
Dominik Simon C	L1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.05	0	1	0	17:31	—	—	70	63
Evgeni Malkin C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.10	1	0	0	20:40	—	—	60	54
Tanner Pearson L	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.26	1	0	0	17:08	—	—	69	50
Bryan Rust R	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:56	—	—	63	55
Phil Kessel R	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.01	0	0	0	18:26	—	—	20	23
Derick Brassard C	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	0	0	15:21	—	—	26	19
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.11	1	1	0	13:41	—	—	31	33
Riley Sheahan C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:38	—	—	53	30
Derek Grant C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.09	0	1	0	8:16	—	—	61	45
Garrett Wilson L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	2	0	0	7:58	—	—	61	44
Kris Letang D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.13	2	0	0	27:11	—	—	58	57
Brian Dumoulin D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.06	1	1	0	19:18	—	—	58	57
Olli Maatta D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.02	0	0	0	18:06	—	—	71	66
Juuso Riikola D	D2	0	1	1	-1	1	0.02	0	2	0	17:22	—	—	74	62
Jack Johnson D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	1	2	0	17:24	—	—	29	4
Jamie Oleksiak D	D3	0	0	0	-3	0	0.00	1	1	0	15:40	—	—	35	8

PIT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Tristan Jarry(start)	L	25	20	5	.800	1.19	58:21

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	0	2	2	+1	1	0.11	0	1	0	22:21	—	—	50	46
Gabriel Landeskog L	L1	1	1	2	+1	3	0.09	0	2	0	21:30	—	—	50	44
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	1	3	4	+2	2	0.90	1	0	0	20:55	—	—	50	54
Matt Calvert L	L2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.11	0	0	0	15:05	—	—	22	44
Carl Soderberg C	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.06	2	0	2	14:45	—	—	17	43
Matt Nieto L	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.14	1	1	0	12:27	—	—	24	45
Tyson Jost C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	0	1	0	15:06	—	—	46	64
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	11:54	—	—	44	24
Colin Wilson C	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.16	1	1	0	10:20	—	—	47	69
J.T. Compher L	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	1	2	0	12:22	—	—	64	56
Vladislav Kamenev C	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	0	0	2	9:51	—	—	64	86
Sven Andrighetto R	L4	0	1	1	+1	2	0.11	1	0	0	7:38	—	—	67	69
Patrik Nemeth D	D1	0	0	0	+2	0	0.01	3	3	2	20:00	—	—	43	64
Mark Barberio D	D1	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	1	2	0	15:46	—	—	41	61
Ian Cole D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	3	0	22:38	—	—	27	35
Nikita Zadorov D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	8	0	0	19:06	—	—	43	47
Erik Johnson D	D3	1	0	1	+4	6	0.17	2	0	0	24:51	—	—	54	58
Samuel Girard D	D3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.14	0	1	0	17:20	—	—	50	49

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Philipp Grubauer(start)	W	25	22	3	.880	1.38	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.